Forecasting the Building Energy Consumption in China Using Grey Model

The consumption of energy is receiving increasing attention and the building energy consumption is an important component of this. However, buildings in China, a developing country, consume large amounts of energy, and the accurate prediction of building energy consumption is particularly important...

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Veröffentlicht in:Environmental Processes 2020-09, Vol.7 (3), p.1009-1022
Hauptverfasser: Dun, Meng, Wu, Lifeng
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Wu, Lifeng
description The consumption of energy is receiving increasing attention and the building energy consumption is an important component of this. However, buildings in China, a developing country, consume large amounts of energy, and the accurate prediction of building energy consumption is particularly important for its reduction. The buildings causing energy consumption are divided into three types (i.e., rural, public and urban buildings). Using data from the period 2001–2016, the grey model was applied to predict the building energy consumption, the building area and the building energy consumption per unit area of the three building types in 2017–2020. According to the forecasting results, the energy consumption per unit area of rural buildings, public buildings and the total building energy consumption per unit area will show an increasing trend at varying degrees in 2017–2020. This indicates that the existing problems of building energy consumption have not been effectively solved. Based on the forecasting results, the problems of the building energy consumption are summarized and solutions are proposed.
doi_str_mv 10.1007/s40710-020-00438-3
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subjects Analysis
Architecture and energy conservation
Buildings
Developing countries
Earth and Environmental Science
Earth Sciences
Energy consumption
Energy industry
Energy management
Environmental Management
Environmental Science and Engineering
Forecasting
Forecasts and trends
LDCs
Mathematical models
Public buildings
Rural areas
Short Communication
Waste Management/Waste Technology
Water Quality/Water Pollution
title Forecasting the Building Energy Consumption in China Using Grey Model
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