Assessing Project Contingency Reserves with the Expected Cost Overrun Risk Measure

AbstractThis paper proposes a coherent risk measure to assess project cost overrun contingency reserves: the project expected cost overrun (ECO). It is shown that the traditional project cost-percentile metric does not qualify as a coherent risk measure and, therefore, that the ECO metric should be...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of construction engineering and management 2022-10, Vol.148 (10)
Hauptverfasser: Paquin, Jean-Paul, Morin, Pierre-Paul, Lambert, Annick, Koplyay, Tamas
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Sprache:eng
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