Twentieth century extreme precipitation detected in a high-resolution, coastal lake-sediment record from California
California faces increasing economic and societal risks from extreme precipitation and flooding associated with atmospheric rivers (ARs) under projected twenty-first century climate warming. Lake sediments can retain signals of past extreme precipitation events, allowing reconstructions beyond the p...
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Veröffentlicht in: | Journal of paleolimnology 2025-02, Vol.73 (1), p.35-51 |
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creator | Knight, Clarke A. Wahl, David B. Addison, Jason Baskaran, Mark Anderson, R. Scott Champagne, Marie R. Anderson, Lysanna Presnetsova, Liubov Caissie, Beth Starratt, Scott |
description | California faces increasing economic and societal risks from extreme precipitation and flooding associated with atmospheric rivers (ARs) under projected twenty-first century climate warming. Lake sediments can retain signals of past extreme precipitation events, allowing reconstructions beyond the period of instrumental records. Here, we calibrate AR-related extreme precipitation from the last century to proxy data from lake sediments collected in the latitudinal zone of the highest frequency landfall for modern ARs in California. Excursions in erosional proxy data (Ti/Al) are positively and significantly correlated (r
median
= 0.45, p
median
= 0.04) with modern records of integrated vapor transport (IVT, kg m
−1
s
−1
), a key metric of AR intensity, using correlations that incorporate age-model uncertainty. Despite the land-use change near the study site, the data suggest intense and long-lasting AR storms are identifiable in this sedimentary record. These results allow conservative inferences concerning past extreme hydrology at this site. |
doi_str_mv | 10.1007/s10933-024-00345-9 |
format | Article |
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median
= 0.45, p
median
= 0.04) with modern records of integrated vapor transport (IVT, kg m
−1
s
−1
), a key metric of AR intensity, using correlations that incorporate age-model uncertainty. Despite the land-use change near the study site, the data suggest intense and long-lasting AR storms are identifiable in this sedimentary record. These results allow conservative inferences concerning past extreme hydrology at this site.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0921-2728</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1573-0417</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1007/s10933-024-00345-9</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Dordrecht: Springer Netherlands</publisher><subject>20th century ; Climate Change ; Earth and Environmental Science ; Earth Sciences ; Extreme values ; Extreme weather ; Floods ; Freshwater & Marine Ecology ; Geology ; Global warming ; Hydrologic cycle ; Hydrology ; Lake deposits ; Lake sediments ; Lakes ; Land use ; Original Paper ; Paleontology ; Physical Geography ; Precipitation ; Proxies ; Rivers ; Sediment ; Sedimentology ; Sediments ; Storms</subject><ispartof>Journal of paleolimnology, 2025-02, Vol.73 (1), p.35-51</ispartof><rights>This is a U.S. Government work and not under copyright protection in the US; foreign copyright protection may apply 2024</rights><rights>Copyright Springer Nature B.V. Feb 2025</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c200t-1ad2f46655ed13e64572b119a1d0f354663f3dd9ceb9f92396c2b5e53ff16c703</cites><orcidid>0000-0002-2218-4328 ; 0000-0001-8236-3910 ; 0000-0002-7037-4150 ; 0000-0003-2416-9743 ; 0000-0001-9405-1746 ; 0000-0002-1351-8541 ; 0000-0003-0002-6959 ; 0000-0001-9587-1842 ; 0000-0001-5650-9744 ; 0000-0002-0451-3554</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s10933-024-00345-9$$EPDF$$P50$$Gspringer$$Hfree_for_read</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10933-024-00345-9$$EHTML$$P50$$Gspringer$$Hfree_for_read</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,776,780,27901,27902,41464,42533,51294</link.rule.ids></links><search><creatorcontrib>Knight, Clarke A.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Wahl, David B.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Addison, Jason</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Baskaran, Mark</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Anderson, R. Scott</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Champagne, Marie R.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Anderson, Lysanna</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Presnetsova, Liubov</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Caissie, Beth</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Starratt, Scott</creatorcontrib><title>Twentieth century extreme precipitation detected in a high-resolution, coastal lake-sediment record from California</title><title>Journal of paleolimnology</title><addtitle>J Paleolimnol</addtitle><description>California faces increasing economic and societal risks from extreme precipitation and flooding associated with atmospheric rivers (ARs) under projected twenty-first century climate warming. Lake sediments can retain signals of past extreme precipitation events, allowing reconstructions beyond the period of instrumental records. Here, we calibrate AR-related extreme precipitation from the last century to proxy data from lake sediments collected in the latitudinal zone of the highest frequency landfall for modern ARs in California. Excursions in erosional proxy data (Ti/Al) are positively and significantly correlated (r
median
= 0.45, p
median
= 0.04) with modern records of integrated vapor transport (IVT, kg m
−1
s
−1
), a key metric of AR intensity, using correlations that incorporate age-model uncertainty. Despite the land-use change near the study site, the data suggest intense and long-lasting AR storms are identifiable in this sedimentary record. 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Scott</au><au>Champagne, Marie R.</au><au>Anderson, Lysanna</au><au>Presnetsova, Liubov</au><au>Caissie, Beth</au><au>Starratt, Scott</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Twentieth century extreme precipitation detected in a high-resolution, coastal lake-sediment record from California</atitle><jtitle>Journal of paleolimnology</jtitle><stitle>J Paleolimnol</stitle><date>2025-02-01</date><risdate>2025</risdate><volume>73</volume><issue>1</issue><spage>35</spage><epage>51</epage><pages>35-51</pages><issn>0921-2728</issn><eissn>1573-0417</eissn><abstract>California faces increasing economic and societal risks from extreme precipitation and flooding associated with atmospheric rivers (ARs) under projected twenty-first century climate warming. Lake sediments can retain signals of past extreme precipitation events, allowing reconstructions beyond the period of instrumental records. Here, we calibrate AR-related extreme precipitation from the last century to proxy data from lake sediments collected in the latitudinal zone of the highest frequency landfall for modern ARs in California. Excursions in erosional proxy data (Ti/Al) are positively and significantly correlated (r
median
= 0.45, p
median
= 0.04) with modern records of integrated vapor transport (IVT, kg m
−1
s
−1
), a key metric of AR intensity, using correlations that incorporate age-model uncertainty. Despite the land-use change near the study site, the data suggest intense and long-lasting AR storms are identifiable in this sedimentary record. These results allow conservative inferences concerning past extreme hydrology at this site.</abstract><cop>Dordrecht</cop><pub>Springer Netherlands</pub><doi>10.1007/s10933-024-00345-9</doi><tpages>17</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2218-4328</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8236-3910</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7037-4150</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2416-9743</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9405-1746</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1351-8541</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0002-6959</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9587-1842</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5650-9744</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0451-3554</orcidid><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
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subjects | 20th century Climate Change Earth and Environmental Science Earth Sciences Extreme values Extreme weather Floods Freshwater & Marine Ecology Geology Global warming Hydrologic cycle Hydrology Lake deposits Lake sediments Lakes Land use Original Paper Paleontology Physical Geography Precipitation Proxies Rivers Sediment Sedimentology Sediments Storms |
title | Twentieth century extreme precipitation detected in a high-resolution, coastal lake-sediment record from California |
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