Spatial co‐localisation of extreme weather events: a clear and present danger
Extreme weather events have become a dominant feature of the narrative surrounding changes in global climate with large impacts on ecosystem stability, functioning and resilience; however, understanding of their risk of co‐occurrence at the regional scale is lacking. Based on the UK Met Office’s lon...
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Veröffentlicht in: | Ecology letters 2021-01, Vol.24 (1), p.60-72 |
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creator | Dodd, Rosalind J. Chadwick, David R. Harris, Ian M. Hines, Adrian Hollis, Dan Economou, Theodoros Gwynn‐Jones, Dylan Scullion, John Robinson, David A. Jones, David L. Crowther, Thomas |
description | Extreme weather events have become a dominant feature of the narrative surrounding changes in global climate with large impacts on ecosystem stability, functioning and resilience; however, understanding of their risk of co‐occurrence at the regional scale is lacking. Based on the UK Met Office’s long‐term temperature and rainfall records, we present the first evidence demonstrating significant increases in the magnitude, direction of change and spatial co‐localisation of extreme weather events since 1961. Combining this new understanding with land‐use data sets allowed us to assess the likely consequences on future agricultural production and conservation priority areas. All land‐uses are impacted by the increasing risk of at least one extreme event and conservation areas were identified as the hotspots of risk for the co‐occurrence of multiple event types. Our findings provide a basis to regionally guide land‐use optimisation, land management practices and regulatory actions preserving ecosystem services against multiple climate threats.
Extreme weather events have become a dominant feature of the narrative surrounding changes in global climate with large‐scale implications for ecosystem function. Based on the UK Met Office’s long‐term high‐resolution temperature and rainfall records, we present the first evidence demonstrating significant increases in the magnitude, direction of change and spatial co‐localisation of extreme weather events since 1961. Combining this new understanding with land‐use data sets allowed us to assess the likely consequences of these events on future agricultural production and conservation priority areas. |
doi_str_mv | 10.1111/ele.13620 |
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Extreme weather events have become a dominant feature of the narrative surrounding changes in global climate with large‐scale implications for ecosystem function. Based on the UK Met Office’s long‐term high‐resolution temperature and rainfall records, we present the first evidence demonstrating significant increases in the magnitude, direction of change and spatial co‐localisation of extreme weather events since 1961. Combining this new understanding with land‐use data sets allowed us to assess the likely consequences of these events on future agricultural production and conservation priority areas.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1461-023X</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1461-0248</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1111/ele.13620</identifier><identifier>PMID: 33047444</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>England: Blackwell Publishing Ltd</publisher><subject>Agricultural management ; Agricultural production ; Climate ; Climate Change ; Conservation ; Conservation areas ; Ecosystem ; Ecosystem service ; Ecosystem services ; Ecosystem stability ; Environmental changes ; Environmental impact ; Extreme Weather ; Land conservation ; Land management ; land‐use ; Localization ; Optimization ; Rain ; Rainfall ; Risk ; Weather</subject><ispartof>Ecology letters, 2021-01, Vol.24 (1), p.60-72</ispartof><rights>2020 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.</rights><rights>2021 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c3880-2c95e8f5f3c0eb2081ddd55a44c2df47922700035086bb088dad4c511143696c3</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c3880-2c95e8f5f3c0eb2081ddd55a44c2df47922700035086bb088dad4c511143696c3</cites><orcidid>0000-0001-8970-2460</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111%2Fele.13620$$EPDF$$P50$$Gwiley$$H</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111%2Fele.13620$$EHTML$$P50$$Gwiley$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,776,780,1411,27901,27902,45550,45551</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33047444$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Dodd, Rosalind J.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Chadwick, David R.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Harris, Ian M.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Hines, Adrian</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Hollis, Dan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Economou, Theodoros</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Gwynn‐Jones, Dylan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Scullion, John</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Robinson, David A.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Jones, David L.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Crowther, Thomas</creatorcontrib><title>Spatial co‐localisation of extreme weather events: a clear and present danger</title><title>Ecology letters</title><addtitle>Ecol Lett</addtitle><description>Extreme weather events have become a dominant feature of the narrative surrounding changes in global climate with large impacts on ecosystem stability, functioning and resilience; however, understanding of their risk of co‐occurrence at the regional scale is lacking. Based on the UK Met Office’s long‐term temperature and rainfall records, we present the first evidence demonstrating significant increases in the magnitude, direction of change and spatial co‐localisation of extreme weather events since 1961. Combining this new understanding with land‐use data sets allowed us to assess the likely consequences on future agricultural production and conservation priority areas. All land‐uses are impacted by the increasing risk of at least one extreme event and conservation areas were identified as the hotspots of risk for the co‐occurrence of multiple event types. Our findings provide a basis to regionally guide land‐use optimisation, land management practices and regulatory actions preserving ecosystem services against multiple climate threats.
