Comparison of short-term fertility intentions of albanian women in Italy with non-migrants in Albania and italian women

The central aim of this paper is to get a deeper understanding of short-term fertility intentions of native, migrant and non-migrant partnered women by testing for adaptation, socialization and selection theories while applying an origin-destination perspective. To find support for these hypotheses,...

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Veröffentlicht in:Statistical methods & applications 2024-07, Vol.33 (3), p.999-1024
Hauptverfasser: García-Pereiro, Thaís, Paterno, Ana
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:The central aim of this paper is to get a deeper understanding of short-term fertility intentions of native, migrant and non-migrant partnered women by testing for adaptation, socialization and selection theories while applying an origin-destination perspective. To find support for these hypotheses, data was drawn from several sources (FSS and SCIF for Italy, DHS for Albania), harmonized and merged into a unique dataset combining information on partnered women according to their migrant/non-migrant status. Binary regression models on positive fertility intentions, Average Marginal Effects, Adjusted Predictions for Prototypical Cases and multivariate non-linear decompositions are estimated to account for differences and/or similarities across groups of women. Results found that positive fertility intentions of Albanian migrant women resemble those of Italian women and are significantly lower than those of non-migrants, supporting adaptation theory. Findings also reported selection into migration, given that the gap in likelihood of being intended to have a child would be reduced if migrants were like non-migrants in terms of their educational attainment.
ISSN:1618-2510
1613-981X
DOI:10.1007/s10260-023-00715-z