Techniques for managing projects risk in capital budgeting process

The paper examines capital budgeting process and techniques of risk analysis in the process of selecting optimal project. Corporate manager in process of capital budgeting uses numerous techniques some of them are based on intuition and experience of manager, and some of them are analytic based on s...

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Veröffentlicht in:UTMS journal of economics 2010-12, Vol.1 (2), p.55-66
Hauptverfasser: Karanovic, Goran, Baresa, Suzana, Bogdan, Sinisa
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creator Karanovic, Goran
Baresa, Suzana
Bogdan, Sinisa
description The paper examines capital budgeting process and techniques of risk analysis in the process of selecting optimal project. Corporate manager in process of capital budgeting uses numerous techniques some of them are based on intuition and experience of manager, and some of them are analytic based on sensitive, scenario, decision tree and Monte Carlo method. All methods are used to determinate and to predict risk influence on the projects. Article deals with analytical techniques and real problems that can arise in capital budgeting process. Trough case study in article we analyzed risks that may emerge from different techniques. Conclusion that emerges from analyzing different methods of risk techniques is that only with right combination of these techniques corporate manager could decide correctly to choose optimal capital project.
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subjects Capital assets
Capital budgeting
Cash flow forecasting
Decision making
decision tree
Decision trees
discount rate
Discount rates
Interest rates
Internal rate of return
Methods
Monte Carlo
Monte Carlo simulation
Net present value
NPV
Payback periods
Project management
Risk assessment
Risk management
scenario method
sensitive method
Sensitivity analysis
Studies
title Techniques for managing projects risk in capital budgeting process
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