CEO confidence bias and strategic choice: a general framework

An owner of a firm may choose to hire an unbiased CEO or one with confidence bias. We develop a model that demonstrates that the owner's optimal choice depends on whether the firm and rival choice variables are strategic substitutes or strategic complements. When choice variables are strategic...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of applied economics 2022-12, Vol.25 (1), p.731-740
Hauptverfasser: Schroeder, Elizabeth, Tremblay, Carol Horton, Tremblay, Victor J.
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Tremblay, Victor J.
description An owner of a firm may choose to hire an unbiased CEO or one with confidence bias. We develop a model that demonstrates that the owner's optimal choice depends on whether the firm and rival choice variables are strategic substitutes or strategic complements. When choice variables are strategic substitutes or strategic complements for both firms, owners optimize by hiring overconfident CEOs. When choice variables are substitutes for one firm and complements for the rival firm, each firm optimizes by hiring an underconfident CEO. We show that the model applies to price and output competition, advertising, research and development spending, and product design.
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subjects Advertising
Behavioral economics
Bias
Chief executive officers
Chief executives
Confidence
confidence bias
Economics
Externality
firm behavior
Hiring
managerial overconfidence
Owners
Product design
Profits
R&D
Research & development
Research & development expenditures
strategic substitutes and complements
Variables
title CEO confidence bias and strategic choice: a general framework
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