Asymmetric ENSO teleconnections in a symmetric CO2 concentration pathway
El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the strongest interannual phenomenon occurring in the tropical Pacific, significantly affecting the entire world. The ENSO response to increasing CO2 concentrations have been extensively studied, but the reverse scenario is still not well understood. Here, we i...
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description | El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the strongest interannual phenomenon occurring in the tropical Pacific, significantly affecting the entire world. The ENSO response to increasing CO2 concentrations have been extensively studied, but the reverse scenario is still not well understood. Here, we investigate the hysteresis of ENSO teleconnections in a CO2 removal simulation of an earth system model. During the ramp-up period of CO2 concentrations, Pacific-North American and Pacific-South American patterns are intensified, with the eastward shift of their poles, which are even further intensified during the ramp-down period. This ENSO teleconnection hysteresis is closely linked to the tropical-origin hysteresis, in which, during the ramp-down periods, the prevalence of the eastern-Pacific type El Niño leads to the hysteresis in the eastern Hemispheric ENSO teleconnections and the enhanced ENSO skewness and the eastward shift of ENSO-induced tropical atmospheric convection do to that in the western Hemispheric ENSO teleconnection. The alterations by the tropical origin are predominantly associated with intensified southward migration of the Intertropical Convergence Zone, along with a stronger El Niño-like warming trend. We also demonstrate that the hysteretic change in the mid-latitude mean state over the North Pacific region could lead to hysteresis of the ENSO teleconnection without invoking a tropical origin. |
doi_str_mv | 10.1088/1748-9326/ad7b5c |
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The ENSO response to increasing CO2 concentrations have been extensively studied, but the reverse scenario is still not well understood. Here, we investigate the hysteresis of ENSO teleconnections in a CO2 removal simulation of an earth system model. During the ramp-up period of CO2 concentrations, Pacific-North American and Pacific-South American patterns are intensified, with the eastward shift of their poles, which are even further intensified during the ramp-down period. This ENSO teleconnection hysteresis is closely linked to the tropical-origin hysteresis, in which, during the ramp-down periods, the prevalence of the eastern-Pacific type El Niño leads to the hysteresis in the eastern Hemispheric ENSO teleconnections and the enhanced ENSO skewness and the eastward shift of ENSO-induced tropical atmospheric convection do to that in the western Hemispheric ENSO teleconnection. The alterations by the tropical origin are predominantly associated with intensified southward migration of the Intertropical Convergence Zone, along with a stronger El Niño-like warming trend. We also demonstrate that the hysteretic change in the mid-latitude mean state over the North Pacific region could lead to hysteresis of the ENSO teleconnection without invoking a tropical origin.</description><identifier>EISSN: 1748-9326</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad7b5c</identifier><identifier>CODEN: ERLNAL</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Bristol: IOP Publishing</publisher><subject>Atmospheric convection ; Carbon dioxide ; Carbon dioxide concentration ; Carbon dioxide removal ; CO2 removal scenario ; El Nino ; Hysteresis ; hysteresis of ENSO teleconnections ; Intertropical convergence zone ; Intertropical convergent zones ; ITCZ ; removal scenario ; Southern Oscillation ; Teleconnections</subject><ispartof>Environmental research letters, 2024-12, Vol.19 (12), p.124028</ispartof><rights>2024 The Author(s). Published by IOP Publishing Ltd</rights><rights>2024 The Author(s). Published by IOP Publishing Ltd. This work is published under https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (the “License”). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><orcidid>0000-0002-3509-5690 ; 0009-0007-1478-1468 ; 0000-0003-2251-2579 ; 0000-0002-6749-010X ; 0000-0002-0003-429X ; 0000-0003-4549-1686 ; 0000-0002-8556-2314 ; 0000-0003-2982-9501</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ad7b5c/pdf$$EPDF$$P50$$Giop$$Hfree_for_read</linktopdf><link.rule.ids>314,780,784,864,2102,27924,27925,38868,38890,53840,53867</link.rule.ids></links><search><creatorcontrib>An, Soon-Il</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Shin, Su-Hyeon</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Liu, Chao</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Yeh, Sang-Wook</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Min, Seung-Ki</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Son, Seok-Woo</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kug, Jong-Seong</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Park, Jae-Heung</creatorcontrib><title>Asymmetric ENSO teleconnections in a symmetric CO2 concentration pathway</title><title>Environmental research letters</title><addtitle>ERL</addtitle><addtitle>Environ. Res. Lett</addtitle><description>El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the strongest interannual phenomenon occurring in the tropical Pacific, significantly affecting the entire world. The ENSO response to increasing CO2 concentrations have been extensively studied, but the reverse scenario is still not well understood. Here, we investigate the hysteresis of ENSO teleconnections in a CO2 removal simulation of an earth system model. During the ramp-up period of CO2 concentrations, Pacific-North American