Effect of environmental modelling and inspection strategy on the optimal design of floating wind turbines
In order to reduce design conservatism and consequently the cost of energy, appropriate and cost-optimal safety factors should be derived, in light of environmental load uncertainties and lifetime costs. In the present work, a linearized dynamic model has been used together with Monte Carlo simulati...
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description | In order to reduce design conservatism and consequently the cost of energy, appropriate and cost-optimal safety factors should be derived, in light of environmental load uncertainties and lifetime costs. In the present work, a linearized dynamic model has been used together with Monte Carlo simulations and a numerical design optimization procedure to evaluate the impact of the description of wind and wave loads on the fatigue reliability and optimal design of a 10 MW spar floating wind turbine. Trade-offs between design costs and inspection costs with different design fatigue factors (DFFs) have also been assessed. The analyses have been performed for a realistic wind park site, where an environmental model has been developed based on hindcast data. Considering stochastic turbulence intensity, wind-wave misalignment, wind directional distribution, and a two-peak wave spectrum reduced the long-term fatigue damage by approximately two-thirds along the fatigue-critical part of the support structure compared to the base model. Re-designing the tower and platform with the full environmental model resulted in 11% reduction in CAPEX. However, due to the applied design optimization procedure, consistent reliability levels were achieved along the tower length, which resulted in important system side effects for the total structural reliability. Trade-offs between CAPEX and OPEX were derived based on a probabilistic fracture mechanics model and reliability updating through inspections. The necessary inspection intervals to achieve the same accumulated reliability after 20 years of operation were identified with different DFFs, and cost-optimal safety factors were computed with different OPEX costs and interest rates.
•The long-term fatigue reliability of a 10 MW spar FWT is assessed.•Support structure design is performed using numerical design optimization.•The effect of environmental modelling on reliability and design costs is quantified.•Turbulence modelling and misalignment had large impact on the fatigue loads.•Trade-off effects between CAPEX and OPEX with different inspection plans were studied. |
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•The long-term fatigue reliability of a 10 MW spar FWT is assessed.•Support structure design is performed using numerical design optimization.•The effect of environmental modelling on reliability and design costs is quantified.•Turbulence modelling and misalignment had large impact on the fatigue loads.•Trade-off effects between CAPEX and OPEX with different inspection plans were studied.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0951-8320</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1879-0836</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2021.107706</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Barking: Elsevier Ltd</publisher><subject>Costs ; Design ; Design factors ; Design optimization ; Dynamic models ; Environment models ; Environmental effects ; Environmental modeling ; Fatigue failure ; Fatigue reliability ; Floating wind turbines ; Fracture mechanics ; Inspection ; Interest rates ; Misalignment ; Monte Carlo simulation ; Offshore wind energy ; Reliability engineering ; Safety factors ; Side effects ; Structural reliability ; Tradeoffs ; Turbines ; Turbulence intensity ; Wave spectra ; Wind power ; Wind turbines ; Wind waves</subject><ispartof>Reliability engineering & system safety, 2021-10, Vol.214, p.107706, Article 107706</ispartof><rights>2021 The Authors</rights><rights>Copyright Elsevier BV Oct 2021</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c372t-7139e177fbf7c28d4b1694b8f1a4b1d2c6c879ff5042bb3f53f201f7daedf5523</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c372t-7139e177fbf7c28d4b1694b8f1a4b1d2c6c879ff5042bb3f53f201f7daedf5523</cites><orcidid>0000-0003-3739-9548 ; 0000-0002-2084-0088 ; 0000-0002-1471-8254</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2021.107706$$EHTML$$P50$$Gelsevier$$Hfree_for_read</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,778,782,3539,27907,27908,45978</link.rule.ids></links><search><creatorcontrib>Hegseth, John Marius</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bachynski, Erin E.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Leira, Bernt J.</creatorcontrib><title>Effect of environmental modelling and inspection strategy on the optimal design of floating wind turbines</title><title>Reliability engineering & system safety</title><description>In order to reduce design conservatism and consequently the cost of energy, appropriate and cost-optimal safety factors should be derived, in light of environmental load uncertainties and lifetime costs. In the present work, a linearized dynamic model has been used together with Monte Carlo simulations and a numerical design optimization procedure to evaluate the impact of the description of wind and wave loads on the fatigue reliability and optimal design of a 10 MW spar floating wind turbine. Trade-offs between design costs and inspection costs with different design fatigue factors (DFFs) have also been assessed. The analyses have been performed for a realistic wind park site, where an environmental model has been developed based on hindcast data. Considering stochastic turbulence intensity, wind-wave misalignment, wind directional distribution, and a two-peak wave spectrum reduced the long-term fatigue damage by approximately two-thirds along the fatigue-critical part of the support structure compared to the base model. Re-designing the tower and platform with the full environmental model resulted in 11% reduction in CAPEX. However, due to the applied design optimization procedure, consistent reliability levels were achieved along the tower length, which resulted in important system side effects for the total structural reliability. Trade-offs between CAPEX and OPEX were derived based on a probabilistic fracture mechanics model and reliability updating through inspections. The necessary inspection intervals to achieve the same accumulated reliability after 20 years of operation were identified with different DFFs, and cost-optimal safety factors were computed with different OPEX costs and interest rates.
