The 2020 presidential election and beliefs about fraud: Continuity or change?
The 2020 presidential campaign was plagued by charges of voter fraud both before and after the election took place. While past literature finds that electoral losers are most likely to express misgivings about election integrity, little else is known about the characteristics of individuals who exhi...
Gespeichert in:
| Veröffentlicht in: | Electoral studies 2021-08, Vol.72, p.102366, Article 102366 |
|---|---|
| Hauptverfasser: | , , , , , , , |
| Format: | Artikel |
| Sprache: | eng |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
| Tags: |
Tag hinzufügen
Keine Tags, Fügen Sie den ersten Tag hinzu!
|
| container_end_page | |
|---|---|
| container_issue | |
| container_start_page | 102366 |
| container_title | Electoral studies |
| container_volume | 72 |
| creator | Enders, Adam M. Uscinski, Joseph E. Klofstad, Casey A. Premaratne, Kamal Seelig, Michelle I. Wuchty, Stefan Murthi, Manohar N. Funchion, John R. |
| description | The 2020 presidential campaign was plagued by charges of voter fraud both before and after the election took place. While past literature finds that electoral losers are most likely to express misgivings about election integrity, little else is known about the characteristics of individuals who exhibit these beliefs or how the beliefs have changed over time. Employing national surveys from 2012, 2016, 2018, and 2020, we examine the levels of pre-election expectations of fraud in the event of an electoral loss over time, as well as the individual-level correlates of beliefs in a range of election-related conspiracy theories prominent in 2020. Our analysis reveals that beliefs in election fraud are common and stable across time, and only occasionally relate to partisanship. Moreover, we find that, even accounting for the influence of partisan motivated reasoning, several psychological orientations––conspiracy thinking, anomie, dark triad personality traits, and denialism––play a unique role in promoting perceptions of voter fraud. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1016/j.electstud.2021.102366 |
| format | Article |
| fullrecord | <record><control><sourceid>proquest_cross</sourceid><recordid>TN_cdi_proquest_journals_2572611592</recordid><sourceformat>XML</sourceformat><sourcesystem>PC</sourcesystem><els_id>S0261379421000858</els_id><sourcerecordid>2572611592</sourcerecordid><originalsourceid>FETCH-LOGICAL-c343t-9e32d96d83287d48b85f2d218962df1db7d1c340564393790af3907172fe169d3</originalsourceid><addsrcrecordid>eNqFkEtPwzAQhC0EEqXwG7DEOcWPxI65oKriJRVxKWfLidfUUYmLnSD132MI4spppdU3szuD0CUlC0qouO4WsIN2SMNoF4wwmreMC3GEZrSWvBC1IsdoRpigBZeqPEVnKXWEUKYUnaHnzRZwlhG8j5C8hX7wZod_LH3osektbmDnwSVsmjAO2EUz2hu8CpnsRz8ccIi43Zr-DW7P0YkzuwQXv3OOXu_vNqvHYv3y8LRarouWl3woFHBmlbA1Z7W0Zd3UlWOW0VoJZh21jbQ0k6QSJVf5aWIcV0RSyRxQoSyfo6vJdx_Dxwhp0F0YY59PalbJHJVWimVKTlQbQ0oRnN5H_27iQVOiv7vTnf7rTn93p6fusnI5KSGH-PQQdWo99C1YHzOvbfD_enwBTnR5_Q</addsrcrecordid><sourcetype>Aggregation Database</sourcetype><iscdi>true</iscdi><recordtype>article</recordtype><pqid>2572611592</pqid></control><display><type>article</type><title>The 2020 presidential election and beliefs about fraud: Continuity or change?</title><source>Worldwide Political Science Abstracts</source><source>Access via ScienceDirect (Elsevier)</source><creator>Enders, Adam M. ; Uscinski, Joseph E. ; Klofstad, Casey A. ; Premaratne, Kamal ; Seelig, Michelle I. ; Wuchty, Stefan ; Murthi, Manohar N. ; Funchion, John R.</creator><creatorcontrib>Enders, Adam M. ; Uscinski, Joseph E. ; Klofstad, Casey A. ; Premaratne, Kamal ; Seelig, Michelle I. ; Wuchty, Stefan ; Murthi, Manohar N. ; Funchion, John R.</creatorcontrib><description>The 2020 presidential campaign was plagued by charges of voter fraud both before and after the election took place. While past literature finds that electoral losers are most likely to express misgivings about election integrity, little else is known about the characteristics of individuals who exhibit these beliefs or how the beliefs have changed over time. Employing national surveys from 2012, 2016, 2018, and 2020, we examine the levels of pre-election expectations of fraud in the event of an electoral loss over time, as well as the individual-level correlates of beliefs in a range of election-related conspiracy theories prominent in 2020. Our analysis reveals that beliefs in election fraud are common and stable across time, and only occasionally relate to partisanship. Moreover, we find that, even accounting for the influence of partisan motivated reasoning, several psychological orientations––conspiracy thinking, anomie, dark triad personality traits, and denialism––play a unique role in promoting perceptions of voter fraud.