Employment reconciliation and nowcasting

We construct a latent employment estimate for the United States, which both reconciles the information from separate payroll and household surveys and incorporates the preliminary data revision process of the payroll data. We find that our reconciled latent employment series looks somewhat different...

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Veröffentlicht in:	Journal of applied econometrics (Chichester, England) England), 2023-11, Vol.38 (7), p.1007-1017
1. Verfasser:	Goto, Eiji
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Sprache:	eng
Schlagworte:	Censuses Econometrics Employment Polls & surveys
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description	We construct a latent employment estimate for the United States, which both reconciles the information from separate payroll and household surveys and incorporates the preliminary data revision process of the payroll data. We find that our reconciled latent employment series looks somewhat different than the initial release of payroll employment and is closer to the fully revised data that is benchmarked to a near census of employment. A real‐time exercise, however, suggests that the reconciled employment estimate is remarkably similar to the initial release of payroll employment with near zero weight on the household survey information.
doi_str_mv	10.1002/jae.2995
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language	eng
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source	Wiley Online Library Journals Frontfile Complete
subjects	Censuses Econometrics Employment Polls & surveys
title	Employment reconciliation and nowcasting
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