•The long-term fatigue reliability of a 10 MW spar FWT is assessed.•Support structure design is performed using numerical design optimization.•The effect of environmental modelling on reliability and design costs is quantified.•Turbulence modelling and misalignment had large impact on the fatigue loads.•Trade-off effects between CAPEX and OPEX with different inspection plans were studied.</description><subject>Costs</subject><subject>Design</subject><subject>Design factors</subject><subject>Design optimization</subject><subject>Dynamic models</subject><subject>Environment models</subject><subject>Environmental effects</subject><subject>Environmental modeling</subject><subject>Fatigue failure</subject><subject>Fatigue reliability</subject><subject>Floating wind turbines</subject><subject>Fracture mechanics</subject><subject>Inspection</subject><subject>Interest rates</subject><subject>Misalignment</subject><subject>Monte Carlo simulation</subject><subject>Offshore wind energy</subject><subject>Reliability engineering</subject><subject>Safety factors</subject><subject>Side effects</subject><subject>Structural reliability</subject><subject>Tradeoffs</subject><subject>Turbines</subject><subject>Turbulence intensity</subject><subject>Wave spectra</subject><subject>Wind power</subject><subject>Wind turbines</subject><subject>Wind waves</subject><issn>0951-8320</issn><issn>1879-0836</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2021</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><recordid>eNp9kE1LxDAQhoMouK7-AU8Bz13z0TQteJFl_YAFL3oObTNZU7pJTbIr_ntT1rOnGYb3mWQehG4pWVFCq_thFSDGFSOM5oGUpDpDC1rLpiA1r87RgjSCFjVn5BJdxTgQQspGyAWyG2OgT9gbDO5og3d7cKkd8d5rGEfrdrh1GlsXpxyz3uGYQptg94Nznz4B-ynZfQY0RLtz8yIz-jbN5LfNaDqEzjqI1-jCtGOEm7-6RB9Pm_f1S7F9e35dP26LnkuWCkl5A1RK0xnZs1qXHa2asqsNbXOrWV_1-SxjBClZ13EjuGGEGqlb0EYIxpfo7rR3Cv7rADGpwR-Cy08qJgSvBasbnlPslOqDjzGAUVPIZ4QfRYmalapBzUrVrFSdlGbo4QRB_v_RQlCxt-B60DZkO0p7-x_-CyJDgYA</recordid><startdate>202110</startdate><enddate>202110</enddate><creator>Hegseth, John Marius</creator><creator>Bachynski, Erin E.</creator><creator>Leira, Bernt J.</creator><general>Elsevier Ltd</general><general>Elsevier BV</general><scope>6I.</scope><scope>AAFTH</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7ST</scope><scope>7TB</scope><scope>8FD</scope><scope>C1K</scope><scope>FR3</scope><scope>SOI</scope><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3739-9548</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2084-0088</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1471-8254</orcidid></search><sort><creationdate>202110</creationdate><title>Effect of environmental modelling and inspection strategy on the optimal design of floating wind turbines</title><author>Hegseth, John Marius ; Bachynski, Erin E. ; Leira, Bernt J.</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c372t-7139e177fbf7c28d4b1694b8f1a4b1d2c6c879ff5042bb3f53f201f7daedf5523</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2021</creationdate><topic>Costs</topic><topic>Design</topic><topic>Design factors</topic><topic>Design optimization</topic><topic>Dynamic models</topic><topic>Environment models</topic><topic>Environmental effects</topic><topic>Environmental modeling</topic><topic>Fatigue failure</topic><topic>Fatigue reliability</topic><topic>Floating wind turbines</topic><topic>Fracture mechanics</topic><topic>Inspection</topic><topic>Interest rates</topic><topic>Misalignment</topic><topic>Monte Carlo simulation</topic><topic>Offshore wind energy</topic><topic>Reliability engineering</topic><topic>Safety factors</topic><topic>Side effects</topic><topic>Structural reliability</topic><topic>Tradeoffs</topic><topic>Turbines</topic><topic>Turbulence intensity</topic><topic>Wave spectra</topic><topic>Wind power</topic><topic>Wind turbines</topic><topic>Wind waves</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Hegseth, John Marius</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bachynski, Erin E.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Leira, Bernt J.