Evaluation of the Predictive Validity of a Risk-Need-Responsivity Assessment Tool (RNR-A) in the Swedish Prison and Probation Service
To appraise the “real-world” implementation of the risk principle, this study examined the predictive validity of a Risk-Need-Responsivity assessment in the Swedish Prison and Probation Service. Reconviction rates at 24 months follow-up in a cohort of 2,442 offenders were used to assess calibration...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | The Prison journal (Philadelphia, Pa.) Pa.), 2022-06, Vol.102 (3), p.367-390 |
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| container_title | The Prison journal (Philadelphia, Pa.) |
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| creator | Bäckström, Peter Johansson Danielsson, Maria Starfelt Sutton, Louise C. Andersson, Dan |
| description | To appraise the “real-world” implementation of the risk principle, this study examined the predictive validity of a Risk-Need-Responsivity assessment in the Swedish Prison and Probation Service. Reconviction rates at 24 months follow-up in a cohort of 2,442 offenders were used to assess calibration and discrimination indices. Results indicated acceptable predictive accuracy (AUC = .68–.74), with scope for improvement among young adult offenders. The tool's utility was supported foremost by its ability to screen out low-risk offenders, while over-prediction of recidivism among medium- and high-risk offenders calls for more comprehensive assessment to inform the effective planning of rehabilitative service intensity. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1177/00328855221095561 |
| format | Article |
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| ispartof | The Prison journal (Philadelphia, Pa.), 2022-06, Vol.102 (3), p.367-390 |
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| language | eng |
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| source | SAGE Journals |
| subjects | Criminals Parole & probation Recidivism Risk assessment Young adults |
| title | Evaluation of the Predictive Validity of a Risk-Need-Responsivity Assessment Tool (RNR-A) in the Swedish Prison and Probation Service |
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