Tree-ring-based temperature reconstruction from the western Himalayan region in northern Pakistan since 1705 C.E

The western Himalayan region in northern Pakistan is one of the most sensitive hotspots to climate change, due to the rapidly increasing population and delicate mountainous ecosystem. The relatively limited observed instrumental record impedes our understanding of long-term climate variability and t...

Ausführliche Beschreibung

Gespeichert in:
Bibliographische Detailangaben
Veröffentlicht in:Arabian journal of geosciences 2021-06, Vol.14 (12), Article 1122
Hauptverfasser: Khan, Adam, Ahmed, Moinuddin, Gaire, Narayan Prasad, Iqbal, Javed, Siddiqui, Muhammad Faheem, Khan, Afsheen, Shah, Mohib, Hazrat, Ali, Saqib, Najm Us, Mashwani, Wali Khan, Shah, Sher, Bhandari, Sanjaya
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
Schlagworte:
Online-Zugang:Volltext
Tags: Tag hinzufügen
Keine Tags, Fügen Sie den ersten Tag hinzu!
container_end_page
container_issue 12
container_start_page
container_title Arabian journal of geosciences
container_volume 14
creator Khan, Adam
Ahmed, Moinuddin
Gaire, Narayan Prasad
Iqbal, Javed
Siddiqui, Muhammad Faheem
Khan, Afsheen
Shah, Mohib
Hazrat, Ali
Saqib, Najm Us
Mashwani, Wali Khan
Shah, Sher
Bhandari, Sanjaya
description The western Himalayan region in northern Pakistan is one of the most sensitive hotspots to climate change, due to the rapidly increasing population and delicate mountainous ecosystem. The relatively limited observed instrumental record impedes our understanding of long-term climate variability and their assessment. Using standard dendrochronological techniques, a 395-year (1620 to 2014 C.E.) tree-ring chronology of Abies pindrow (Royle) (Himalayan fir) was developed from the western Himalayan region in northern Pakistan. The results of the growth-climate relationship demonstrated that the radial growth of Abies pindrow was limited by minimum temperature. Using a robust reconstruction model, a 310-year (1705 to 2014 C.E.) minimum temperature was reconstructed from the western Himalayan region in northern Pakistan. The reconstructed minimum temperature accounts for 38% variance of the actual minimum temperature, and provides the evidences of Dalton minimum and modern maximum periods. The coldest years in the reconstruction were 1726, 1727, 1892, 1921, and 2001, whereas the hottest years were 1789, 1807, 1814, 1846, 2011, and 2013. Multi-taper method (MTM) spectral analysis showed a significant shorter quasi-cycles (2.3 to 3.5 years) and decadal cycles (11.5 to 17.5 years), suggesting a possible teleconnections with El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), and Northern Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) respectively.
doi_str_mv 10.1007/s12517-021-07488-3
format Article
fullrecord <record><control><sourceid>proquest_cross</sourceid><recordid>TN_cdi_proquest_journals_2538329005</recordid><sourceformat>XML</sourceformat><sourcesystem>PC</sourcesystem><sourcerecordid>2538329005</sourcerecordid><originalsourceid>FETCH-LOGICAL-a2938-d02cc91391f20983af5ce6fa33c2e70bd8df176ed0f5c57749930d6a0328033</originalsourceid><addsrcrecordid>eNp9kNFKwzAUhoMoOKcv4FXA68yTZG3SSxnTCYKCuw9Zejo7t7QmLbK3N7Wid14l8H_nz8lHyDWHGQdQt5GLjCsGgjNQc62ZPCETrvOcqUzq09875-fkIsYdQK5B6Qlp1wGRhdpv2cZGLGmHhxaD7fqANKBrfOxC77q68bQKzYF2b0g_MXYYPF3VB7u3R-sTuR2I2lPfhISk8MW-17FLWay9Q8oVZHQxW16Ss8ruI179nFPyer9cL1bs6fnhcXH3xKwopGYlCOcKLgteCSi0tFXmMK-slE6ggk2py4qrHEtIQabUvCgklLkFKTRIOSU3Y2sbmo8-rWt2TR98etCIJESKAiBLlBgpF5oYA1amDelL4Wg4mMGrGb2a5NV8ezVDtRyHYjtow_BX_c_UFyf8ezw</addsrcrecordid><sourcetype>Aggregation Database</sourcetype><iscdi>true</iscdi><recordtype>article</recordtype><pqid>2538329005</pqid></control><display><type>article</type><title>Tree-ring-based temperature reconstruction from the western Himalayan region in northern Pakistan since 1705 C.E</title><source>SpringerNature Journals</source><creator>Khan, Adam ; Ahmed, Moinuddin ; Gaire, Narayan Prasad ; Iqbal, Javed ; Siddiqui, Muhammad Faheem ; Khan, Afsheen ; Shah, Mohib ; Hazrat, Ali ; Saqib, Najm Us ; Mashwani, Wali Khan ; Shah, Sher ; Bhandari, Sanjaya</creator><creatorcontrib>Khan, Adam ; Ahmed, Moinuddin ; Gaire, Narayan Prasad ; Iqbal, Javed ; Siddiqui, Muhammad Faheem ; Khan, Afsheen ; Shah, Mohib ; Hazrat, Ali ; Saqib, Najm Us ; Mashwani, Wali Khan ; Shah, Sher ; Bhandari, Sanjaya</creatorcontrib><description>The western Himalayan region in northern Pakistan is one of the most sensitive hotspots to climate change, due to the rapidly increasing population and delicate mountainous ecosystem. The