The Spatiotemporal Elasticity of Age Structure in China’s Interprovincial Migration System
The supply and demand of labour in the market can often experience profound transformations as a result of an ageing population. This can substantially impact the sustainable development of human society. Since the 1970s, China’s internal migration has continued to increase, but there has been a shi...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | Sustainability 2023-05, Vol.15 (10), p.8001 |
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| creator | Lin, Yufei Pu, Yingxia Zhao, Xinyi Chi, Guangqing Ye, Cui |
| description | The supply and demand of labour in the market can often experience profound transformations as a result of an ageing population. This can substantially impact the sustainable development of human society. Since the 1970s, China’s internal migration has continued to increase, but there has been a shift toward an ageing trend since the year 2000. How does the change of age structure interact with socioeconomic development to produce changes in the supply and demand of labour over space and time? This study constructs a spatial dynamic panel data model of interprovincial migration flows in China from 1985 to 2015 in order to quantify the spatiotemporal impacts of age structure on migration. The preliminary results indicate that age structure plays the most important role among regional socioeconomic characteristics of migration, dominated by the large supply, demand, and cross elasticities of labour population. Labour demand and the cross elasticities of total dependency ratio rank second. Comparatively, the total elasticities of regional GDP and wage levels on migration flows are not as significant as expected. This study lays the groundwork for identifying the interaction mechanisms of migration systems and provides important insights on regional sustainable development from the perspective of ageing. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.3390/su15108001 |
| format | Article |
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This can substantially impact the sustainable development of human society. Since the 1970s, China’s internal migration has continued to increase, but there has been a shift toward an ageing trend since the year 2000. How does the change of age structure interact with socioeconomic development to produce changes in the supply and demand of labour over space and time? This study constructs a spatial dynamic panel data model of interprovincial migration flows in China from 1985 to 2015 in order to quantify the spatiotemporal impacts of age structure on migration. The preliminary results indicate that age structure plays the most important role among regional socioeconomic characteristics of migration, dominated by the large supply, demand, and cross elasticities of labour population. Labour demand and the cross elasticities of total dependency ratio rank second. Comparatively, the total elasticities of regional GDP and wage levels on migration flows are not as significant as expected. This study lays the groundwork for identifying the interaction mechanisms of migration systems and provides important insights on regional sustainable development from the perspective of ageing.</description><identifier>ISSN: 2071-1050</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 2071-1050</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.3390/su15108001</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Basel: MDPI AG</publisher><subject>Age ; Age composition ; Aging ; Analysis ; Econometrics ; Economic development ; Economic growth ; Elasticity of demand ; Estimates ; GDP ; Gross Domestic Product ; Immigration ; Internal migration ; Labor force ; Labor market ; Labor supply ; Literature reviews ; Longitudinal studies ; Migration ; Population ; Regional development ; Regional planning ; Regions ; Socioeconomic factors ; Socioeconomics ; Spacetime ; Supply & demand ; Sustainability ; Sustainable development ; Trends ; Variables</subject><ispartof>Sustainability, 2023-05, Vol.15 (10), p.8001</ispartof><rights>COPYRIGHT 2023 MDPI AG</rights><rights>2023 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c327t-27777fec99973b89aa2a373777f6306fb407ed585546245e6324fde205e7df563</cites><orcidid>0009-0002-4803-8465 ; 0000-0002-1211-1205 ; 0000-0002-2552-7795 ; 0000-0003-0888-7964</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><link.rule.ids>314,780,784,27924,27925</link.rule.ids></links><search><creatorcontrib>Lin, Yufei</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Pu, Yingxia</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhao, Xinyi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Chi, Guangqing</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ye, Cui</creatorcontrib><title>The Spatiotemporal Elasticity of Age Structure in China’s Interprovincial Migration System</title><title>Sustainability</title><description>The supply and demand of labour in the market can often experience profound transformations as a result of an ageing population. This can substantially impact the sustainable development of human society. Since the 1970s, China’s internal migration has continued to increase, but there has been a shift toward