ENSO Predictability over the Past 137 Years Based on a CESM Ensemble Prediction System

In this study, we conducted an ensemble retrospective prediction from 1881 to 2017 using the Community Earth System Model to evaluate El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) predictability and its variability on different time scales. To our knowledge, this is the first assessment of ENSO predictability...

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Veröffentlicht in:	Journal of climate 2022-01, Vol.35 (2), p.763-777
Hauptverfasser:	Liu, Ting, Song, Xunshu, Tang, Youmin, Shen, Zheqi, Tan, Xiaoxiao
Format:	Artikel
Sprache:	eng
Schlagworte:	Annual variations Climate system Complexity Data assimilation El Nino El Nino phenomena El Nino-Southern Oscillation event Entropy Evaluation General circulation models Global climate Interannual variations Modelling Ocean temperature Performance evaluation Predictions Seasonal variation Seasonal variations Skills Southern Oscillation Time
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