Extreme weather events have become a dominant feature of the narrative surrounding changes in global climate with large‐scale implications for ecosystem function. Based on the UK Met Office’s long‐term high‐resolution temperature and rainfall records, we present the first evidence demonstrating significant increases in the magnitude, direction of change and spatial co‐localisation of extreme weather events since 1961. Combining this new understanding with land‐use data sets allowed us to assess the likely consequences of these events on future agricultural production and conservation priority areas.</description><subject>Agricultural management</subject><subject>Agricultural production</subject><subject>Climate</subject><subject>Climate Change</subject><subject>Conservation</subject><subject>Conservation areas</subject><subject>Ecosystem</subject><subject>Ecosystem service</subject><subject>Ecosystem services</subject><subject>Ecosystem stability</subject><subject>Environmental changes</subject><subject>Environmental impact</subject><subject>Extreme Weather</subject><subject>Land conservation</subject><subject>Land management</subject><subject>land‐use</subject><subject>Localization</subject><subject>Optimization</subject><subject>Rain</subject><subject>Rainfall</subject><subject>Risk</subject><subject>Weather</subject><issn>1461-023X</issn><issn>1461-0248</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2021</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>EIF</sourceid><recordid>eNp1kEtOwzAQhi0EoqWw4ALIEisWaf1K4rBDVXlIlboAJHaWY08gVZoEO6V0xxE4IyfB0NIds5nR6NM_mg-hU0qGNNQIKhhSnjCyh_pUJDQiTMj93cyfeujI-zkhlGUpPUQ9zolIhRB9NLtvdVfqCpvm6-OzaoyuSh82TY2bAsN752ABeAW6ewGH4Q3qzl9ijU0F2mFdW9w68GGLra6fwR2jg0JXHk62fYAerycP49toOru5G19NI8OlJBEzWQyyiAtuCOSMSGqtjWMthGG2EGnGWEoI4TGRSZ4TKa22wsThWcGTLDF8gM43ua1rXpfgOzVvlq4OJxUTSRazlHMWqIsNZVzjvYNCta5caLdWlKgfdSqoU7_qAnu2TVzmC7A78s9VAEYbYFVWsP4_SU2mk03kN9Rfd3g</recordid><startdate>202101</startdate><enddate>202101</enddate><creator>Dodd, Rosalind J.</creator><creator>Chadwick, David R.</creator><creator>Harris, Ian M.</creator><creator>Hines, Adrian</creator><creator>Hollis, Dan</creator><creator>Economou, Theodoros</creator><creator>Gwynn‐Jones, Dylan</creator><creator>Scullion, John</creator><creator>Robinson, David A.</creator><creator>Jones, David L.</creator><creator>Crowther, Thomas</creator><general>Blackwell Publishing Ltd</general><scope>CGR</scope><scope>CUY</scope><scope>CVF</scope><scope>ECM</scope><scope>EIF</scope><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7SN</scope><scope>7SS</scope><scope>7U9</scope><scope>C1K</scope><scope>H94</scope><scope>M7N</scope><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8970-2460</orcidid></search><sort><creationdate>202101</creationdate><title>Spatial co‐localisation of extreme weather events: a clear and present danger</title><author>Dodd, Rosalind J. ; 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however, understanding of their risk of co‐occurrence at the regional scale is lacking. Based on the UK Met Office’s long‐term temperature and rainfall records, we present the first evidence demonstrating significant increases in the magnitude, direction of change and spatial co‐localisation of extreme weather events since 1961. Combining this new understanding with land‐use data sets allowed us to assess the likely consequences on future agricultural production and conservation priority areas. All land‐uses are impacted by the increasing risk of at least one extreme event and conservation areas were identified as the hotspots of risk for the co‐occurrence of multiple event types. Our findings provide a basis to regionally guide land‐use optimisation, land management practices and regulatory actions preserving ecosystem services against multiple climate threats.
Extreme weather events have become a dominant feature of the narrative surrounding changes in global climate with large‐scale implications for ecosystem function. Based on the UK Met Office’s long‐term high‐resolution temperature and rainfall records, we present the first evidence demonstrating significant increases in the magnitude, direction of change and spatial co‐localisation of extreme weather events since 1961. Combining this new understanding with land‐use data sets allowed us to assess the likely consequences of these events on future agricultural production and conservation priority areas.</abstract><cop>England</cop><pub>Blackwell Publishing Ltd</pub><pmid>33047444</pmid><doi>10.1111/ele.13620</doi><tpages>13</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8970-2460</orcidid><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
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subjects | Agricultural management Agricultural production Climate Climate Change Conservation Conservation areas Ecosystem Ecosystem service Ecosystem services Ecosystem stability Environmental changes Environmental impact Extreme Weather Land conservation Land management land‐use Localization Optimization Rain Rainfall Risk Weather |
title | Spatial co‐localisation of extreme weather events: a clear and present danger |
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