Linkages between Typologies of Existing Urban Development Patterns and Human Vulnerability to Heat Stress in Lahore

The combined effects of global warming, urbanization, and demographic change influence climate risk for urban populations, particularly in metropolitan areas with developing economies. To inform climate change adaptation and spatial planning, it is important to study urban climatic hazards and popul...

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Veröffentlicht in:Sustainability 2022-08, Vol.14 (17), p.10561
Hauptverfasser: Iqbal, Nimra, Ravan, Marvin, Jamshed, Ali, Birkmann, Joern, Somarakis, Giorgos, Mitraka, Zina, Chrysoulakis, Nektarios
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container_end_page
container_issue 17
container_start_page 10561
container_title Sustainability
container_volume 14
creator Iqbal, Nimra
Ravan, Marvin
Jamshed, Ali
Birkmann, Joern
Somarakis, Giorgos
Mitraka, Zina
Chrysoulakis, Nektarios
description The combined effects of global warming, urbanization, and demographic change influence climate risk for urban populations, particularly in metropolitan areas with developing economies. To inform climate change adaptation and spatial planning, it is important to study urban climatic hazards and populations at risk in relation to urban growth trends and development patterns. However, this relationship has not been adequately investigated in studies dedicated to climate vulnerability. This study identifies the typologies of development patterns within Lahore, Pakistan, investigates the heat vulnerability of residents at a neighborhood scale, and establishes a relationship between both of these factors. We identified urban clusters with diverse development patterns. Fourteen context- and site-specific indicators were selected to construct a human heat vulnerability index. Weighted sum, cluster analysis, and ANOVA test of variance were conducted to analyze the data. Our results demonstrate that development patterns significantly influence human vulnerability to heat stress, e.g., vulnerability is higher in older cities and undeveloped neighborhoods with less diverse land uses. These findings are essential for informing policy-makers, decision-makers and spatial planners about proactive adaptation planning in dynamic urban environments.
doi_str_mv 10.3390/su141710561
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subjects Adaptation
Analysis
Book publishing
Cities
City planning
Climate change
Climate change adaptation
Economic development
Environmental aspects
Environmental hazards
Environmental policy
Environmental risk
Germany
Global warming
Health aspects
Heat
Heat stress
Heat stress disorders
Heat tolerance
Metropolitan areas
Neighborhoods
Netherlands
Pakistan
Populations
Risk factors
United Kingdom
Urban areas
Urban development
Urban environments
Urban populations
Urban sprawl
Urbanization
Variance analysis
title Linkages between Typologies of Existing Urban Development Patterns and Human Vulnerability to Heat Stress in Lahore
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