Differential risk premiums and the UIP puzzle

We respecify the uncovered interest rate parity (UIP) conditions by inverting the market price of the risk (Sharpe ratio) formula. Our empirical model provides new insight indicating that violations to the UIP stem from the existence of a risk premium in the exchange rates and from observed market r...

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Veröffentlicht in:Financial management 2021-03, Vol.50 (1), p.139-167
Hauptverfasser: Biswas, Rita, Piccotti, Louis R., Schreiber, Ben Z.
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creator Biswas, Rita
Piccotti, Louis R.
Schreiber, Ben Z.
description We respecify the uncovered interest rate parity (UIP) conditions by inverting the market price of the risk (Sharpe ratio) formula. Our empirical model provides new insight indicating that violations to the UIP stem from the existence of a risk premium in the exchange rates and from observed market return differentials being a noisy statistic of the markets’ expected return differentials in our respecified model. Using an integrated macro‐micro structure framework for expected market return differentials improves our model fit and the validity of UIP.
doi_str_mv 10.1111/fima.12314
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source Business Source Complete; Wiley Online Library All Journals
subjects Foreign exchange market
Foreign exchange rates
Interest rate parity theorem
Order flows
Premiums
Risk premium
Uncovered interest rate parity
Violations
title Differential risk premiums and the UIP puzzle
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