relatively limited observed instrumental record impedes our understanding of long-term climate variability and their assessment. Using standard dendrochronological techniques, a 395-year (1620 to 2014 C.E.) tree-ring chronology of Abies pindrow (Royle) (Himalayan fir) was developed from the western Himalayan region in northern Pakistan. The results of the growth-climate relationship demonstrated that the radial growth of Abies pindrow was limited by minimum temperature. Using a robust reconstruction model, a 310-year (1705 to 2014 C.E.) minimum temperature was reconstructed from the western Himalayan region in northern Pakistan. The reconstructed minimum temperature accounts for 38% variance of the actual minimum temperature, and provides the evidences of Dalton minimum and modern maximum periods. The coldest years in the reconstruction were 1726, 1727, 1892, 1921, and 2001, whereas the hottest years were 1789, 1807, 1814, 1846, 2011, and 2013. Multi-taper method (MTM) spectral analysis showed a significant shorter quasi-cycles (2.3 to 3.5 years) and decadal cycles (11.5 to 17.5 years), suggesting a possible teleconnections with El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), and Northern Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) respectively.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1866-7511</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1866-7538</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1007/s12517-021-07488-3</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Cham: Springer International Publishing</publisher><subject>Abies pindrow ; Climate change ; Climate variability ; Cycles ; Dendrochronology ; Earth and Environmental Science ; Earth science ; Earth Sciences ; El Nino ; El Nino phenomena ; Environmental changes ; Original Paper ; Population growth ; Southern Oscillation ; Spectral analysis ; Spectrum analysis ; Temperature ; Tree rings</subject><ispartof>Arabian journal of geosciences, 2021-06, Vol.14 (12), Article 1122</ispartof><rights>Saudi Society for Geosciences 2021</rights><rights>Saudi Society for Geosciences 2021.</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-a2938-d02cc91391f20983af5ce6fa33c2e70bd8df176ed0f5c57749930d6a0328033</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-a2938-d02cc91391f20983af5ce6fa33c2e70bd8df176ed0f5c57749930d6a0328033</cites><orcidid>0000-0001-7754-8515</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s12517-021-07488-3$$EPDF$$P50$$Gspringer$$H</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://link.springer.com/10.1007/s12517-021-07488-3$$EHTML$$P50$$Gspringer$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,780,784,27924,27925,41488,42557,51319</link.rule.ids></links><search><creatorcontrib>Khan, Adam</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ahmed, Moinuddin</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Gaire, Narayan Prasad</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Iqbal, Javed</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Siddiqui, Muhammad Faheem</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Khan, Afsheen</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Shah, Mohib</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Hazrat, Ali</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Saqib, Najm Us</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Mashwani, Wali Khan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Shah, Sher</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bhandari, Sanjaya</creatorcontrib><title>Tree-ring-based temperature reconstruction from the western Himalayan region in northern Pakistan since 1705 C.E</title><title>Arabian journal of geosciences</title><addtitle>Arab J Geosci</addtitle><description>The western Himalayan region in northern Pakistan is one of the most sensitive hotspots to climate change, due to the rapidly increasing population and delicate mountainous ecosystem. The relatively limited observed instrumental record impedes our understanding of long-term climate variability and their assessment. Using standard dendrochronological techniques, a 395-year (1620 to 2014 C.E.) tree-ring chronology of Abies pindrow (Royle) (Himalayan fir) was developed from the western Himalayan region in northern Pakistan. The results of the growth-climate relationship demonstrated that the radial growth of Abies pindrow was limited by minimum temperature. Using a robust reconstruction model, a 310-year (1705 to 2014 C.E.) minimum temperature was reconstructed from the western Himalayan region in northern Pakistan. The reconstructed minimum temperature accounts for 38% variance of the actual minimum temperature, and provides the evidences of Dalton minimum and modern maximum periods. The coldest years in the reconstruction were 1726, 1727, 1892, 1921, and 2001, whereas the hottest years were 1789, 1807, 1814, 1846, 2011, and 2013. Multi-taper method (MTM) spectral analysis showed a significant shorter quasi-cycles (2.3 to 3.5 years) and decadal cycles (11.5 to 17.5 years), suggesting a possible teleconnections with El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), and Northern Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) respectively.