Probabilistic vs deterministic forecasts – interpreting skill statistics for the benefit of users

Owing to probabilistic uncertainties associated with seasonal forecasts, especially over areas such as southern Africa where forecast skill is limited, non-climatologists and users of such forecasts frequently prefer them to be presented or distributed in terms of the likelihood (expressed as a prob...

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Veröffentlicht in:	Water S. A. 2023-07, Vol.49 (3), p.192-198
Hauptverfasser:	Landman, Willem A, Tadross, Mark, Archer, Emma, Johnston, Peter
Format:	Artikel
Sprache:	eng
Schlagworte:	Anomalies Atmosphere Climate Correlation coefficient Correlation coefficients Data analysis Familiarity Mathematical analysis Probability Rain Rainfall Scientists Seasons Statistical methods
Online-Zugang:	Volltext
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