Spatial co‐localisation of extreme weather events: a clear and present danger

Extreme weather events have become a dominant feature of the narrative surrounding changes in global climate with large impacts on ecosystem stability, functioning and resilience; however, understanding of their risk of co‐occurrence at the regional scale is lacking. Based on the UK Met Office’s lon...

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Veröffentlicht in:Ecology letters 2021-01, Vol.24 (1), p.60-72
Hauptverfasser: Dodd, Rosalind J., Chadwick, David R., Harris, Ian M., Hines, Adrian, Hollis, Dan, Economou, Theodoros, Gwynn‐Jones, Dylan, Scullion, John, Robinson, David A., Jones, David L., Crowther, Thomas
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container_end_page 72
container_issue 1
container_start_page 60
container_title Ecology letters
container_volume 24
creator Dodd, Rosalind J.
Chadwick, David R.
Harris, Ian M.
Hines, Adrian
Hollis, Dan
Economou, Theodoros
Gwynn‐Jones, Dylan
Scullion, John
Robinson, David A.
Jones, David L.
Crowther, Thomas
description Extreme weather events have become a dominant feature of the narrative surrounding changes in global climate with large impacts on ecosystem stability, functioning and resilience; however, understanding of their risk of co‐occurrence at the regional scale is lacking. Based on the UK Met Office’s long‐term temperature and rainfall records, we present the first evidence demonstrating significant increases in the magnitude, direction of change and spatial co‐localisation of extreme weather events since 1961. Combining this new understanding with land‐use data sets allowed us to assess the likely consequences on future agricultural production and conservation priority areas. All land‐uses are impacted by the increasing risk of at least one extreme event and conservation areas were identified as the hotspots of risk for the co‐occurrence of multiple event types. Our findings provide a basis to regionally guide land‐use optimisation, land management practices and regulatory actions preserving ecosystem services against multiple climate threats. Extreme weather events have become a dominant feature of the narrative surrounding changes in global climate with large‐scale implications for ecosystem function. Based on the UK Met Office’s long‐term high‐resolution temperature and rainfall records, we present the first evidence demonstrating significant increases in the magnitude, direction of change and spatial co‐localisation of extreme weather events since 1961. Combining this new understanding with land‐use data sets allowed us to assess the likely consequences of these events on future agricultural production and conservation priority areas.
doi_str_mv 10.1111/ele.13620
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subjects Agricultural management
Agricultural production
Climate
Climate Change
Conservation
Conservation areas
Ecosystem
Ecosystem service
Ecosystem services
Ecosystem stability
Environmental changes
Environmental impact
Extreme Weather
Land conservation
Land management
land‐use
Localization
Optimization
Rain
Rainfall
Risk
Weather
title Spatial co‐localisation of extreme weather events: a clear and present danger
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