an ageing trend since the year 2000. How does the change of age structure interact with socioeconomic development to produce changes in the supply and demand of labour over space and time? This study constructs a spatial dynamic panel data model of interprovincial migration flows in China from 1985 to 2015 in order to quantify the spatiotemporal impacts of age structure on migration. The preliminary results indicate that age structure plays the most important role among regional socioeconomic characteristics of migration, dominated by the large supply, demand, and cross elasticities of labour population. Labour demand and the cross elasticities of total dependency ratio rank second. Comparatively, the total elasticities of regional GDP and wage levels on migration flows are not as significant as expected. 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Pu, Yingxia ; Zhao, Xinyi ; Chi, Guangqing ; Ye, Cui</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c327t-27777fec99973b89aa2a373777f6306fb407ed585546245e6324fde205e7df563</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2023</creationdate><topic>Age</topic><topic>Age composition</topic><topic>Aging</topic><topic>Analysis</topic><topic>Econometrics</topic><topic>Economic development</topic><topic>Economic growth</topic><topic>Elasticity of demand</topic><topic>Estimates</topic><topic>GDP</topic><topic>Gross Domestic Product</topic><topic>Immigration</topic><topic>Internal migration</topic><topic>Labor force</topic><topic>Labor market</topic><topic>Labor supply</topic><topic>Literature reviews</topic><topic>Longitudinal studies</topic><topic>Migration</topic><topic>Population</topic><topic>Regional development</topic><topic>Regional planning</topic><topic>Regions</topic><topic>Socioeconomic factors</topic><topic>Socioeconomics</topic><topic>Spacetime</topic><topic>Supply & demand</topic><topic>Sustainability</topic><topic>Sustainable development</topic><topic>Trends</topic><topic>Variables</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Lin, Yufei</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Pu, Yingxia</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhao, Xinyi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Chi, Guangqing</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ye, Cui</creatorcontrib><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>Gale In Context: Science</collection><collection>University Readers</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>ProQuest Central</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Essentials</collection><collection>ProQuest Central</collection><collection>ProQuest One Community College</collection><collection>ProQuest Central</collection><collection>Publicly Available Content Database (Proquest) (PQ_SDU_P3)</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic Eastern Edition (DO NOT USE)</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic UKI Edition</collection><jtitle>Sustainability</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Lin, Yufei</au><au>Pu, Yingxia</au><au>Zhao, Xinyi</au><au>Chi, Guangqing</au><au>Ye, Cui</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>The Spatiotemporal Elasticity of Age Structure in China’s Interprovincial Migration System</atitle><jtitle>Sustainability</jtitle><date>2023-05-01</date><risdate>2023</risdate><volume>15</volume><issue>10</issue><spage>8001</spage><pages>8001-</pages><issn>2071-1050</issn><eissn>2071-1050</eissn><abstract>The supply and demand of labour in the market can often experience profound transformations as a result of an ageing population. This can substantially impact the sustainable development of human society. Since the 1970s, China’s internal migration has continued to increase, but there has been a shift toward an ageing trend since the year 2000. How does the change of age structure interact with socioeconomic development to produce changes in the supply and demand of labour over space and time? This study constructs a spatial dynamic panel data model of interprovincial migration flows in China from 1985 to 2015 in order to quantify the spatiotemporal impacts of age structure on migration. The preliminary results indicate that age structure plays the most important role among regional socioeconomic characteristics of migration, dominated by the large supply, demand, and cross elasticities of labour population. Labour demand and the cross elasticities of total dependency ratio rank second. Comparatively, the total elasticities of regional GDP and wage levels on migration flows are not as significant as expected. 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| subjects | Age Age composition Aging Analysis Econometrics Economic development Economic growth Elasticity of demand Estimates GDP Gross Domestic Product Immigration Internal migration Labor force Labor market Labor supply Literature reviews Longitudinal studies Migration Population Regional development Regional planning Regions Socioeconomic factors Socioeconomics Spacetime Supply & demand Sustainability Sustainable development Trends Variables |
| title | The Spatiotemporal Elasticity of Age Structure in China’s Interprovincial Migration System |
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