High-resolution WRF simulations of a monsoon event (2019) over the Badulu Oya Catchment, Sri Lanka: Role of cumulus parameterization condition and microphysics schemes

Numerical weather modelling has piqued the attention of the hydrological community because precise predictions from the models might lessen the extreme hydrological repercussions. Despite the paucity of existing studies, significant tropical storms frequently affect the Asian island of Sri Lanka. Th...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of Earth System Science 2023-10, Vol.132 (4), p.166, Article 166
Hauptverfasser: Gimhan, P G S, Neluwala, Panduka, Acierto, Ralph Allen
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Neluwala, Panduka
Acierto, Ralph Allen
description Numerical weather modelling has piqued the attention of the hydrological community because precise predictions from the models might lessen the extreme hydrological repercussions. Despite the paucity of existing studies, significant tropical storms frequently affect the Asian island of Sri Lanka. This research investigates the Weather Research Forecast (WRF-ARW) model's cumulus parameterization condition and physical parameterization schemes for a 2019 northeast monsoon event over the Badulu Oya Basin, Sri Lanka. Three cumulus schemes (Kain–Fritsch (KF), Betts–Miller–Janjic (BMJ) and Multi-scale Kain–Fritsch (MKF)) and four microphysics schemes (WRF single-moment 5-class (WSM5), WRF single-moment 6-class (WSM6), Kessler (KSL) and WRF double moment 6-class (WDM6)) were evaluated for their impact on modelled rainfall. The model performances were assessed using 24-hr accumulated model rainfall and observed rainfall with various model configurations at a horizontal grid resolution of 3 km using categorical and two quantitative comparison techniques. The study concluded that the activated KF scheme with a finer domain resolution (3 km) would be preferred for cumulus parameterization in the study region. The KF-WSM5 combination was the best since it produced the highest statistics: ETS is 0.38, B is 0.95, r is 0.76, NSD is 1.06, NRMSE is 0.72, and CCPA is 75%. Research highlights We simulated an extreme northeast monsoon precipitation event over the Badulu Oya catchment, Sri Lanka. Simulations were performed using the Weather Research and Forecasting model (WRF-ARW). Sensitivity studied to cumulus parameterization condition and microphysics schemes (CPSs- KF, BMJ, MKF and MPSs-WSM5, WSM6, KSL and WDM6). The activated Kain–Fritsch cumulus scheme at 3 km resolution was found to be the most accurate. Combination of KF-WSM5 with activated cumulus scheme in the finer domain could be preferable option for heavy rainfall simulations over the study area.
doi_str_mv 10.1007/s12040-023-02186-y
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Despite the paucity of existing studies, significant tropical storms frequently affect the Asian island of Sri Lanka. This research investigates the Weather Research Forecast (WRF-ARW) model's cumulus parameterization condition and physical parameterization schemes for a 2019 northeast monsoon event over the Badulu Oya Basin, Sri Lanka. Three cumulus schemes (Kain–Fritsch (KF), Betts–Miller–Janjic (BMJ) and Multi-scale Kain–Fritsch (MKF)) and four microphysics schemes (WRF single-moment 5-class (WSM5), WRF single-moment 6-class (WSM6), Kessler (KSL) and WRF double moment 6-class (WDM6)) were evaluated for their impact on modelled rainfall. The model performances were assessed using 24-hr accumulated model rainfall and observed rainfall with various model configurations at a horizontal grid resolution of 3 km using categorical and two quantitative comparison techniques. The study concluded that the activated KF scheme with a finer domain resolution (3 km) would be preferred for cumulus parameterization in the study region. The KF-WSM5 combination was the best since it produced the highest statistics: ETS is 0.38, B is 0.95, r is 0.76, NSD is 1.06, NRMSE is 0.72, and CCPA is 75%. Research highlights We simulated an extreme northeast monsoon precipitation event over the Badulu Oya catchment, Sri Lanka. Simulations were performed using the Weather Research and Forecasting model (WRF-ARW). Sensitivity studied to cumulus parameterization condition and microphysics schemes (CPSs- KF, BMJ, MKF and MPSs-WSM5, WSM6, KSL and WDM6). The activated Kain–Fritsch cumulus scheme at 3 km resolution was found to be the most accurate. 