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0261-3794</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1873-6890</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1016/j.electstud.2021.102366</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Kidlington: Elsevier Ltd</publisher><subject>Anomie ; Beliefs ; Campaigns ; Conspiracy ; Conspiracy theories ; Dark triad ; Denialism ; Donald trump ; Electoral fraud ; Individual differences ; Morality ; Motivated reasoning ; Partisanship ; Personality ; Personality traits ; Polls & surveys ; Presidential elections ; Voter fraud ; Voters</subject><ispartof>Electoral studies, 2021-08, Vol.72, p.102366, Article 102366</ispartof><rights>2021 Elsevier Ltd</rights><rights>Copyright Elsevier Science Ltd. Aug 2021</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c343t-9e32d96d83287d48b85f2d218962df1db7d1c340564393790af3907172fe169d3</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c343t-9e32d96d83287d48b85f2d218962df1db7d1c340564393790af3907172fe169d3</cites><orcidid>0000-0003-2179-6952 ; 0000-0002-9315-8178 ; 0000-0003-0462-7452 ; 0000-0001-5975-4403</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2021.102366$$EHTML$$P50$$Gelsevier$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,780,784,3550,27924,27925,45995</link.rule.ids></links><search><creatorcontrib>Enders, Adam M.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Uscinski, Joseph E.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Klofstad, Casey A.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Premaratne, Kamal</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Seelig, Michelle I.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Wuchty, Stefan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Murthi, Manohar N.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Funchion, John R.</creatorcontrib><title>The 2020 presidential election and beliefs about fraud: Continuity or change?</title><title>Electoral studies</title><description>The 2020 presidential campaign was plagued by charges of voter fraud both before and after the election took place. While past literature finds that electoral losers are most likely to express misgivings about election integrity, little else is known about the characteristics of individuals who exhibit these beliefs or how the beliefs have changed over time. Employing national surveys from 2012, 2016, 2018, and 2020, we examine the levels of pre-election expectations of fraud in the event of an electoral loss over time, as well as the individual-level correlates of beliefs in a range of election-related conspiracy theories prominent in 2020. Our analysis reveals that beliefs in election fraud are common and stable across time, and only occasionally relate to partisanship. Moreover, we find that, even accounting for the influence of partisan motivated reasoning, several psychological orientations––conspiracy thinking, anomie, dark triad personality traits, and denialism––play a unique role in promoting perceptions of voter fraud.</description><subject>Anomie</subject><subject>Beliefs</subject><subject>Campaigns</subject><subject>Conspiracy</subject><subject>Conspiracy theories</subject><subject>Dark triad</subject><subject>Denialism</subject><subject>Donald trump</subject><subject>Electoral fraud</subject><subject>Individual differences</subject><subject>Morality</subject><subject>Motivated reasoning</subject><subject>Partisanship</subject><subject>Personality</subject><subject>Personality traits</subject><subject>Polls & surveys</subject><subject>Presidential elections</subject><subject>Voter fraud</subject><subject>Voters</subject><issn>0261-3794</issn><issn>1873-6890</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2021</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>7UB</sourceid><recordid>eNqFkEtPwzAQhC0EEqXwG7DEOcWPxI65oKriJRVxKWfLidfUUYmLnSD132MI4spppdU3szuD0CUlC0qouO4WsIN2SMNoF4wwmreMC3GEZrSWvBC1IsdoRpigBZeqPEVnKXWEUKYUnaHnzRZwlhG8j5C8hX7wZod_LH3osektbmDnwSVsmjAO2EUz2hu8CpnsRz8ccIi43Zr-DW7P0YkzuwQXv3OOXu_vNqvHYv3y8LRarouWl3woFHBmlbA1Z7W0Zd3UlWOW0VoJZh21jbQ0k6QSJVf5aWIcV0RSyRxQoSyfo6vJdx_Dxwhp0F0YY59PalbJHJVWimVKTlQbQ0oRnN5H_27iQVOiv7vTnf7rTn93p6fusnI5KSGH-PQQdWo99C1YHzOvbfD_enwBTnR5_Q</recordid><startdate>202108</startdate><enddate>202108</enddate><creator>Enders, Adam M.</creator><creator>Uscinski, Joseph E.</creator><creator>Klofstad, Casey A.</creator><creator>Premaratne, Kamal</creator><creator>Seelig, Michelle I.</creator><creator>Wuchty, Stefan</creator><creator>Murthi, Manohar N.</creator><creator>Funchion, John R.</creator><general>Elsevier Ltd</general><general>Elsevier Science Ltd</general><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7UB</scope><scope>8BJ</scope><scope>FQK</scope><scope>JBE</scope><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2179-6952</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9315-8178</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0462-7452</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5975-4403</orcidid></search><sort><creationdate>202108</creationdate><title>The 2020 presidential election and beliefs about fraud: Continuity or change?</title><author>Enders, Adam M. ; Uscinski, Joseph E. ; Klofstad, Casey A. ; Premaratne, Kamal ; Seelig, Michelle I. ; Wuchty, Stefan ; Murthi, Manohar N. ; Funchion, John R.