Do intraday week effect in currencies hourly trading reflect leverage and asymmetric anomalies? Policy implications for traders
Purpose The purpose of this study is to determine if intraday week (IDW) effect of the currencies reflect leverage and asymmetric impact in currencies market. The study data set comprises of intraday patterns of 15 currencies from developed and emerging economies. Design methodology approach The stu...
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Veröffentlicht in: | Journal of Chinese economic and foreign trade studies 2021-10, Vol.14 (3), p.240-256 |
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description | Purpose
The purpose of this study is to determine if intraday week (IDW) effect of the currencies reflect leverage and asymmetric impact in currencies market. The study data set comprises of intraday patterns of 15 currencies from developed and emerging economies.
Design methodology approach
The study applies the exponential generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (E-GARCH) model technique to observe the IDW leverage and asymmetric effect after introducing hourly dummies variables, namely, IDWmon, IDWwed, IDWfrid and IDWfrid-mon.
Findings
The study results favor the propositions and confirm that IDW effect do exist in the international forex markets in relation to hourly trading pattern for respective currencies. Mostly, currencies do depreciate on Monday and Wednesday compared to the rest of the days. However, on the last trading day, i.e. Friday currencies observe an appreciation pattern which is for both economies. The results have an evidence of leverage and asymmetric effect confirmed by the E-GARCH model as a result of press releases and influence by micro-factors in the currency markets.
Practical implications
The study believes to have theoretical connection related to the better understanding of currencies trend for developed and emerging economies, as the IDW effect exists. Moreover, confirmation of both the leverage and asymmetric effect in observed currencies would be able to assist the investors in making rational choices during the trading hours and would confirm considerable profits through profit incentivized strategies.
Originality value
The study not only add knowledge to the previous study work in relation to the hourly trading pattern of currencies with reference to the IDW effects but also highlights the leverage and asymmetric effect in currencies that will help in formulating future trading strategies particular to emerging economies. |
doi_str_mv | 10.1108/JCEFTS-07-2020-0034 |
format | Article |
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The purpose of this study is to determine if intraday week (IDW) effect of the currencies reflect leverage and asymmetric impact in currencies market. The study data set comprises of intraday patterns of 15 currencies from developed and emerging economies.
Design methodology approach
The study applies the exponential generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (E-GARCH) model technique to observe the IDW leverage and asymmetric effect after introducing hourly dummies variables, namely, IDWmon, IDWwed, IDWfrid and IDWfrid-mon.
Findings
The study results favor the propositions and confirm that IDW effect do exist in the international forex markets in relation to hourly trading pattern for respective currencies. Mostly, currencies do depreciate on Monday and Wednesday compared to the rest of the days. However, on the last trading day, i.e. Friday currencies observe an appreciation pattern which is for both economies. The results have an evidence of leverage and asymmetric effect confirmed by the E-GARCH model as a result of press releases and influence by micro-factors in the currency markets.
Practical implications
The study believes to have theoretical connection related to the better understanding of currencies trend for developed and emerging economies, as the IDW effect exists. Moreover, confirmation of both the leverage and asymmetric effect in observed currencies would be able to assist the investors in making rational choices during the trading hours and would confirm considerable profits through profit incentivized strategies.
Originality value
The study not only add knowledge to the previous study work in relation to the hourly trading pattern of currencies with reference to the IDW effects but also highlights the leverage and asymmetric effect in currencies that will help in formulating future trading strategies particular to emerging economies.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1754-4408</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1754-4416</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1108/JCEFTS-07-2020-0034</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Bingley: Emerald Publishing Limited</publisher><subject>Appreciation ; Asymmetry ; Currency ; Efficiency ; Efficient markets ; Foreign exchange markets ; Foreign exchange rates ; Game theory ; Interest rates ; International trade ; Investments ; Leverage ; Macroeconomics ; Market prices ; Profits ; Securities markets ; Trading ; Volatility</subject><ispartof>Journal of Chinese economic and foreign trade studies, 2021-10, Vol.14 (3), p.240-256</ispartof><rights>Emerald Publishing Limited</rights><rights>Emerald Publishing Limited 2021</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c303t-2ad2dac31521e47deaccdb927b5686b926927c152ca9198ec177ab183358d5fd3</cites></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/JCEFTS-07-2020-0034/full/html$$EHTML$$P50$$Gemerald$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,776,780,961,11615,21675,27903,27904,52668,53223</link.rule.ids></links><search><creatorcontrib>Ahmed, Wajid Shakeel</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sohaib, Muhammad</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Maqsood, Jamal</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Siddiqui, Ateeb</creatorcontrib><title>Do intraday week effect in currencies hourly trading reflect leverage and asymmetric anomalies? Policy implications for traders</title><title>Journal of Chinese economic and foreign trade studies</title><description>Purpose
The purpose of this study is to determine if intraday week (IDW) effect of the currencies reflect leverage and asymmetric impact in currencies market. The study data set comprises of intraday patterns of 15 currencies from developed and emerging economies.
