Spatial-Temporal Evolution and Convergence Characteristics of Agricultural Eco-Efficiency in China from a Low-Carbon Perspective

While agriculture plays an essential role in food security, it is also one of the largest emitters of carbon emissions. China’s carbon neutrality and carbon peaking goals mean that China’s agriculture is also going through a low-carbon transition. To analyze the spatiotemporal heterogeneity and convergence of China’s agricultural eco-efficiency (AEE), this study used a combined super-efficient slacks-based measure (SBM), global Malmquist–Luenberger index (GML), kernel density estimation, Moran index, and convergence model on panel data from 2005 to 2020 and from 31 Chinese provinces. An innovative eco-efficiency index evaluation system was constructed from a low-carbon perspective that integrated agricultural carbon sinks and carbon emissions. The results revealed that the average AEE movement was U-shaped, but there were significant differences across regions and periods. The AEE demonstrated a gradual decreasing pattern of “northeast > eastern > western > central”, a declining trend during 2005–2010 and increasing trends during 2011–2020. The main reason for AEE growth was technological progress; however, technical efficiency only played a role in several provinces. The AEE in Chinese provinces was also found to have spatial autocorrelation characteristics dominated by high-high, low-low, and high-low clustering. A “catching-up effect” existed in the lagging AEE regions. Therefore, it is recommended to promote the integration of regional strategies and low-carbon development, build a low-carbon technology support system, and construct a national agricultural carbon trading center to facilitate agricultural low-carbon transformation.