A frequency-optimised temperature record for the Holocene

Existing global mean surface temperature reconstructions for the Holocene lack high-frequency variability that is essential for contextualising recent trends and extremes in the Earth’s climate system. Here, we isolate and recombine archive-specific climate signals to generate a frequency-optimised...

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Veröffentlicht in:Environmental research letters 2023-11, Vol.18 (11), p.114022
Hauptverfasser: Essell, Helen, Krusic, Paul J, Esper, Jan, Wagner, Sebastian, Braconnot, Pascale, Jungclaus, Johann, Muschitiello, Francesco, Oppenheimer, Clive, Büntgen, Ulf
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container_issue 11
container_start_page 114022
container_title Environmental research letters
container_volume 18
creator Essell, Helen
Krusic, Paul J
Esper, Jan
Wagner, Sebastian
Braconnot, Pascale
Jungclaus, Johann
Muschitiello, Francesco
Oppenheimer, Clive
Büntgen, Ulf
description Existing global mean surface temperature reconstructions for the Holocene lack high-frequency variability that is essential for contextualising recent trends and extremes in the Earth’s climate system. Here, we isolate and recombine archive-specific climate signals to generate a frequency-optimised record of interannual to multi-millennial temperature changes for the past 12 000 years. Average temperatures before ∼8000 years BP and after ∼4000 years BP were 0.26 (±2.84) °C and 0.07 (±2.11) °C cooler than the long-term mean (0–12 000 years BP), while the Holocene Climate Optimum ∼7000–4000 years BP was 0.40 (±1.86) °C warmer. Biased towards Northern Hemisphere summer temperatures, our multi-proxy record captures the spectral properties of transient Earth system model simulations for the same spatial and season domain. The new frequency-optimised trajectory emphasises the importance and complex interplay of natural climate forcing factors throughout the Holocene, with an approximation of the full range of past temperature changes providing novel insights for policymakers addressing the risks of recent anthropogenic warming.
doi_str_mv 10.1088/1748-9326/ad0065
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subjects Anthropogenic factors
Climate
climate reconstructions
Climate system
Continental interfaces, environment
global warming
Holocene
Holocene climate
Northern Hemisphere
Ocean, Atmosphere
paleoclimate
proxy archives
Sciences of the Universe
Surface temperature
Temperature
temperature changes
Trajectory optimization
title A frequency-optimised temperature record for the Holocene
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