Revision of the Stochastically Perturbed Parametrisations model uncertainty scheme in the Integrated Forecasting System

The Stochastically Perturbed Parametrisations scheme (SPP) represents model uncertainty in numerical weather prediction by introducing stochastic perturbations into the physical parametrisation schemes. The perturbations are constructed in such a way that the internal consistency of the physical par...

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Veröffentlicht in:	Quarterly journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 2021-01, Vol.147 (735), p.1364-1381
Hauptverfasser:	Lang, Simon T. K., Lock, Sarah‐Jane, Leutbecher, Martin, Bechtold, Peter, Forbes, Richard M.
Format:	Artikel
Sprache:	eng
Schlagworte:	Ensemble forecasting ensemble perturbation methods Perturbations Probability theory SPP SPPT stochastic physics Stochasticity Uncertainty Weather forecasting
Online-Zugang:	Volltext
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