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Despite the paucity of existing studies, significant tropical storms frequently affect the Asian island of Sri Lanka. This research investigates the Weather Research Forecast (WRF-ARW) model's cumulus parameterization condition and physical parameterization schemes for a 2019 northeast monsoon event over the Badulu Oya Basin, Sri Lanka. Three cumulus schemes (Kain–Fritsch (KF), Betts–Miller–Janjic (BMJ) and Multi-scale Kain–Fritsch (MKF)) and four microphysics schemes (WRF single-moment 5-class (WSM5), WRF single-moment 6-class (WSM6), Kessler (KSL) and WRF double moment 6-class (WDM6)) were evaluated for their impact on modelled rainfall. The model performances were assessed using 24-hr accumulated model rainfall and observed rainfall with various model configurations at a horizontal grid resolution of 3 km using categorical and two quantitative comparison techniques. The study concluded that the activated KF scheme with a finer domain resolution (3 km) would be preferred for cumulus parameterization in the study region. The KF-WSM5 combination was the best since it produced the highest statistics: ETS is 0.38, B is 0.95, r is 0.76, NSD is 1.06, NRMSE is 0.72, and CCPA is 75%. Research highlights We simulated an extreme northeast monsoon precipitation event over the Badulu Oya catchment, Sri Lanka. Simulations were performed using the Weather Research and Forecasting model (WRF-ARW). Sensitivity studied to cumulus parameterization condition and microphysics schemes (CPSs- KF, BMJ, MKF and MPSs-WSM5, WSM6, KSL and WDM6). The activated Kain–Fritsch cumulus scheme at 3 km resolution was found to be the most accurate. 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Despite the paucity of existing studies, significant tropical storms frequently affect the Asian island of Sri Lanka. This research investigates the Weather Research Forecast (WRF-ARW) model's cumulus parameterization condition and physical parameterization schemes for a 2019 northeast monsoon event over the Badulu Oya Basin, Sri Lanka. Three cumulus schemes (Kain–Fritsch (KF), Betts–Miller–Janjic (BMJ) and Multi-scale Kain–Fritsch (MKF)) and four microphysics schemes (WRF single-moment 5-class (WSM5), WRF single-moment 6-class (WSM6), Kessler (KSL) and WRF double moment 6-class (WDM6)) were evaluated for their impact on modelled rainfall. The model performances were assessed using 24-hr accumulated model rainfall and observed rainfall with various model configurations at a horizontal grid resolution of 3 km using categorical and two quantitative comparison techniques. The study concluded that the activated KF scheme with a finer domain resolution (3 km) would be preferred for cumulus parameterization in the study region. The KF-WSM5 combination was the best since it produced the highest statistics: ETS is 0.38, B is 0.95, r is 0.76, NSD is 1.06, NRMSE is 0.72, and CCPA is 75%. Research highlights We simulated an extreme northeast monsoon precipitation event over the Badulu Oya catchment, Sri Lanka. Simulations were performed using the Weather Research and Forecasting model (WRF-ARW). Sensitivity studied to cumulus parameterization condition and microphysics schemes (CPSs- KF, BMJ, MKF and MPSs-WSM5, WSM6, KSL and WDM6). The activated Kain–Fritsch cumulus scheme at 3 km resolution was found to be the most accurate. Combination of KF-WSM5 with activated cumulus scheme in the finer domain could be preferable option for heavy rainfall simulations over the study area.</abstract><cop>New Delhi</cop><pub>Springer India</pub><doi>10.1007/s12040-023-02186-y</doi><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8207-4622</orcidid></addata></record>
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source Indian Academy of Sciences; Springer Nature - Complete Springer Journals; Elektronische Zeitschriftenbibliothek - Frei zugängliche E-Journals
subjects Catchment area
Cloud parameterization
Clouds
Design of experiments
Earth and Environmental Science
Earth Sciences
Extreme weather
Forecasting models
Heavy rainfall
Mathematical models
Microphysics
Monsoon precipitation
Monsoons
Parameter sensitivity
Parameterization
Physics
Precipitation
Radiation
Rain
Rainfall
Rainfall simulators
Simulation
Space Exploration and Astronautics
Space Sciences (including Extraterrestrial Physics
Storms
Tropical depressions
Tropical storms
Weather
Weather forecasting
Wind
title High-resolution WRF simulations of a monsoon event (2019) over the Badulu Oya Catchment, Sri Lanka: Role of cumulus parameterization condition and microphysics schemes
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