Against the tide: how changes in political alignment affect grant allocation to municipalities in Hungary

The 2019 local election in Hungary accelerated the trend of centralization, marked by a simultaneous reduction in available local funds and an increase in discretionary transfers to local governments. This paper, utilizing a dataset encompassing all over 3000 municipalities from 2015 to 2020, employ...

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Veröffentlicht in:Public choice 2024-03, Vol.198 (3-4), p.467-492
Hauptverfasser: Vasvári, Tamás, Longauer, Dóra
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container_title Public choice
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description The 2019 local election in Hungary accelerated the trend of centralization, marked by a simultaneous reduction in available local funds and an increase in discretionary transfers to local governments. This paper, utilizing a dataset encompassing all over 3000 municipalities from 2015 to 2020, employs fixed-effect estimations and a regression discontinuity design to explore how election outcomes influenced central decisions on intergovernmental transfers. Generally, larger municipalities are more susceptible to political influence, particularly in the allocation of discretionary grants, whereas smaller settlements appear less affected by political shifts. Changes in political alignment triggered a rewarding policy for municipalities that remained or converted to aligned status, resulting in an additional 86.4% and 65.2% of discretionary funds, respectively, relative to those converting to or remaining unaligned. Our research establishes that political influence in intergovernmental transfers has intensified since 2019, offering valuable insights for the upcoming 2024 election.
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source PAIS Index; Worldwide Political Science Abstracts; SpringerLink Journals - AutoHoldings
subjects Allocation
Bailouts
Centralization
Decentralization
Discontinuity
Economics
Economics and Finance
Election results
Favoritism
Funds
Government
Grants
Influence
Local elections
Local government
Municipalities
Pandemics
Political power
Political Science
Politics
Public Finance
Public services
Voters
title Against the tide: how changes in political alignment affect grant allocation to municipalities in Hungary
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