Unpacking the Agricultural Black Box: The Rise and Fall of American Farm Productivity Growth

Has the golden age of U.S. agricultural productivity growth ended? We analyze the detailed patterns of productivity growth spanning a century of profound changes in American agriculture. We document a substantial slowing of U.S. farm productivity growth, following a late mid-century surge—20 years a...

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Veröffentlicht in:The Journal of economic history 2021-03, Vol.81 (1), p.114-155
Hauptverfasser: Pardey, Philip G., Alston, Julian M.
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Alston, Julian M.
description Has the golden age of U.S. agricultural productivity growth ended? We analyze the detailed patterns of productivity growth spanning a century of profound changes in American agriculture. We document a substantial slowing of U.S. farm productivity growth, following a late mid-century surge—20 years after the surge and slowdown in U.S. industrial productivity growth. We posit and empirically probe three related explanations for this farm productivity surge-slowdown: the time path of agricultural R&D-driven knowledge stocks; a big wave of technological progress associated with great clusters of inventions; and dynamic aspects of the structural transformation of agriculture, largely completed by 1980.
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subjects 1910-2017
20th century
21st century
Agricultural production
Agriculture
Economic growth
Economic history
Farms
Food
GDP
Gross Domestic Product
Grüne Revolution
Innovations
Inventions
Landwirtschaft
Population
Productivity
Produktivität
R&D
Research & development
Technological change
Transformation
USA
title Unpacking the Agricultural Black Box: The Rise and Fall of American Farm Productivity Growth
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