Developing an integrated prediction model for daylighting, thermal comfort, and energy consumption in residential buildings based on the stacking ensemble learning algorithm
Accurate and rapid predictions of residential building performance are crucial for both new building designs and existing building renovations. This study develops an integrated prediction model using a stacking ensemble learning algorithm to predict daylighting, thermal comfort, and energy consumpt...
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Veröffentlicht in: | Building simulation 2024-11, Vol.17 (11), p.2125-2143 |
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description | Accurate and rapid predictions of residential building performance are crucial for both new building designs and existing building renovations. This study develops an integrated prediction model using a stacking ensemble learning algorithm to predict daylighting, thermal comfort, and energy consumption in residential buildings. The model incorporates multimodal residential building information as inputs, including image-based floorplans and vector-based building parameters. A comparative analysis is presented to evaluate the prediction performance of the proposed stacking ensemble learning algorithm against three base models: Resnet-50, Inception-V4, and Vision Transformer (ViT-32). The results indicated that the stacking ensemble learning algorithm outperforms the base models, reducing the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) by 0.17%–1.94% and the coefficient of variation root mean square error (CV-RMSE) by 0.37%–2.06% for daylighting metrics; the MAPE by 0.63%–4.46% and the CV-RMSE by 0.62%–5.13% for thermal comfort metrics; the MAPE by 1.42%–6.43% and the CV-RMSE by 0.27%–5.09% for energy consumption metrics of the testing dataset. Further prediction error analyses also indicate that the stacking ensemble learning algorithm consistently yields smaller prediction errors across all performance metrics compared to the three base models. In addition, this study compares the stacking ensemble learning algorithm to traditional machine learning models in terms of prediction accuracy, robustness, and generalization ability, highlighting the advantages of the stacking ensemble learning algorithm with image-based inputs. The proposed stacking ensemble learning algorithm demonstrates superior accuracy, stability, and generalizability, offering valuable and practical design support for building design and renovation processes. |
doi_str_mv | 10.1007/s12273-024-1181-y |
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This study develops an integrated prediction model using a stacking ensemble learning algorithm to predict daylighting, thermal comfort, and energy consumption in residential buildings. The model incorporates multimodal residential building information as inputs, including image-based floorplans and vector-based building parameters. A comparative analysis is presented to evaluate the prediction performance of the proposed stacking ensemble learning algorithm against three base models: Resnet-50, Inception-V4, and Vision Transformer (ViT-32). The results indicated that the stacking ensemble learning algorithm outperforms the base models, reducing the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) by 0.17%–1.94% and the coefficient of variation root mean square error (CV-RMSE) by 0.37%–2.06% for daylighting metrics; the MAPE by 0.63%–4.46% and the CV-RMSE by 0.62%–5.13% for thermal comfort metrics; the MAPE by 1.42%–6.43% and the CV-RMSE by 0.27%–5.09% for energy consumption metrics of the testing dataset. Further prediction error analyses also indicate that the stacking ensemble learning algorithm consistently yields smaller prediction errors across all performance metrics compared to the three base models. In addition, this study compares the stacking ensemble learning algorithm to traditional machine learning models in terms of prediction accuracy, robustness, and generalization ability, highlighting the advantages of the stacking ensemble learning algorithm with image-based inputs. The proposed stacking ensemble learning algorithm demonstrates superior accuracy, stability, and generalizability, offering valuable and practical design support for building design and renovation processes.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1996-3599</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1996-8744</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1007/s12273-024-1181-y</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Beijing: Tsinghua University Press</publisher><subject>Accuracy ; Algorithms ; Atmospheric Protection/Air Quality Control/Air Pollution ; Building Construction and Design ; Building design ; Coefficient of variation ; Data-Driven Building Energy Management Technologies that Integrate Physical Knowledge ; Energy consumption ; Engineering ; Engineering Thermodynamics ; Ensemble learning ; Error analysis ; Error reduction ; Heat and Mass Transfer ; Machine learning ; Monitoring/Environmental Analysis ; Performance evaluation ; Performance measurement ; Prediction models ; Renovation ; Research Article ; Residential buildings ; Residential energy ; Root-mean-square errors ; Thermal comfort</subject><ispartof>Building simulation, 2024-11, Vol.17 (11), p.2125-2143</ispartof><rights>Tsinghua University Press 2024</rights><rights>Tsinghua University Press 2024.