Toward a more effective hurricane hazard communication
Tropical cyclones are among the most devastating natural disasters that pose risk to people and assets all around the globe. The Saffir-Simpson scale is commonly used to inform threatened communities about the severity of hazard, but lacks consideration of other potential drivers of a hazardous situ...
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Veröffentlicht in: | Environmental research letters 2020-06, Vol.15 (6), p.64012 |
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creator | Song, Jae Yeol Alipour, Atieh Moftakhari, Hamed R Moradkhani, Hamid |
description | Tropical cyclones are among the most devastating natural disasters that pose risk to people and assets all around the globe. The Saffir-Simpson scale is commonly used to inform threatened communities about the severity of hazard, but lacks consideration of other potential drivers of a hazardous situation (e.g. terrestrial and coastal flooding). Here, we propose an alternative approach that accounts for multiple components and their likelihood of coincidence for appropriate characterization of hurricane hazard. We assess the marginal and joint probability of wind-speed and rainfall from landfalling Atlantic tropical cyclones in the United States between 1979 ∼ 2017 to characterize the hazard associated with these events. We then integrate the vulnerability of affected communities to have a better depiction of risk that is comparable to the actual cost of these hurricanes. Our results show that the multihazard indexing approach significantly better characterizes the hurricane hazard, and is more appropriate for risk-informed decision-making. |
doi_str_mv | 10.1088/1748-9326/ab875f |
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Res. Lett</addtitle><description>Tropical cyclones are among the most devastating natural disasters that pose risk to people and assets all around the globe. The Saffir-Simpson scale is commonly used to inform threatened communities about the severity of hazard, but lacks consideration of other potential drivers of a hazardous situation (e.g. terrestrial and coastal flooding). Here, we propose an alternative approach that accounts for multiple components and their likelihood of coincidence for appropriate characterization of hurricane hazard. We assess the marginal and joint probability of wind-speed and rainfall from landfalling Atlantic tropical cyclones in the United States between 1979 ∼ 2017 to characterize the hazard associated with these events. We then integrate the vulnerability of affected communities to have a better depiction of risk that is comparable to the actual cost of these hurricanes. Our results show that the multihazard indexing approach significantly better characterizes the hurricane hazard, and is more appropriate for risk-informed decision-making.</description><subject>compound hazard</subject><subject>copula</subject><subject>Cyclones</subject><subject>Decision making</subject><subject>Flooding</subject><subject>Hurricanes</subject><subject>Natural disasters</subject><subject>Rainfall</subject><subject>Risk</subject><subject>Terrestrial environments</subject><subject>tropical cyclone</subject><subject>Tropical cyclones</subject><subject>Weather hazards</subject><subject>Wind speed</subject><issn>1748-9326</issn><issn>1748-9326</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2020</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>O3W</sourceid><sourceid>BENPR</sourceid><sourceid>DOA</sourceid><recordid>eNp9kEtLxDAURoMoOI7uXRZcuLFO3kmXMvgYENyM65BXtcO0qWmr6K83tTK6EFe5fJx7cvkAOEXwEkEpF0hQmRcE84U2UrByD8x20f6v-RAcdd0GQkaZkDPA1-FNR5fprA7RZ74sve2rV589DzFWVjdp0h8jYUNdD02K-io0x-Cg1NvOn3y_c_B4c71e3uX3D7er5dV9bmnB-9wzhh2ynBArZIG4l8h4Z6ClzHLOtOeyLDSU2iW-kNbYQkqshZUknaohmYPV5HVBb1Qbq1rHdxV0pb6CEJ-Ujn1lt145QzzHTkDNCOWIGZbc2EiEnPeGmuQ6m1xtDC-D73q1CUNs0vkKMyoFRkKiRMGJsjF0XfTl7lcE1di0GqtUY5VqajqtXEwrVWh_nP_g53_gPm4VYooryClEWLWuJJ-lDItz</recordid><startdate>20200601</startdate><enddate>20200601</enddate><creator>Song, Jae Yeol</creator><creator>Alipour, Atieh</creator><creator>Moftakhari, Hamed R</creator><creator>Moradkhani, Hamid</creator><general>IOP Publishing</general><scope>O3W</scope><scope>TSCCA</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>8FE</scope><scope>8FG</scope><scope>ABJCF</scope><scope>ABUWG</scope><scope>AEUYN</scope><scope>AFKRA</scope><scope>ATCPS</scope><scope>AZQEC</scope><scope>BENPR</scope><scope>BGLVJ</scope><scope>BHPHI</scope><scope>CCPQU</scope><scope>DWQXO</scope><scope>GNUQQ</scope><scope>HCIFZ</scope><scope>L6V</scope><scope>M7S</scope><scope>PATMY</scope><scope>PIMPY</scope><scope>PQEST</scope><scope>PQQKQ</scope><scope>PQUKI</scope><scope>PRINS</scope><scope>PTHSS</scope><scope>PYCSY</scope><scope>DOA</scope><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3170-8653</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5058-9173</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2889-999X</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6150-1138</orcidid></search><sort><creationdate>20200601</creationdate><title>Toward a more effective hurricane hazard communication</title><author>Song, Jae Yeol ; 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subjects | compound hazard copula Cyclones Decision making Flooding Hurricanes Natural disasters Rainfall Risk Terrestrial environments tropical cyclone Tropical cyclones Weather hazards Wind speed |
title | Toward a more effective hurricane hazard communication |
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