Technogenic risk control

The theoretical analysis was carried out on technogenic risk control in relation to one of the elements of a bridge metallurgical crane - its bearing structure, which consists of four sub-elements. Nonlinear dynamics is considered to be the perspective direction in evaluation and control of technogenic risk. The basic application of this theory is described for definite elements of technological equipment technogenic risk control in the metallurgical enterprises. A relatively new theory of channels and jokers is used for description of an object dynamics. There is a need to look for the channels, where it is possible to predict the dynamics of change in the bearing crane structure conditions. The definite algorithm is proposed for the search. The analysis of dependence of channels and jokers and condition dynamics of the bearing structure allows us to operate technogenic risk in terms of algebra logic. The system under discussion with channels and jokers in distinction from standard risks models allows one to take into consideration qualitative (saltatory) transitions.