Design methodology approach
The study applies the exponential generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (E-GARCH) model technique to observe the IDW leverage and asymmetric effect after introducing hourly dummies variables, namely, IDWmon, IDWwed, IDWfrid and IDWfrid-mon.
Findings
The study results favor the propositions and confirm that IDW effect do exist in the international forex markets in relation to hourly trading pattern for respective currencies. Mostly, currencies do depreciate on Monday and Wednesday compared to the rest of the days. However, on the last trading day, i.e. Friday currencies observe an appreciation pattern which is for both economies. The results have an evidence of leverage and asymmetric effect confirmed by the E-GARCH model as a result of press releases and influence by micro-factors in the currency markets.
Practical implications
The study believes to have theoretical connection related to the better understanding of currencies trend for developed and emerging economies, as the IDW effect exists. Moreover, confirmation of both the leverage and asymmetric effect in observed currencies would be able to assist the investors in making rational choices during the trading hours and would confirm considerable profits through profit incentivized strategies.
Originality value
The study not only add knowledge to the previous study work in relation to the hourly trading pattern of currencies with reference to the IDW effects but also highlights the leverage and asymmetric effect in currencies that will help in formulating future trading strategies particular to emerging economies.</description><subject>Appreciation</subject><subject>Asymmetry</subject><subject>Currency</subject><subject>Efficiency</subject><subject>Efficient markets</subject><subject>Foreign exchange markets</subject><subject>Foreign exchange rates</subject><subject>Game theory</subject><subject>Interest rates</subject><subject>International trade</subject><subject>Investments</subject><subject>Leverage</subject><subject>Macroeconomics</subject><subject>Market prices</subject><subject>Profits</subject><subject>Securities markets</subject><subject>Trading</subject><subject>Volatility</subject><issn>1754-4408</issn><issn>1754-4416</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2021</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>AFKRA</sourceid><sourceid>BENPR</sourceid><sourceid>CCPQU</sourceid><sourceid>DWQXO</sourceid><recordid>eNp1kctOwzAQRS0EEqXwBWwssQ74kcTpCqHS8lAlkChry7UnxSWJi52CsuLXcQhCYsFqru17ZzTHCJ1Sck4pKS7up7P58ikhImGEkYQQnu6hERVZmqQpzfd_NSkO0VEIG0LySUrZCH1eO2yb1iujOvwB8IqhLEG38RLrnffQaAsBv7idrzrc-2yzxh7KqjdV8A5erQGrxmAVurqG1lsdj65WVQxe4kdXWd1hW29jVa11TcCl89-twIdjdFCqKsDJTx2j5_lsOb1NFg83d9OrRaI54W3ClGFGaU4zRiEVBpTWZjVhYpXlRR5FHrWOr1pN6KQATYVQK1pwnhUmKw0fo7Oh79a7tx2EVm7iSk0cKVkmRE4ZSfPo4oNLexdC3FJuva2V7yQlsictB9KSCNmTlj3pmGJDCupIozL_hP58D_8CRUSDJg</recordid><startdate>20211004</startdate><enddate>20211004</enddate><creator>Ahmed, Wajid Shakeel</creator><creator>Sohaib, Muhammad</creator><creator>Maqsood, Jamal</creator><creator>Siddiqui, Ateeb</creator><general>Emerald Publishing Limited</general><general>Emerald Group Publishing Limited</general><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>0U~</scope><scope>1-H</scope><scope>7RO</scope><scope>7WY</scope><scope>7WZ</scope><scope>7XB</scope><scope>8BJ</scope><scope>AFKRA</scope><scope>AXJJW</scope><scope>BENPR</scope><scope>BEZIV</scope><scope>CCPQU</scope><scope>DWQXO</scope><scope>FQK</scope><scope>F~G</scope><scope>JBE</scope><scope>K6~</scope><scope>L.-</scope><scope>L.0</scope><scope>M0C</scope><scope>PQBIZ</scope><scope>PQEST</scope><scope>PQQKQ</scope><scope>PQUKI</scope><scope>Q9U</scope></search><sort><creationdate>20211004</creationdate><title>Do intraday week effect in currencies hourly trading reflect leverage and asymmetric anomalies? Policy implications for traders</title><author>Ahmed, Wajid Shakeel ; Sohaib, Muhammad ; Maqsood, Jamal ; Siddiqui, Ateeb</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c303t-2ad2dac31521e47deaccdb927b5686b926927c152ca9198ec177ab183358d5fd3</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2021</creationdate><topic>Appreciation</topic><topic>Asymmetry</topic><topic>Currency</topic><topic>Efficiency</topic><topic>Efficient markets</topic><topic>Foreign exchange markets</topic><topic>Foreign exchange rates</topic><topic>Game theory</topic><topic>Interest rates</topic><topic>International trade</topic><topic>Investments</topic><topic>Leverage</topic><topic>Macroeconomics</topic><topic>Market prices</topic><topic>Profits</topic><topic>Securities markets</topic><topic>Trading</topic><topic>Volatility</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Ahmed, Wajid