</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c198t-e8be709cbe74642a4cd07a49173ea191ad7063c801d4213170f9c97873500f223</cites></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s12273-024-1181-y$$EPDF$$P50$$Gspringer$$H</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://link.springer.com/10.1007/s12273-024-1181-y$$EHTML$$P50$$Gspringer$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,780,784,27924,27925,41488,42557,51319</link.rule.ids></links><search><creatorcontrib>Yan, Hainan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ji, Guohua</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Cao, Shuqi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhang, Baihui</creatorcontrib><title>Developing an integrated prediction model for daylighting, thermal comfort, and energy consumption in residential buildings based on the stacking ensemble learning algorithm</title><title>Building simulation</title><addtitle>Build. Simul</addtitle><description>Accurate and rapid predictions of residential building performance are crucial for both new building designs and existing building renovations. This study develops an integrated prediction model using a stacking ensemble learning algorithm to predict daylighting, thermal comfort, and energy consumption in residential buildings. The model incorporates multimodal residential building information as inputs, including image-based floorplans and vector-based building parameters. A comparative analysis is presented to evaluate the prediction performance of the proposed stacking ensemble learning algorithm against three base models: Resnet-50, Inception-V4, and Vision Transformer (ViT-32). The results indicated that the stacking ensemble learning algorithm outperforms the base models, reducing the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) by 0.17%–1.94% and the coefficient of variation root mean square error (CV-RMSE) by 0.37%–2.06% for daylighting metrics; the MAPE by 0.63%–4.46% and the CV-RMSE by 0.62%–5.13% for thermal comfort metrics; the MAPE by 1.42%–6.43% and the CV-RMSE by 0.27%–5.09% for energy consumption metrics of the testing dataset. Further prediction error analyses also indicate that the stacking ensemble learning algorithm consistently yields smaller prediction errors across all performance metrics compared to the three base models. In addition, this study compares the stacking ensemble learning algorithm to traditional machine learning models in terms of prediction accuracy, robustness, and generalization ability, highlighting the advantages of the stacking ensemble learning algorithm with image-based inputs. The proposed stacking ensemble learning algorithm demonstrates superior accuracy, stability, and generalizability, offering valuable and practical design support for building design and renovation processes.</description><subject>Accuracy</subject><subject>Algorithms</subject><subject>Atmospheric Protection/Air Quality Control/Air Pollution</subject><subject>Building Construction and Design</subject><subject>Building design</subject><subject>Coefficient of variation</subject><subject>Data-Driven Building Energy Management Technologies that Integrate Physical Knowledge</subject><subject>Energy consumption</subject><subject>Engineering</subject><subject>Engineering Thermodynamics</subject><subject>Ensemble learning</subject><subject>Error analysis</subject><subject>Error reduction</subject><subject>Heat and Mass Transfer</subject><subject>Machine learning</subject><subject>Monitoring/Environmental Analysis</subject><subject>Performance evaluation</subject><subject>Performance measurement</subject><subject>Prediction models</subject><subject>Renovation</subject><subject>Research Article</subject><subject>Residential buildings</subject><subject>Residential energy</subject><subject>Root-mean-square errors</subject><subject>Thermal comfort</subject><issn>1996-3599</issn><issn>1996-8744</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2024</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><recordid>eNp1kcFu3CAQhq0qlRoleYDekHqNUwbYxRyrNE0qRcqlPSMWxl5SDC6wkfxQfcey2Ug9lcOAmO__Z6S_6z4CvQFK5ecCjEneUyZ6gAH69V13Dkpt-0EKcfb25hulPnRXpTzT45F0I_h59-crvmBIi48TMZH4WHHKpqIjS0bnbfUpkjk5DGRMmTizBj_ta8OvSd1jnk0gNs2tV6-bgSMYMU9r-4vlMC-vch9JxuIdxuobvjv44JpBITtT2qBGNCdSqrG_jmtgLDjvApKAJsfXxcKUsq_7-bJ7P5pQ8Ortvuh-frv7cfvQPz7df7_98thbUEPtcdihpMq2KraCGWEdlUYokBwNKDBO0i23AwUnGHCQdFRWyUHyDaUjY_yi-3TyXXL6fcBS9XM65NhGag6c8c2WS94oOFE2p1IyjnrJfjZ51UD1MRh9Cka3YPQxGL02DTtpSmPjhPmf8_9FfwHX1ZSk</recordid><startdate>20241101</startdate><enddate>20241101</enddate><creator>Yan, Hainan</creator><creator>Ji, Guohua</creator><creator>Cao, Shuqi</creator><creator>Zhang, Baihui</creator><general>Tsinghua University Press</general><general>Springer Nature B.V</general><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope></search><sort><creationdate>20241101</creationdate><title>Developing an integrated