Partisanship is why people vote in person in a pandemic
Objective The choice of voting methods has increasingly become a politicized, partisan issue. We ask: Can a nationalized partisan rhetoric cast doubt on vote‐by‐mail (VBM) despite years of experience and a raging pandemic? Method Using 2020 general election records in Colorado, an established all‐ma...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | Social science quarterly 2024-07, Vol.105 (4), p.1042-1060 |
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| container_issue | 4 |
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| container_title | Social science quarterly |
| container_volume | 105 |
| creator | Kim, Seo‐Young Silvia Bandreddi, Akhil Alvarez, R. Michael |
| description | Objective
The choice of voting methods has increasingly become a politicized, partisan issue. We ask: Can a nationalized partisan rhetoric cast doubt on vote‐by‐mail (VBM) despite years of experience and a raging pandemic?
Method
Using 2020 general election records in Colorado, an established all‐mail voting state, we analyze first the general choice of voting methods using supervised machine learning and then the choice to switch to in‐person voting despite having used VBM in previous cycles.
Results
The choice of voting modes is mainly habitual; local variations of COVID‐19 hardly mattered. Republican partisanship played an important role in predicting “switchers” to in‐person voting; the probability was 5.2 percent conditional on being a Republican as opposed to 1.9 percent for a Democrat.
Conclusions
The results suggest that voting in person can be heavily polarized by partisan communication, despite being a health behavior in a pandemic and voters having experience with mail voting. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1111/ssqu.13380 |
| format | Article |
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The choice of voting methods has increasingly become a politicized, partisan issue. We ask: Can a nationalized partisan rhetoric cast doubt on vote‐by‐mail (VBM) despite years of experience and a raging pandemic?
Method
Using 2020 general election records in Colorado, an established all‐mail voting state, we analyze first the general choice of voting methods using supervised machine learning and then the choice to switch to in‐person voting despite having used VBM in previous cycles.
Results
The choice of voting modes is mainly habitual; local variations of COVID‐19 hardly mattered. Republican partisanship played an important role in predicting “switchers” to in‐person voting; the probability was 5.2 percent conditional on being a Republican as opposed to 1.9 percent for a Democrat.
Conclusions
The results suggest that voting in person can be heavily polarized by partisan communication, despite being a health behavior in a pandemic and voters having experience with mail voting.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0038-4941</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1540-6237</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1111/ssqu.13380</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Oxford: Blackwell Publishing Ltd</publisher><subject>COVID-19 ; Elections ; Health behavior ; Health education ; Health information ; Pandemics ; Partisanship ; Rhetoric ; Voting</subject><ispartof>Social science quarterly, 2024-07, Vol.105 (4), p.1042-1060</ispartof><rights>2024 The Authors. published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of Southwestern Social Science Association.</rights><rights>2024. This article is published under http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/ (the “License”). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c2960-48382ab25659a95c7012ae3a6d04e56baaa0e2f3e9ed6fd4c5cca6fd2436bfb23</cites><orcidid>0000-0002-8801-9210</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111%2Fssqu.13380$$EPDF$$P50$$Gwiley$$Hfree_for_read</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111%2Fssqu.13380$$EHTML$$P50$$Gwiley$$Hfree_for_read</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,780,784,1417,27924,27925,33774,45574,45575</link.rule.ids></links><search><creatorcontrib>Kim, Seo‐Young Silvia</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bandreddi, Akhil</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Alvarez, R. Michael</creatorcontrib><title>Partisanship is why people vote in person in a pandemic</title><title>Social science quarterly</title><description>Objective
The choice of voting methods has increasingly become a politicized, partisan issue. We ask: Can a nationalized partisan rhetoric cast doubt on vote‐by‐mail (VBM) despite years of experience and a raging pandemic?
Method
Using 2020 general election records in Colorado, an established all‐mail voting state, we analyze first the general choice of voting methods using supervised machine learning and then the choice to switch to in‐person voting despite having used VBM in previous cycles.
Results
The choice of voting modes is mainly habitual; local variations of COVID‐19 hardly mattered. Republican partisanship played an important role in predicting “switchers” to in‐person voting; the probability was 5.2 percent conditional on being a Republican as opposed to 1.9 percent for a Democrat.
