Twentieth century extreme precipitation detected in a high-resolution, coastal lake-sediment record from California

California faces increasing economic and societal risks from extreme precipitation and flooding associated with atmospheric rivers (ARs) under projected twenty-first century climate warming. Lake sediments can retain signals of past extreme precipitation events, allowing reconstructions beyond the p...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of paleolimnology 2025-02, Vol.73 (1), p.35-51
Hauptverfasser: Knight, Clarke A., Wahl, David B., Addison, Jason, Baskaran, Mark, Anderson, R. Scott, Champagne, Marie R., Anderson, Lysanna, Presnetsova, Liubov, Caissie, Beth, Starratt, Scott
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container_issue 1
container_start_page 35
container_title Journal of paleolimnology
container_volume 73
creator Knight, Clarke A.
Wahl, David B.
Addison, Jason
Baskaran, Mark
Anderson, R. Scott
Champagne, Marie R.
Anderson, Lysanna
Presnetsova, Liubov
Caissie, Beth
Starratt, Scott
description California faces increasing economic and societal risks from extreme precipitation and flooding associated with atmospheric rivers (ARs) under projected twenty-first century climate warming. Lake sediments can retain signals of past extreme precipitation events, allowing reconstructions beyond the period of instrumental records. Here, we calibrate AR-related extreme precipitation from the last century to proxy data from lake sediments collected in the latitudinal zone of the highest frequency landfall for modern ARs in California. Excursions in erosional proxy data (Ti/Al) are positively and significantly correlated (r median  = 0.45, p median  = 0.04) with modern records of integrated vapor transport (IVT, kg m −1  s −1 ), a key metric of AR intensity, using correlations that incorporate age-model uncertainty. Despite the land-use change near the study site, the data suggest intense and long-lasting AR storms are identifiable in this sedimentary record. These results allow conservative inferences concerning past extreme hydrology at this site.
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subjects 20th century
Climate Change
Earth and Environmental Science
Earth Sciences
Extreme values
Extreme weather
Floods
Freshwater & Marine Ecology
Geology
Global warming
Hydrologic cycle
Hydrology
Lake deposits
Lake sediments
Lakes
Land use
Original Paper
Paleontology
Physical Geography
Precipitation
Proxies
Rivers
Sediment
Sedimentology
Sediments
Storms
title Twentieth century extreme precipitation detected in a high-resolution, coastal lake-sediment record from California
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