Probabilistic Drag-Based Ensemble Model (DBEM) Evaluation for Heliospheric Propagation of CMEs

The Drag-based Model (DBM) is a 2D analytical model for heliospheric propagation of Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) in ecliptic plane predicting the CME arrival time and speed at Earth or any other given target in the solar system. It is based on the equation of motion and depends on initial CME param...

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Veröffentlicht in:	Solar physics 2021-07, Vol.296 (7), Article 114
Hauptverfasser:	Čalogović, Jaša, Dumbović, Mateja, Sudar, Davor, Vršnak, Bojan, Martinić, Karmen, Temmer, Manuela, Veronig, Astrid M.
Format:	Artikel
Sprache:	eng
Schlagworte:	Astrophysics and Astroparticles Atmospheric Sciences Charged particles Computing time Confidence intervals Coronal mass ejection Drag Equations of motion Mathematical models Observatories Parameters Physics Physics and Astronomy Predictions Propagation Solar physics Solar system Solar wind Solar wind velocity Space Exploration and Astronautics Space Sciences (including Extraterrestrial Physics Statistical analysis Two dimensional analysis Two dimensional models Voyager 1 spacecraft Weather forecasting Wind speed
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