A positive trend in the stability of global offshore wind energy

The recognition on the trend of wind energy stability is still extremely rare, although it is closely related to acquisition efficiency, grid connection, equipment lifetime, and costs of wind energy utilization. Using the 40-year (1979–2018) ERA-Interim data from the European Center for Medium-Range...

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Veröffentlicht in:Acta oceanologica Sinica 2024, Vol.43 (1), p.123-134
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description The recognition on the trend of wind energy stability is still extremely rare, although it is closely related to acquisition efficiency, grid connection, equipment lifetime, and costs of wind energy utilization. Using the 40-year (1979–2018) ERA-Interim data from the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, this study presented the spatial-temporal distribution and climatic trend of the stability of global offshore wind energy as well as the abrupt phenomenon of wind energy stability in key regions over the past 40 years with the climatic analysis method and Mann-Kendall (M-K) test. The results show the following 5 points. (1) According to the coefficient of variation ( C v ) of the wind power density, there are six permanent stable zones of global offshore wind energy: the southeast and northeast trade wind zones in the Indian, Pacific and Atlantic oceans, the Southern Hemisphere westerly, and a semi-permanent stable zone (North Indian Ocean). (2) There are six low-value zones for both seasonal variability index ( S v ) and monthly variability index ( M v ) globally, with a similar spatial distribution as that of the six permanent stable zones. M v and S v in the Arabian Sea are the highest in the world. (3) After C v , M v and S v are comprehensively considered, the six permanent stable zones have an obvious advantage in the stability of wind energy over other sea areas, with C v below 0.8, M v within 1.0, and S v within 0.7 all the year round. (4) The global stability of offshore wind energy shows a positive climatic trend for the past four decades. C v , M v and S v have not changed significantly or decreased in most of the global ocean during 1979 to 2018. That is, wind energy is flat or more stable, while the monthly and seasonal variabilities tend to shrink/smooth, which is beneficial for wind energy utilization. (5) C v in the low-latitude Pacific and M v and S v in both the North Indian Ocean and the low-latitude Pacific have an obvious abrupt phenomenon at the end of the 20th century.
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C v , M v and S v have not changed significantly or decreased in most of the global ocean during 1979 to 2018. That is, wind energy is flat or more stable, while the monthly and seasonal variabilities tend to shrink/smooth, which is beneficial for wind energy utilization. (5) C v in the low-latitude Pacific and M v and S v in both the North Indian Ocean and the low-latitude Pacific have an obvious abrupt phenomenon at the end of the 20th century.</abstract><cop>Berlin/Heidelberg</cop><pub>Springer Berlin Heidelberg</pub><doi>10.1007/s13131-024-2345-4</doi><tpages>12</tpages></addata></record>
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subjects Climate trends
Climatic analysis
Climatology
Coefficient of variation
Earth and Environmental Science
Earth Sciences
Ecology
Energy
Energy costs
Energy utilization
Engineering Fluid Dynamics
Environmental Chemistry
Latitude
Marine & Freshwater Sciences
Medium-range forecasting
Oceanography
Oceans
Offshore
Offshore energy sources
Seasonal variability
Seasonal variation
Seasonal variations
Southern Hemisphere
Spatial distribution
Stability
Temporal distribution
Trade winds
Weather forecasting
Wind power
title A positive trend in the stability of global offshore wind energy
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