On the effects of taxation on growth: an empirical assessment

We study the effects of taxation on the growth rate of the real per capita GDP in a sample of 21 OECD countries, over the period 1965–2010. To do this, we estimate a version of the model proposed by Mankiw, Romer and Weil [(1992) Quarterly Journal of Economics 107, 407–437.] augmented to consider bo...

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Veröffentlicht in:Macroeconomic dynamics 2023-07, Vol.27 (5), p.1289-1318
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description We study the effects of taxation on the growth rate of the real per capita GDP in a sample of 21 OECD countries, over the period 1965–2010. To do this, we estimate a version of the model proposed by Mankiw, Romer and Weil [(1992) Quarterly Journal of Economics 107, 407–437.] augmented to consider both direct and indirect effects of taxation on investment share parameters. We employ a semi-parametric technique—namely, a Finite Mixture Model—which combines features from mixed effect models for panel data and cluster analysis methods to account for country-specific unobserved heterogeneity. Our results suggest that taxes have a negative impact on growth: in the baseline model, the coefficient estimates indicate that a 10% cut in personal income tax rate (respectively corporate income tax rate) may raise the GDP growth rate by 0.6% (respectively 0.3%).
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source Cambridge University Press Journals Complete
subjects Corporate income tax
Corporate taxes
Economic development
Economic growth
Economic theory
Expenditures
GDP
Gross Domestic Product
Growth rate
Macroeconomics
Per capita
Personal income
Random variables
Tax cuts
Tax increases
Tax rates
Taxation
title On the effects of taxation on growth: an empirical assessment
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