Research on Evaluation and Prediction Method of Electrical Life of Contactor Individual

Aiming at the problem of electrical life prediction of AC contactor individual, considering that characteristic information and degradation trend of different life stages are different, a comprehensive electrical life analysis method is proposed. First, based on uncertainty reasoning, initial electrical life is qualitatively evaluated to realize an early warning for contactor with poor performance. Secondly, real‐time monitoring of performance degradation inflection point is used to realize the determination of degradation stage. With degradation stage matching mechanism, the quantitative prediction of remaining useful electrical life is realized based on performance inflection point and Elman neural network, thus forming an effective monitoring of the operation state in full life cycle. It is verified by experiment that the proposed method can accurately evaluate initial life grade and predict remaining useful life after performance inflection point. Compared with other methods, the information of electrical life for contactor individual can be accurately and comprehensively obtained. © 2024 Institute of Electrical Engineers of Japan and Wiley Periodicals LLC.