ExpertRNA: A New Framework for RNA Secondary Structure Prediction

Ribonucleic acid (RNA) is a fundamental biological molecule that is essential to all living organisms, performing a versatile array of cellular tasks. The function of many RNA molecules is strongly related to the structure it adopts. As a result, great effort is being dedicated to the design of efficient algorithms that solve the “folding problem”—given a sequence of nucleotides, return a probable list of base pairs, referred to as the secondary structure prediction. Early algorithms largely rely on finding the structure with minimum free energy. However, the predictions rely on effective simplified free energy models that may not correctly identify the correct structure as the one with the lowest free energy. In light of this, new, data-driven approaches that not only consider free energy, but also use machine learning techniques to learn motifs are also investigated and recently been shown to outperform free energy–based algorithms on several experimental data sets. In this work, we introduce the new ExpertRNA algorithm that provides a modular framework that can easily incorporate an arbitrary number of rewards (free energy or nonparametric/data driven) and secondary structure prediction algorithms. We argue that this capability of ExpertRNA has the potential to balance out different strengths and weaknesses of state-of-the-art folding tools. We test ExpertRNA on several RNA sequence-structure data sets, and we compare the performance of ExpertRNA against a state-of-the-art folding algorithm. We find that ExpertRNA produces, on average, more accurate predictions of nonpseudoknotted secondary structures than the structure prediction algorithm used, thus validating the promise of the approach. Summary of Contribution: ExpertRNA is a new algorithm inspired by a biological problem. It is applied to solve the problem of secondary structure prediction for RNA molecules given an input sequence. The computational contribution is given by the design of a multibranch, multiexpert rollout algorithm that enables the use of several state-of-the-art approaches as base heuristics and allowing several experts to evaluate partial candidate solutions generated, thus avoiding assuming the reward being optimized by an RNA molecule when folding. Our implementation allows for the effective use of parallel computational resources as well as to control the size of the rollout tree as the algorithm progresses. The problem of RNA secondary structure prediction is of primary impor