Estimating the potential distribution of yellow spotted stink bug (Erthesina fullo) using ecological niche models

Invasive insect species threaten the productivity of ecosystems worldwide, and ecological niche models can be used to predict distributions of invaders and guide management efforts. Ecological niche models can also aid monitoring for invasive species that are globally distributed. One such species i...

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Veröffentlicht in:Entomological science 2023-12, Vol.26 (4), p.n/a
Hauptverfasser: Zhu, Gengping, Bush, Tatiana N., Burgstahler, Katherine S., Green, Nathaniel, Cook, Hannah, Rampone, Emily, Helmreich, Salena, Reed, Riley M., Milnes, Joshua M., Crowder, David W.
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container_issue 4
container_start_page
container_title Entomological science
container_volume 26
creator Zhu, Gengping
Bush, Tatiana N.
Burgstahler, Katherine S.
Green, Nathaniel
Cook, Hannah
Rampone, Emily
Helmreich, Salena
Reed, Riley M.
Milnes, Joshua M.
Crowder, David W.
description Invasive insect species threaten the productivity of ecosystems worldwide, and ecological niche models can be used to predict distributions of invaders and guide management efforts. Ecological niche models can also aid monitoring for invasive species that are globally distributed. One such species is the yellow spotted stink bug (Erthesina fullo Thunberg), a polyphagous pest native to Asia that has established in Europe and South America and threatens specialty crops. Here, we used ecological niche models to predict the potential distribution of E. fullo, and created a website to display predictions. We show that E. fullo has peak occurrence probability in areas with annual mean temperatures around 20°C, and that the occurrence probability increases as maximum monthly temperature reaches up to 38°C. The likelihood of occurrence decreased as annual precipitation increased, but increased with greater precipitation in the wettest and driest months. This suggests E. fullo is most suited to regions that are warm and dry and where most precipitation occurs across only a few months, such as southern North America, central and southern South America, southern Europe, southern Africa, and central and eastern Australia. Given that E. fullo is a highly mobile hitchhiking insect that travels through cargo and other containers to new areas, the potential spread of this species into new regions should be carefully monitored. We used ensemble ecological niche models that incorporated annual and monthly climate data to predict potential distributions of yellow spotted stink bug. We found that yellow spotted stink bug is most suited to regions that are warm and dry and where most precipitation occurs across only a few months, such as southern North America, central and southern South America, southern Europe, southern Africa, and central and eastern Australia. We developed a website to display predictions.
doi_str_mv 10.1111/ens.12566
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This suggests E. fullo is most suited to regions that are warm and dry and where most precipitation occurs across only a few months, such as southern North America, central and southern South America, southern Europe, southern Africa, and central and eastern Australia. Given that E. fullo is a highly mobile hitchhiking insect that travels through cargo and other containers to new areas, the potential spread of this species into new regions should be carefully monitored. We used ensemble ecological niche models that incorporated annual and monthly climate data to predict potential distributions of yellow spotted stink bug. We found that yellow spotted stink bug is most suited to regions that are warm and dry and where most precipitation occurs across only a few months, such as southern North America, central and southern South America, southern Europe, southern Africa, and central and eastern Australia. 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source Wiley-Blackwell Journals
subjects Annual precipitation
Ecological distribution
ecological niche model
Ecological niches
Ecology
ensemble model
Environment models
Erthesina fullo
Insects
Introduced species
Invasive insects
Invasive species
Niches
potential distribution
Precipitation
Probability theory
response curve
risk assessment
Specialty crops
title Estimating the potential distribution of yellow spotted stink bug (Erthesina fullo) using ecological niche models
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