Conclusions
The results suggest that voting in person can be heavily polarized by partisan communication, despite being a health behavior in a pandemic and voters having experience with mail voting.</description><subject>COVID-19</subject><subject>Elections</subject><subject>Health behavior</subject><subject>Health education</subject><subject>Health information</subject><subject>Pandemics</subject><subject>Partisanship</subject><subject>Rhetoric</subject><subject>Voting</subject><issn>0038-4941</issn><issn>1540-6237</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2024</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>24P</sourceid><sourceid>WIN</sourceid><sourceid>7UB</sourceid><sourceid>BHHNA</sourceid><recordid>eNp9kE1Lw0AQhhdRsFYv_oKANyF19jPZoxS_oKBSe14mmw3dkibpbmvpvzcxnp3LvAPPzMBDyC2FGe3rIcbdYUY5z-GMTKgUkCrGs3MyAeB5KrSgl-Qqxg0ACCbyCck-MOx9xCaufZf4mBzXp6RzbVe75Lvdu8Q3_Rhi2wwJkw6b0m29vSYXFdbR3fz1KVk9P33NX9PF-8vb_HGRWqYVpCLnOcOCSSU1amkzoAwdR1WCcFIViAiOVdxpV6qqFFZai31ggquiKhifkrvxbhfa3cHFvdm0h9D0Lw0HzVUmtcp76n6kbGhjDK4yXfBbDCdDwQxizCDG_IrpYTrCR1-70z-kWS4_V-POD0WgZZ8</recordid><startdate>202407</startdate><enddate>202407</enddate><creator>Kim, Seo‐Young Silvia</creator><creator>Bandreddi, Akhil</creator><creator>Alvarez, R. Michael</creator><general>Blackwell Publishing Ltd</general><scope>24P</scope><scope>WIN</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7U4</scope><scope>7UB</scope><scope>8BJ</scope><scope>BHHNA</scope><scope>DWI</scope><scope>FQK</scope><scope>JBE</scope><scope>WZK</scope><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8801-9210</orcidid></search><sort><creationdate>202407</creationdate><title>Partisanship is why people vote in person in a pandemic</title><author>Kim, Seo‐Young Silvia ; Bandreddi, Akhil ; Alvarez, R. Michael</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c2960-48382ab25659a95c7012ae3a6d04e56baaa0e2f3e9ed6fd4c5cca6fd2436bfb23</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2024</creationdate><topic>COVID-19</topic><topic>Elections</topic><topic>Health behavior</topic><topic>Health education</topic><topic>Health information</topic><topic>Pandemics</topic><topic>Partisanship</topic><topic>Rhetoric</topic><topic>Voting</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Kim, Seo‐Young Silvia</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bandreddi, Akhil</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Alvarez, R. Michael</creatorcontrib><collection>Wiley Online Library (Open Access Collection)</collection><collection>Wiley Online Library (Open Access Collection)</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>Sociological Abstracts (pre-2017)</collection><collection>Worldwide Political Science Abstracts</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences (IBSS)</collection><collection>Sociological Abstracts</collection><collection>Sociological Abstracts</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences</collection><collection>Sociological Abstracts (Ovid)</collection><jtitle>Social science quarterly</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Kim, Seo‐Young Silvia</au><au>Bandreddi, Akhil</au><au>Alvarez, R. Michael</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Partisanship is why people vote in person in a pandemic</atitle><jtitle>Social science quarterly</jtitle><date>2024-07</date><risdate>2024</risdate><volume>105</volume><issue>4</issue><spage>1042</spage><epage>1060</epage><pages>1042-1060</pages><issn>0038-4941</issn><eissn>1540-6237</eissn><abstract>Objective
The choice of voting methods has increasingly become a politicized, partisan issue. We ask: Can a nationalized partisan rhetoric cast doubt on vote‐by‐mail (VBM) despite years of experience and a raging pandemic?
Method
Using 2020 general election records in Colorado, an established all‐mail voting state, we analyze first the general choice of voting methods using supervised machine learning and then the choice to switch to in‐person voting despite having used VBM in previous cycles.
Results
The choice of voting modes is mainly habitual; local variations of COVID‐19 hardly mattered. Republican partisanship played an important role in predicting “switchers” to in‐person voting; the probability was 5.2 percent conditional on being a Republican as opposed to 1.9 percent for a Democrat.
Conclusions
The results suggest that voting in person can be heavily polarized by partisan communication, despite being a health behavior in a pandemic and voters having experience with mail voting.</abstract><cop>Oxford</cop><pub>Blackwell Publishing Ltd</pub><doi>10.1111/ssqu.13380</doi><tpages>19</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8801-9210</orcidid><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
| fulltext | fulltext |
| identifier | ISSN: 0038-4941 |
| ispartof | Social science quarterly, 2024-07, Vol.105 (4), p.1042-1060 |
| issn | 0038-4941 1540-6237 |
| language | eng |
| recordid | cdi_proquest_journals_3093675968 |
| source | Worldwide Political Science Abstracts; Sociological Abstracts; EBSCOhost Business Source Complete; Access via Wiley Online Library |
| subjects | COVID-19 Elections Health behavior Health education Health information Pandemics Partisanship Rhetoric Voting |
| title | Partisanship is why people vote in person in a pandemic |
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