Temperature, Disease, and Death in London: Analyzing Weekly Data for the Century from 1866 to 1965

Using novel weekly mortality data for London spanning 1866-1965, we analyze the changing relationship between temperature and mortality as the city developed. Our main results show that warm weeks led to elevated mortality in the late nineteenth century, mainly due to infant deaths from digestive di...

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Veröffentlicht in:The Journal of economic history 2021-03, Vol.81 (1), p.40-80
Hauptverfasser: Hanlon, W. Walker, Hansen, Casper Worm, Kantor, Jake
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container_title The Journal of economic history
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creator Hanlon, W. Walker
Hansen, Casper Worm
Kantor, Jake
description Using novel weekly mortality data for London spanning 1866-1965, we analyze the changing relationship between temperature and mortality as the city developed. Our main results show that warm weeks led to elevated mortality in the late nineteenth century, mainly due to infant deaths from digestive diseases. However, this pattern largely disappeared after WWI as infant digestive diseases became less prevalent. The resulting change in the temperature-mortality relationship meant that thousands of heat-related deaths—equal to 0.9-1.4 percent of all deaths— were averted. These findings show that improving the disease environment can dramatically alter the impact of high temperature on mortality.
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subjects 1866-1965
19th century
20th century
Adaptation
Climate adaptation
Climate change
Cold
Demographics
Developing countries
Digestive diseases
Economic history
High temperature
Infant mortality
Infants
Infectious diseases
Kindersterblichkeit
LDCs
London
Mortality
Population
Sterblichkeit
Temperature effects
Wetter
title Temperature, Disease, and Death in London: Analyzing Weekly Data for the Century from 1866 to 1965
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