Shakeel</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sohaib, Muhammad</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Maqsood, Jamal</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Siddiqui, Ateeb</creatorcontrib><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>Global News & ABI/Inform Professional</collection><collection>Trade PRO</collection><collection>Asian Business Database</collection><collection>ABI/INFORM Collection</collection><collection>ABI/INFORM Global (PDF only)</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (purchase pre-March 2016)</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences (IBSS)</collection><collection>ProQuest Central UK/Ireland</collection><collection>Asian & European Business Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Central</collection><collection>Business Premium Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest One Community College</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Korea</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences</collection><collection>ABI/INFORM Global (Corporate)</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences</collection><collection>ProQuest Business Collection</collection><collection>ABI/INFORM Professional Advanced</collection><collection>ABI/INFORM Professional Standard</collection><collection>ABI/INFORM Global</collection><collection>ProQuest One Business</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic Eastern Edition (DO NOT USE)</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic UKI Edition</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Basic</collection><jtitle>Journal of Chinese economic and foreign trade studies</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Ahmed, Wajid Shakeel</au><au>Sohaib, Muhammad</au><au>Maqsood, Jamal</au><au>Siddiqui, Ateeb</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Do intraday week effect in currencies hourly trading reflect leverage and asymmetric anomalies? Policy implications for traders</atitle><jtitle>Journal of Chinese economic and foreign trade studies</jtitle><date>2021-10-04</date><risdate>2021</risdate><volume>14</volume><issue>3</issue><spage>240</spage><epage>256</epage><pages>240-256</pages><issn>1754-4408</issn><eissn>1754-4416</eissn><abstract>Purpose
The purpose of this study is to determine if intraday week (IDW) effect of the currencies reflect leverage and asymmetric impact in currencies market. The study data set comprises of intraday patterns of 15 currencies from developed and emerging economies.
Design methodology approach
The study applies the exponential generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (E-GARCH) model technique to observe the IDW leverage and asymmetric effect after introducing hourly dummies variables, namely, IDWmon, IDWwed, IDWfrid and IDWfrid-mon.
Findings
The study results favor the propositions and confirm that IDW effect do exist in the international forex markets in relation to hourly trading pattern for respective currencies. Mostly, currencies do depreciate on Monday and Wednesday compared to the rest of the days. However, on the last trading day, i.e. Friday currencies observe an appreciation pattern which is for both economies. The results have an evidence of leverage and asymmetric effect confirmed by the E-GARCH model as a result of press releases and influence by micro-factors in the currency markets.
Practical implications
The study believes to have theoretical connection related to the better understanding of currencies trend for developed and emerging economies, as the IDW effect exists. Moreover, confirmation of both the leverage and asymmetric effect in observed currencies would be able to assist the investors in making rational choices during the trading hours and would confirm considerable profits through profit incentivized strategies.
Originality value
The study not only add knowledge to the previous study work in relation to the hourly trading pattern of currencies with reference to the IDW effects but also highlights the leverage and asymmetric effect in currencies that will help in formulating future trading strategies particular to emerging economies.</abstract><cop>Bingley</cop><pub>Emerald Publishing Limited</pub><doi>10.1108/JCEFTS-07-2020-0034</doi><tpages>17</tpages></addata></record> |
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subjects | Appreciation Asymmetry Currency Efficiency Efficient markets Foreign exchange markets Foreign exchange rates Game theory Interest rates International trade Investments Leverage Macroeconomics Market prices Profits Securities markets Trading Volatility |
title | Do intraday week effect in currencies hourly trading reflect leverage and asymmetric anomalies? Policy implications for traders |
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