To What Extent Biomass Burning Aerosols Impact South America Seasonal Climate Predictions?
We applied the Goddard Earth Observing System for subseasonal to seasonal climate prediction to assess the impact of inclusion biomass burning (BB) aerosols over South America (SA) during the austral winter. We also evaluated the model sensitivity to the BB emissions prescription using no emissions,...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | Geophysical research letters 2020-08, Vol.47 (16), p.n/a |
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| container_title | Geophysical research letters |
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| creator | Freire, Julliana L. M. Longo, Karla M. Freitas, Saulo R. Coelho, Caio A. S. M.Molod, Andrea Marshak, Jelena Silva, Arlindo da Ribeiro, Bruno Z. |
| description | We applied the Goddard Earth Observing System for subseasonal to seasonal climate prediction to assess the impact of inclusion biomass burning (BB) aerosols over South America (SA) during the austral winter. We also evaluated the model sensitivity to the BB emissions prescription using no emissions, monthly climatological, and daily emissions. Each hindcast consisted of four members running from June to November of each year between 2000 and 2015. Our results indicated that interactive BB aerosols improve the seasonal climate prediction performance over SA. More realistic daily based emissions significantly further improve the performance in comparison with the climatological ones. Therefore, improvements in the BB emissions representation are urged to represent the aerosol impacts on seasonal climate prediction performance adequately. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1029/2020GL088096 |
| format | Article |
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M. ; Longo, Karla M. ; Freitas, Saulo R. ; Coelho, Caio A. S. ; M.Molod, Andrea ; Marshak, Jelena ; Silva, Arlindo da ; Ribeiro, Bruno Z.</creator><creatorcontrib>Freire, Julliana L. M. ; Longo, Karla M. ; Freitas, Saulo R. ; Coelho, Caio A. S. ; M.Molod, Andrea ; Marshak, Jelena ; Silva, Arlindo da ; Ribeiro, Bruno Z.</creatorcontrib><description>We applied the Goddard Earth Observing System for subseasonal to seasonal climate prediction to assess the impact of inclusion biomass burning (BB) aerosols over South America (SA) during the austral winter. We also evaluated the model sensitivity to the BB emissions prescription using no emissions, monthly climatological, and daily emissions. Each hindcast consisted of four members running from June to November of each year between 2000 and 2015. Our results indicated that interactive BB aerosols improve the seasonal climate prediction performance over SA. More realistic daily based emissions significantly further improve the performance in comparison with the climatological ones. Therefore, improvements in the BB emissions representation are urged to represent the aerosol impacts on seasonal climate prediction performance adequately.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0094-8276</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1944-8007</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1029/2020GL088096</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Goddard Space Flight Center: Wiley / American Geophysical Union</publisher><subject>Aerosol effects ; Aerosols ; Biomass ; Biomass burning ; Burning ; Climate and vegetation ; Climate models ; Climate prediction ; Cloud interaction ; Emissions ; Energy budget ; Geophysics ; Performance enhancement ; Performance prediction ; Radiation ; Radiation-cloud interactions ; Representations ; Savannahs ; Sensitivity analysis ; Southern Hemisphere ; Surface temperature ; Tropical climate ; Tropical forests ; Winter</subject><ispartof>Geophysical research letters, 2020-08, Vol.47 (16), p.n/a</ispartof><rights>Copyright Determination: GOV_PERMITTED</rights><rights>2020. 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Our results indicated that interactive BB aerosols improve the seasonal climate prediction performance over SA. More realistic daily based emissions significantly further improve the performance in comparison with the climatological ones. 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M. ; Longo, Karla M. ; Freitas, Saulo R. ; Coelho, Caio A. 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| subjects | Aerosol effects Aerosols Biomass Biomass burning Burning Climate and vegetation Climate models Climate prediction Cloud interaction Emissions Energy budget Geophysics Performance enhancement Performance prediction Radiation Radiation-cloud interactions Representations Savannahs Sensitivity analysis Southern Hemisphere Surface temperature Tropical climate Tropical forests Winter |
| title | To What Extent Biomass Burning Aerosols Impact South America Seasonal Climate Predictions? |
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