</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c343t-9e32d96d83287d48b85f2d218962df1db7d1c340564393790af3907172fe169d3</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2021</creationdate><topic>Anomie</topic><topic>Beliefs</topic><topic>Campaigns</topic><topic>Conspiracy</topic><topic>Conspiracy theories</topic><topic>Dark triad</topic><topic>Denialism</topic><topic>Donald trump</topic><topic>Electoral fraud</topic><topic>Individual differences</topic><topic>Morality</topic><topic>Motivated reasoning</topic><topic>Partisanship</topic><topic>Personality</topic><topic>Personality traits</topic><topic>Polls & surveys</topic><topic>Presidential elections</topic><topic>Voter fraud</topic><topic>Voters</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Enders, Adam M.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Uscinski, Joseph E.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Klofstad, Casey A.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Premaratne, Kamal</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Seelig, Michelle I.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Wuchty, Stefan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Murthi, Manohar N.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Funchion, John R.</creatorcontrib><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>Worldwide Political Science Abstracts</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences (IBSS)</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences</collection><jtitle>Electoral studies</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Enders, Adam M.</au><au>Uscinski, Joseph E.</au><au>Klofstad, Casey A.</au><au>Premaratne, Kamal</au><au>Seelig, Michelle I.</au><au>Wuchty, Stefan</au><au>Murthi, Manohar N.</au><au>Funchion, John R.</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>The 2020 presidential election and beliefs about fraud: Continuity or change?</atitle><jtitle>Electoral studies</jtitle><date>2021-08</date><risdate>2021</risdate><volume>72</volume><spage>102366</spage><pages>102366-</pages><artnum>102366</artnum><issn>0261-3794</issn><eissn>1873-6890</eissn><abstract>The 2020 presidential campaign was plagued by charges of voter fraud both before and after the election took place. While past literature finds that electoral losers are most likely to express misgivings about election integrity, little else is known about the characteristics of individuals who exhibit these beliefs or how the beliefs have changed over time. Employing national surveys from 2012, 2016, 2018, and 2020, we examine the levels of pre-election expectations of fraud in the event of an electoral loss over time, as well as the individual-level correlates of beliefs in a range of election-related conspiracy theories prominent in 2020. Our analysis reveals that beliefs in election fraud are common and stable across time, and only occasionally relate to partisanship. Moreover, we find that, even accounting for the influence of partisan motivated reasoning, several psychological orientations––conspiracy thinking, anomie, dark triad personality traits, and denialism––play a unique role in promoting perceptions of voter fraud.</abstract><cop>Kidlington</cop><pub>Elsevier Ltd</pub><doi>10.1016/j.electstud.2021.102366</doi><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2179-6952</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9315-8178</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0462-7452</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5975-4403</orcidid></addata></record> |
| fulltext | fulltext |
| identifier | ISSN: 0261-3794 |
| ispartof | Electoral studies, 2021-08, Vol.72, p.102366, Article 102366 |
| issn | 0261-3794 1873-6890 |
| language | eng |
| recordid | cdi_proquest_journals_2572611592 |
| source | Worldwide Political Science Abstracts; Access via ScienceDirect (Elsevier) |
| subjects | Anomie Beliefs Campaigns Conspiracy Conspiracy theories Dark triad Denialism Donald trump Electoral fraud Individual differences Morality Motivated reasoning Partisanship Personality Personality traits Polls & surveys Presidential elections Voter fraud Voters |
| title | The 2020 presidential election and beliefs about fraud: Continuity or change? |
| url | https://sfx.bib-bvb.de/sfx_tum?ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&ctx_enc=info:ofi/enc:UTF-8&ctx_tim=2024-12-23T04%3A07%3A15IST&url_ver=Z39.88-2004&url_ctx_fmt=infofi/fmt:kev:mtx:ctx&rfr_id=info:sid/primo.exlibrisgroup.com:primo3-Article-proquest_cross&rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:journal&rft.genre=article&rft.atitle=The%202020%20presidential%20election%20and%20beliefs%20about%20fraud:%20Continuity%20or%20change?&rft.jtitle=Electoral%20studies&rft.au=Enders,%20Adam%20M.&rft.date=2021-08&rft.volume=72&rft.spage=102366&rft.pages=102366-&rft.artnum=102366&rft.issn=0261-3794&rft.eissn=1873-6890&rft_id=info:doi/10.1016/j.electstud.2021.102366&rft_dat=%3Cproquest_cross%3E2572611592%3C/proquest_cross%3E%3Curl%3E%3C/url%3E&disable_directlink=true&sfx.directlink=off&sfx.report_link=0&rft_id=info:oai/&rft_pqid=2572611592&rft_id=info:pmid/&rft_els_id=S0261379421000858&rfr_iscdi=true |