A neural network approach for traffic prediction and routing with missing data imputation for intelligent transportation system

•Traffic Simulation that models live traffic.•Traffic congestion prediction using neural network.•Missing data imputation using historically weighted averages.•Vehicle rerouting system that is robust to missing data is developed. A robust traffic rerouting system is important in traffic management,...

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Veröffentlicht in:Expert systems with applications 2021-06, Vol.171, p.114573, Article 114573
Hauptverfasser: Chan, Robin Kuok Cheong, Lim, Joanne Mun-Yee, Parthiban, Rajendran
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Parthiban, Rajendran
description •Traffic Simulation that models live traffic.•Traffic congestion prediction using neural network.•Missing data imputation using historically weighted averages.•Vehicle rerouting system that is robust to missing data is developed. A robust traffic rerouting system is important in traffic management, alongside an accurate traffic simulation model. However, missing data continues to be a problem as it will inevitably cause errors in predicting the congestion levels, resulting in a less efficient rerouting. The lack of a realistic traffic simulation also serves to hamper the development of a better traffic management system. As such, this paper aims to address both problems by proposing three solutions: (i) a traffic simulation that would model a live-traffic, (ii) a pheromone-based, neural network traffic prediction and rerouting system, and (iii) a missing data handling method utilising weighted historical data method named Weighted Missing Data Imputation (WEMDI). The traffic simulation model was benchmarked using Google Maps rerouting system. WEMDI was tested by comparing the performance of the rerouting system with and without WEMDI’s integration for various levels of missing data. The results showed that the traffic simulation model displayed a high correlation to that of Google Maps, and the WEMDI-integrated system displayed 38% to 44% improvement in the related traffic factors, when compared to a situation with no rerouting system in place, and up to 19.39% increase in performance compared to the base rerouting system for missing data levels of 50%. The WEMDI system also displayed robustness in routing other locations, displaying a similarly high performance.
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A robust traffic rerouting system is important in traffic management, alongside an accurate traffic simulation model. However, missing data continues to be a problem as it will inevitably cause errors in predicting the congestion levels, resulting in a less efficient rerouting. The lack of a realistic traffic simulation also serves to hamper the development of a better traffic management system. As such, this paper aims to address both problems by proposing three solutions: (i) a traffic simulation that would model a live-traffic, (ii) a pheromone-based, neural network traffic prediction and rerouting system, and (iii) a missing data handling method utilising weighted historical data method named Weighted Missing Data Imputation (WEMDI). The traffic simulation model was benchmarked using Google Maps rerouting system. WEMDI was tested by comparing the performance of the rerouting system with and without WEMDI’s integration for various levels of missing data. The results showed that the traffic simulation model displayed a high correlation to that of Google Maps, and the WEMDI-integrated system displayed 38% to 44% improvement in the related traffic factors, when compared to a situation with no rerouting system in place, and up to 19.39% increase in performance compared to the base rerouting system for missing data levels of 50%. 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subjects Communications traffic
Data imputation
Intelligent transportation systems
Missing data
Model testing
Neural network
Neural networks
Rerouteing
Rerouting system
Simulation
Traffic congestion
Traffic management
Traffic modelling
Traffic models
Traffic prediction
Transportation networks
title A neural network approach for traffic prediction and routing with missing data imputation for intelligent transportation system
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