prediction model for daylighting, thermal comfort, and energy consumption in residential buildings based on the stacking ensemble learning algorithm</title><author>Yan, Hainan ; Ji, Guohua ; Cao, Shuqi ; Zhang, Baihui</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c198t-e8be709cbe74642a4cd07a49173ea191ad7063c801d4213170f9c97873500f223</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2024</creationdate><topic>Accuracy</topic><topic>Algorithms</topic><topic>Atmospheric Protection/Air Quality Control/Air Pollution</topic><topic>Building Construction and Design</topic><topic>Building design</topic><topic>Coefficient of variation</topic><topic>Data-Driven Building Energy Management Technologies that Integrate Physical Knowledge</topic><topic>Energy consumption</topic><topic>Engineering</topic><topic>Engineering Thermodynamics</topic><topic>Ensemble learning</topic><topic>Error analysis</topic><topic>Error reduction</topic><topic>Heat and Mass Transfer</topic><topic>Machine learning</topic><topic>Monitoring/Environmental Analysis</topic><topic>Performance evaluation</topic><topic>Performance measurement</topic><topic>Prediction models</topic><topic>Renovation</topic><topic>Research Article</topic><topic>Residential buildings</topic><topic>Residential energy</topic><topic>Root-mean-square errors</topic><topic>Thermal comfort</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Yan, Hainan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ji, Guohua</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Cao, Shuqi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhang, Baihui</creatorcontrib><collection>CrossRef</collection><jtitle>Building simulation</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Yan, Hainan</au><au>Ji, Guohua</au><au>Cao, Shuqi</au><au>Zhang, Baihui</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Developing an integrated prediction model for daylighting, thermal comfort, and energy consumption in residential buildings based on the stacking ensemble learning algorithm</atitle><jtitle>Building simulation</jtitle><stitle>Build. Simul</stitle><date>2024-11-01</date><risdate>2024</risdate><volume>17</volume><issue>11</issue><spage>2125</spage><epage>2143</epage><pages>2125-2143</pages><issn>1996-3599</issn><eissn>1996-8744</eissn><abstract>Accurate and rapid predictions of residential building performance are crucial for both new building designs and existing building renovations. This study develops an integrated prediction model using a stacking ensemble learning algorithm to predict daylighting, thermal comfort, and energy consumption in residential buildings. The model incorporates multimodal residential building information as inputs, including image-based floorplans and vector-based building parameters. A comparative analysis is presented to evaluate the prediction performance of the proposed stacking ensemble learning algorithm against three base models: Resnet-50, Inception-V4, and Vision Transformer (ViT-32). The results indicated that the stacking ensemble learning algorithm outperforms the base models, reducing the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) by 0.17%–1.94% and the coefficient of variation root mean square error (CV-RMSE) by 0.37%–2.06% for daylighting metrics; the MAPE by 0.63%–4.46% and the CV-RMSE by 0.62%–5.13% for thermal comfort metrics; the MAPE by 1.42%–6.43% and the CV-RMSE by 0.27%–5.09% for energy consumption metrics of the testing dataset. Further prediction error analyses also indicate that the stacking ensemble learning algorithm consistently yields smaller prediction errors across all performance metrics compared to the three base models. In addition, this study compares the stacking ensemble learning algorithm to traditional machine learning models in terms of prediction accuracy, robustness, and generalization ability, highlighting the advantages of the stacking ensemble learning algorithm with image-based inputs. The proposed stacking ensemble learning algorithm demonstrates superior accuracy, stability, and generalizability, offering valuable and practical design support for building design and renovation processes.</abstract><cop>Beijing</cop><pub>Tsinghua University Press</pub><doi>10.1007/s12273-024-1181-y</doi><tpages>19</tpages></addata></record> |
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subjects | Accuracy Algorithms Atmospheric Protection/Air Quality Control/Air Pollution Building Construction and Design Building design Coefficient of variation Data-Driven Building Energy Management Technologies that Integrate Physical Knowledge Energy consumption Engineering Engineering Thermodynamics Ensemble learning Error analysis Error reduction Heat and Mass Transfer Machine learning Monitoring/Environmental Analysis Performance evaluation Performance measurement Prediction models Renovation Research Article Residential buildings Residential energy Root-mean-square errors Thermal comfort |
title | Developing an integrated prediction model for daylighting, thermal comfort, and energy consumption in residential buildings based on the stacking ensemble learning algorithm |
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