</description><subject>Abies pindrow</subject><subject>Climate change</subject><subject>Climate variability</subject><subject>Cycles</subject><subject>Dendrochronology</subject><subject>Earth and Environmental Science</subject><subject>Earth science</subject><subject>Earth Sciences</subject><subject>El Nino</subject><subject>El Nino phenomena</subject><subject>Environmental changes</subject><subject>Original Paper</subject><subject>Population growth</subject><subject>Southern Oscillation</subject><subject>Spectral analysis</subject><subject>Spectrum analysis</subject><subject>Temperature</subject><subject>Tree rings</subject><issn>1866-7511</issn><issn>1866-7538</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2021</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><recordid>eNp9kNFKwzAUhoMoOKcv4FXA68yTZG3SSxnTCYKCuw9Zejo7t7QmLbK3N7Wid14l8H_nz8lHyDWHGQdQt5GLjCsGgjNQc62ZPCETrvOcqUzq09875-fkIsYdQK5B6Qlp1wGRhdpv2cZGLGmHhxaD7fqANKBrfOxC77q68bQKzYF2b0g_MXYYPF3VB7u3R-sTuR2I2lPfhISk8MW-17FLWay9Q8oVZHQxW16Ss8ruI179nFPyer9cL1bs6fnhcXH3xKwopGYlCOcKLgteCSi0tFXmMK-slE6ggk2py4qrHEtIQabUvCgklLkFKTRIOSU3Y2sbmo8-rWt2TR98etCIJESKAiBLlBgpF5oYA1amDelL4Wg4mMGrGb2a5NV8ezVDtRyHYjtow_BX_c_UFyf8ezw</recordid><startdate>20210601</startdate><enddate>20210601</enddate><creator>Khan, Adam</creator><creator>Ahmed, Moinuddin</creator><creator>Gaire, Narayan Prasad</creator><creator>Iqbal, Javed</creator><creator>Siddiqui, Muhammad Faheem</creator><creator>Khan, Afsheen</creator><creator>Shah, Mohib</creator><creator>Hazrat, Ali</creator><creator>Saqib, Najm Us</creator><creator>Mashwani, Wali Khan</creator><creator>Shah, Sher</creator><creator>Bhandari, Sanjaya</creator><general>Springer International Publishing</general><general>Springer Nature B.V</general><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7UA</scope><scope>C1K</scope><scope>F1W</scope><scope>H96</scope><scope>L.G</scope><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7754-8515</orcidid></search><sort><creationdate>20210601</creationdate><title>Tree-ring-based temperature reconstruction from the western Himalayan region in northern Pakistan since 1705 C.E</title><author>Khan, Adam ; Ahmed, Moinuddin ; Gaire, Narayan Prasad ; Iqbal, Javed ; Siddiqui, Muhammad Faheem ; Khan, Afsheen ; Shah, Mohib ; Hazrat, Ali ; Saqib, Najm Us ; Mashwani, Wali Khan ; Shah, Sher ; Bhandari, Sanjaya</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-a2938-d02cc91391f20983af5ce6fa33c2e70bd8df176ed0f5c57749930d6a0328033</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2021</creationdate><topic>Abies pindrow</topic><topic>Climate change</topic><topic>Climate variability</topic><topic>Cycles</topic><topic>Dendrochronology</topic><topic>Earth and Environmental Science</topic><topic>Earth science</topic><topic>Earth Sciences</topic><topic>El Nino</topic><topic>El Nino phenomena</topic><topic>Environmental changes</topic><topic>Original Paper</topic><topic>Population growth</topic><topic>Southern Oscillation</topic><topic>Spectral analysis</topic><topic>Spectrum analysis</topic><topic>Temperature</topic><topic>Tree rings</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Khan, Adam</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ahmed, Moinuddin</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Gaire, Narayan Prasad</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Iqbal, Javed</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Siddiqui, Muhammad Faheem</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Khan, Afsheen</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Shah, Mohib</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Hazrat, Ali</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Saqib, Najm Us</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Mashwani, Wali