Subseasonal Precipitation Prediction for Africa: Forecast Evaluation and Sources of Predictability

This paper evaluates subseasonal precipitation forecasts for Africa using hindcasts from three models (ECMWF, UKMO, and NCEP) participating in the Subseasonal to Seasonal (S2S) prediction project. A variety of verification metrics are employed to assess weekly precipitation forecast quality at lead...

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Veröffentlicht in:	Weather and forecasting 2021-02, Vol.36 (1), p.265-284
Hauptverfasser:	de Andrade, Felipe M., Young, Matthew P., MacLeod, David, Hirons, Linda C., Woolnough, Steven J., Black, Emily
Format:	Artikel
Sprache:	eng
Schlagworte:	Accuracy Atmospheric precipitations Bias Climate Decision making Dipoles El Nino El Nino phenomena El Nino-Southern Oscillation event Evaluation Forecast evaluation Madden-Julian oscillation Mathematical models Precipitation Precipitation forecasting Precipitation variability Predictions Probability Quality assessment Rainy season Reduction Regions Southern Oscillation Statistical analysis Weather forecasting Weekly Wet season
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