and Pacific-South American patterns are intensified, with the eastward shift of their poles, which are even further intensified during the ramp-down period. This ENSO teleconnection hysteresis is closely linked to the tropical-origin hysteresis, in which, during the ramp-down periods, the prevalence of the eastern-Pacific type El Niño leads to the hysteresis in the eastern Hemispheric ENSO teleconnections and the enhanced ENSO skewness and the eastward shift of ENSO-induced tropical atmospheric convection do to that in the western Hemispheric ENSO teleconnection. The alterations by the tropical origin are predominantly associated with intensified southward migration of the Intertropical Convergence Zone, along with a stronger El Niño-like warming trend. We also demonstrate that the hysteretic change in the mid-latitude mean state over the North Pacific region could lead to hysteresis of the ENSO teleconnection without invoking a tropical origin.</description><subject>Atmospheric convection</subject><subject>Carbon dioxide</subject><subject>Carbon dioxide concentration</subject><subject>Carbon dioxide removal</subject><subject>CO2 removal scenario</subject><subject>El Nino</subject><subject>Hysteresis</subject><subject>hysteresis of ENSO teleconnections</subject><subject>Intertropical convergence zone</subject><subject>Intertropical convergent zones</subject><subject>ITCZ</subject><subject>removal scenario</subject><subject>Southern Oscillation</subject><subject>Teleconnections</subject><issn>1748-9326</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2024</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>O3W</sourceid><sourceid>ABUWG</sourceid><sourceid>AFKRA</sourceid><sourceid>AZQEC</sourceid><sourceid>BENPR</sourceid><sourceid>CCPQU</sourceid><sourceid>DWQXO</sourceid><sourceid>GNUQQ</sourceid><sourceid>DOA</sourceid><recordid>eNpFkM1LAzEQxYMgWKt3jwteXZuPzSY5llJtobgH9Rwm2VS3tJs1myL97924Yk8Db968efwQuiP4kWApZ0QUMleMljOoheH2Ak3-pSt03fc7jHnBhZyg1bw_HQ4uhsZmy5fXKotu76xvW2dj49s-a9oMsrNnUdFsWFvXxgDJkXUQP7_hdIMut7Dv3e3fnKL3p-XbYpVvquf1Yr7Ja8plzBlTquScMCFqJZmhglOwzCgCkpRWccFSN1vWxlFmOMAWcyKxEJjidDFF6zG39rDTXWgOEE7aQ6N_BR8-NITY2L3TYBQ1RgAlbltwwhUIYhiBIY7XuMRD1v2Y1QX_dXR91Dt_DO1QXzNCi5KXVKaPD6Or8d3ZQLBOrHUCqxNYPbJmP_9Jca8</recordid><startdate>20241201</startdate><enddate>20241201</enddate><creator>An, Soon-Il</creator><creator>Shin, Su-Hyeon</creator><creator>Liu, Chao</creator><creator>Yeh, Sang-Wook</creator><creator>Min, Seung-Ki</creator><creator>Son, Seok-Woo</creator><creator>Kug, Jong-Seong</creator><creator>Park, Jae-Heung</creator><general>IOP Publishing</general><scope>O3W</scope><scope>TSCCA</scope><scope>8FE</scope><scope>8FG</scope><scope>ABJCF</scope><scope>ABUWG</scope><scope>AFKRA</scope><scope>ATCPS</scope><scope>AZQEC</scope><scope>BENPR</scope><scope>BGLVJ</scope><scope>BHPHI</scope><scope>CCPQU</scope><scope>DWQXO</scope><scope>GNUQQ</scope><scope>HCIFZ</scope><scope>L6V</scope><scope>M7S</scope><scope>PATMY</scope><scope>PIMPY</scope><scope>PQEST</scope><scope>PQQKQ</scope><scope>PQUKI</scope><scope>PRINS</scope><scope>PTHSS</scope><scope>PYCSY</scope><scope>DOA</scope><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3509-5690</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0009-0007-1478-1468</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2251-2579</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6749-010X</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0003-429X</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4549-1686</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8556-2314</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2982-9501</orcidid></search><sort><creationdate>20241201</creationdate><title>Asymmetric ENSO teleconnections in a symmetric CO2 concentration pathway</title><author>An, Soon-Il ; 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Res. Lett</addtitle><date>2024-12-01</date><risdate>2024</risdate><volume>19</volume><issue>12</issue><spage>124028</spage><pages>124028-</pages><eissn>1748-9326</eissn><coden>ERLNAL</coden><abstract>El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the strongest interannual phenomenon occurring in the tropical Pacific, significantly affecting the entire world. The ENSO response to increasing CO2 concentrations have been extensively studied, but the reverse scenario is still not well understood. Here, we investigate the hysteresis of ENSO teleconnections in a CO2 removal simulation of an earth system model. During the ramp-up period of CO2 concentrations, Pacific-North American and Pacific-South American patterns are intensified, with the eastward shift of their poles, which are even further intensified during the ramp-down period. This ENSO teleconnection hysteresis is closely linked to the tropical-origin hysteresis, in which, during the ramp-down periods, the prevalence of the eastern-Pacific type El Niño leads to the hysteresis in the eastern Hemispheric ENSO teleconnections and the enhanced ENSO skewness and the eastward shift of ENSO-induced tropical atmospheric convection do to that in the western Hemispheric ENSO teleconnection. The alterations by the tropical origin are predominantly associated with intensified southward migration of the Intertropical Convergence Zone, along with a stronger El Niño-like warming trend. 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subjects | Atmospheric convection Carbon dioxide Carbon dioxide concentration Carbon dioxide removal CO2 removal scenario El Nino Hysteresis hysteresis of ENSO teleconnections Intertropical convergence zone Intertropical convergent zones ITCZ removal scenario Southern Oscillation Teleconnections |
title | Asymmetric ENSO teleconnections in a symmetric CO2 concentration pathway |
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