</creatorcontrib><collection>ScienceDirect Open Access Titles</collection><collection>Elsevier:ScienceDirect:Open Access</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>Environment Abstracts</collection><collection>Mechanical & Transportation Engineering Abstracts</collection><collection>Technology Research Database</collection><collection>Environmental Sciences and Pollution Management</collection><collection>Engineering Research Database</collection><collection>Environment Abstracts</collection><jtitle>Reliability engineering & system safety</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Hegseth, John Marius</au><au>Bachynski, Erin E.</au><au>Leira, Bernt J.</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Effect of environmental modelling and inspection strategy on the optimal design of floating wind turbines</atitle><jtitle>Reliability engineering & system safety</jtitle><date>2021-10</date><risdate>2021</risdate><volume>214</volume><spage>107706</spage><pages>107706-</pages><artnum>107706</artnum><issn>0951-8320</issn><eissn>1879-0836</eissn><abstract>In order to reduce design conservatism and consequently the cost of energy, appropriate and cost-optimal safety factors should be derived, in light of environmental load uncertainties and lifetime costs. In the present work, a linearized dynamic model has been used together with Monte Carlo simulations and a numerical design optimization procedure to evaluate the impact of the description of wind and wave loads on the fatigue reliability and optimal design of a 10 MW spar floating wind turbine. Trade-offs between design costs and inspection costs with different design fatigue factors (DFFs) have also been assessed. The analyses have been performed for a realistic wind park site, where an environmental model has been developed based on hindcast data. Considering stochastic turbulence intensity, wind-wave misalignment, wind directional distribution, and a two-peak wave spectrum reduced the long-term fatigue damage by approximately two-thirds along the fatigue-critical part of the support structure compared to the base model. Re-designing the tower and platform with the full environmental model resulted in 11% reduction in CAPEX. However, due to the applied design optimization procedure, consistent reliability levels were achieved along the tower length, which resulted in important system side effects for the total structural reliability. Trade-offs between CAPEX and OPEX were derived based on a probabilistic fracture mechanics model and reliability updating through inspections. The necessary inspection intervals to achieve the same accumulated reliability after 20 years of operation were identified with different DFFs, and cost-optimal safety factors were computed with different OPEX costs and interest rates.
•The long-term fatigue reliability of a 10 MW spar FWT is assessed.•Support structure design is performed using numerical design optimization.•The effect of environmental modelling on reliability and design costs is quantified.•Turbulence modelling and misalignment had large impact on the fatigue loads.•Trade-off effects between CAPEX and OPEX with different inspection plans were studied.</abstract><cop>Barking</cop><pub>Elsevier Ltd</pub><doi>10.1016/j.ress.2021.107706</doi><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3739-9548</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2084-0088</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1471-8254</orcidid><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
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subjects | Costs Design Design factors Design optimization Dynamic models Environment models Environmental effects Environmental modeling Fatigue failure Fatigue reliability Floating wind turbines Fracture mechanics Inspection Interest rates Misalignment Monte Carlo simulation Offshore wind energy Reliability engineering Safety factors Side effects Structural reliability Tradeoffs Turbines Turbulence intensity Wave spectra Wind power Wind turbines Wind waves |
title | Effect of environmental modelling and inspection strategy on the optimal design of floating wind turbines |
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