What is the chance of an extreme event happening again next year?

After heavy rainfall or large flood events, newspaper headlines tend to use dramatic language and are too brief to tell the whole story. What does it all mean? How big are these events and how often are they likely to occur? Is there a more accurate way of communicating probability?

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Veröffentlicht in:Australian journal of emergency management 2019-10, Vol.34 (4), p.18-19
Hauptverfasser: Jolly, Catherine, Green, Janice
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description After heavy rainfall or large flood events, newspaper headlines tend to use dramatic language and are too brief to tell the whole story. What does it all mean? How big are these events and how often are they likely to occur? Is there a more accurate way of communicating probability?
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source Elektronische Zeitschriftenbibliothek - Frei zugängliche E-Journals; Free E- Journals
subjects Australia. Bureau of Meteorology
Flood forecasting
Floods
Forecasting
Headlines
Probability
Rain
Rain and rainfall
Terminology
title What is the chance of an extreme event happening again next year?
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