Khan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Shah, Sher</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bhandari, Sanjaya</creatorcontrib><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>Water Resources Abstracts</collection><collection>Environmental Sciences and Pollution Management</collection><collection>ASFA: Aquatic Sciences and Fisheries Abstracts</collection><collection>Aquatic Science &amp; Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA) 2: Ocean Technology, Policy &amp; Non-Living Resources</collection><collection>Aquatic Science &amp; Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA) Professional</collection><jtitle>Arabian journal of geosciences</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Khan, Adam</au><au>Ahmed, Moinuddin</au><au>Gaire, Narayan Prasad</au><au>Iqbal, Javed</au><au>Siddiqui, Muhammad Faheem</au><au>Khan, Afsheen</au><au>Shah, Mohib</au><au>Hazrat, Ali</au><au>Saqib, Najm Us</au><au>Mashwani, Wali Khan</au><au>Shah, Sher</au><au>Bhandari, Sanjaya</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Tree-ring-based temperature reconstruction from the western Himalayan region in northern Pakistan since 1705 C.E</atitle><jtitle>Arabian journal of geosciences</jtitle><stitle>Arab J Geosci</stitle><date>2021-06-01</date><risdate>2021</risdate><volume>14</volume><issue>12</issue><artnum>1122</artnum><issn>1866-7511</issn><eissn>1866-7538</eissn><abstract>The western Himalayan region in northern Pakistan is one of the most sensitive hotspots to climate change, due to the rapidly increasing population and delicate mountainous ecosystem. The relatively limited observed instrumental record impedes our understanding of long-term climate variability and their assessment. Using standard dendrochronological techniques, a 395-year (1620 to 2014 C.E.) tree-ring chronology of Abies pindrow (Royle) (Himalayan fir) was developed from the western Himalayan region in northern Pakistan. The results of the growth-climate relationship demonstrated that the radial growth of Abies pindrow was limited by minimum temperature. Using a robust reconstruction model, a 310-year (1705 to 2014 C.E.) minimum temperature was reconstructed from the western Himalayan region in northern Pakistan. The reconstructed minimum temperature accounts for 38% variance of the actual minimum temperature, and provides the evidences of Dalton minimum and modern maximum periods. The coldest years in the reconstruction were 1726, 1727, 1892, 1921, and 2001, whereas the hottest years were 1789, 1807, 1814, 1846, 2011, and 2013. Multi-taper method (MTM) spectral analysis showed a significant shorter quasi-cycles (2.3 to 3.5 years) and decadal cycles (11.5 to 17.5 years), suggesting a possible teleconnections with El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), and Northern Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) respectively.</abstract><cop>Cham</cop><pub>Springer International Publishing</pub><doi>10.1007/s12517-021-07488-3</doi><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7754-8515</orcidid></addata></record>
fulltext fulltext
identifier ISSN: 1866-7511
ispartof Arabian journal of geosciences, 2021-06, Vol.14 (12), Article 1122
issn 1866-7511
1866-7538
language eng
recordid cdi_proquest_journals_2538329005
source SpringerNature Journals
subjects Abies pindrow
Climate change
Climate variability
Cycles
Dendrochronology
Earth and Environmental Science
Earth science
Earth Sciences
El Nino
El Nino phenomena
Environmental changes
Original Paper
Population growth
Southern Oscillation
Spectral analysis
Spectrum analysis
Temperature
Tree rings
title Tree-ring-based temperature reconstruction from the western Himalayan region in northern Pakistan since 1705 C.E
url https://sfx.bib-bvb.de/sfx_tum?ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&ctx_enc=info:ofi/enc:UTF-8&ctx_tim=2024-12-24T03%3A30%3A12IST&url_ver=Z39.88-2004&url_ctx_fmt=infofi/fmt:kev:mtx:ctx&rfr_id=info:sid/primo.exlibrisgroup.com:primo3-Article-proquest_cross&rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:journal&rft.genre=article&rft.atitle=Tree-ring-based%20temperature%20reconstruction%20from%20the%20western%20Himalayan%20region%20in%20northern%20Pakistan%20since%201705%20C.E&rft.jtitle=Arabian%20journal%20of%20geosciences&rft.au=Khan,%20Adam&rft.date=2021-06-01&rft.volume=14&rft.issue=12&rft.artnum=1122&rft.issn=1866-7511&rft.eissn=1866-7538&rft_id=info:doi/10.1007/s12517-021-07488-3&rft_dat=%3Cproquest_cross%3E2538329005%3C/proquest_cross%3E%3Curl%3E%3C/url%3E&disable_directlink=true&sfx.directlink=off&sfx.report_link=0&rft_id=info:oai/&rft_pqid=2538329005&rft_id=info:pmid/&rfr_iscdi=true