Characteristic of extreme rainfall in Makassar, Province of South Sulawesi

The effect of climate change on extreme rainfall is important to note due to its damaging impact on the environment and humanity. This study aims to analyze the characteristics of extreme rainfall in the Province of South Sulawesi. The characteristics investigated are trends and models of extreme ra...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of physics. Conference series 2019-10, Vol.1341 (9), p.92017
Hauptverfasser: Rahim, A, Bakri, B, Anisa, Mutholib, A, Haerunnisa, A
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container_end_page
container_issue 9
container_start_page 92017
container_title Journal of physics. Conference series
container_volume 1341
creator Rahim, A
Bakri, B
Anisa
Mutholib, A
Haerunnisa, A
description The effect of climate change on extreme rainfall is important to note due to its damaging impact on the environment and humanity. This study aims to analyze the characteristics of extreme rainfall in the Province of South Sulawesi. The characteristics investigated are trends and models of extreme rainfall distribution. Trend analysis of extreme rainfall used the Mann-Kendall Test. Modeling of extreme rainfall distribution used the Annual Maximum approach with Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distribution. The extreme rainfall distribution model is approached with non-stationary models. The method of parameter estimation used the maximum likelihood method coupled with the BFGS Quasi-Newton methods. Model selection performed based on the smallest Akaike's Information Criterion (AIC) value. Using rainfall data in Makassar rain gauge for a period from 1983 to 2015, the results show that there is a decreasing trend of extreme rainfall in Makassar Municipality and the appropriate distribution model for extreme rainfall data is a non-stationary model.
doi_str_mv 10.1088/1742-6596/1341/9/092017
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subjects Annual rainfall
Extreme values
Impact damage
Maximum likelihood estimation
Maximum likelihood method
Parameter estimation
Physics
Quasi Newton methods
Rain gauges
Trend analysis
Trends
title Characteristic of extreme rainfall in Makassar, Province of South Sulawesi
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