Contrasting Influences of Human Activities on Hydrological Drought Regimes Over China Based on High‐Resolution Simulations
How human activities have altered hydrological droughts (streamflow deficits) in China during the past five decades (1961–2016) is investigated using the latest version (v2.0) of PCR‐GLOBWB model at high spatial resolution (~10 km). Although both human activities and climate variability have signifi...
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description | How human activities have altered hydrological droughts (streamflow deficits) in China during the past five decades (1961–2016) is investigated using the latest version (v2.0) of PCR‐GLOBWB model at high spatial resolution (~10 km). Although both human activities and climate variability have significant effects on river flows over China, there are large regional north‐south contrasts. Over northern China, human activities generally intensify hydrological droughts. We find that human activities exacerbated drought deficit by about 70–200% from 2004 to 2015. In contrast, droughts over southern China are generally alleviated by human activities. For instance, irrigation and water management (such as reservoir operation and water ion) increase drought StDef (standardized drought deficit volume) by about 80% in the Yellow River (north) but reduce it by about 20% in the Yangtze River (south). Human activities slightly reduce drought deficit in the Yangtze River due to the combination of large reservoir storage and low ratio of agriculture consumption to ed irrigation water. In contrast, hydrological drought is aggravated in the semiarid Yellow River basin because of high water consumption from agricultural sectors. This study suggests that human activities have contrasting influences on hydrological drought characteristics in the northern (intensification) and southern (mitigation) parts of China. Therefore, it is critical to consider the variable roles of human activities on hydrological drought in China when developing mitigation and adaptation strategies.
Plain Language Summary
China faces unprecedented challenges for water resources management under a changing climate, which is expected to lead to more frequent and severe droughts in the future. Of particular importance is streamflow drought, which jeopardizes regional water supply and local ecosystem services. On one hand, human activities through reservoir operation can effectively alleviate drought by releasing water during the low flow period. But on the other hand, water ion to meet sectoral water demand (such as irrigation) could exacerbate the streamflow deficit. To what extent such human activities differ across regions is not clear. In this study, we use a physically based hydrological and water resources model to investigate how human activities have altered streamflow droughts in China during the past five decades (1961–2016). We find that human activities generally alleviate streamflow droughts i |
doi_str_mv | 10.1029/2019WR025843 |
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Plain Language Summary
China faces unprecedented challenges for water resources management under a changing climate, which is expected to lead to more frequent and severe droughts in the future. Of particular importance is streamflow drought, which jeopardizes regional water supply and local ecosystem services. On one hand, human activities through reservoir operation can effectively alleviate drought by releasing water during the low flow period. But on the other hand, water ion to meet sectoral water demand (such as irrigation) could exacerbate the streamflow deficit. To what extent such human activities differ across regions is not clear. In this study, we use a physically based hydrological and water resources model to investigate how human activities have altered streamflow droughts in China during the past five decades (1961–2016). We find that human activities generally alleviate streamflow droughts in the southern region (e.g., Yangtze River) but intensify them in the northern part of China (e.g., Yellow River). Our research highlights the contrasting geographical differences of human influences on hydrological drought across China, which can be useful for making more effective drought adaptation strategies.
Key Points
We used the PCR‐GLOBWB model at high spatial resolution to investigate the effects of human activities on hydrological drought over China
Influences of human activities on hydrological drought characteristics have a strong and contrasting north‐south gradient
Reservoir operation, water ion, and irrigation increase drought deficit in the Yellow River but reduce it in the Yangtze River</description><identifier>ISSN: 0043-1397</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1944-7973</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1029/2019WR025843</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Washington: John Wiley & Sons, Inc</publisher><subject>Adaptation ; Agricultural industry ; Agricultural management ; Agriculture ; Climate ; Climate and human activity ; Climate change ; Climate effects ; Climate variability ; Computer simulation ; DNA ; Drought ; Drought characteristics ; drought mitigation ; Ecosystem services ; Human influences ; human water use and water management ; Hydrologic drought ; Hydrologic regime ; hydrological drought ; Hydrology ; Irrigation ; Irrigation water ; Low flow ; Mitigation ; Nucleotide sequence ; PCR ; PCR‐GLOBWB model ; Reservoir operation ; Reservoir storage ; Resolution ; River basins ; River flow ; Rivers ; Spatial discrimination ; Spatial resolution ; Stream discharge ; Stream flow ; Water consumption ; Water demand ; Water management ; Water resources ; Water resources management ; Water shortages ; Water supply</subject><ispartof>Water resources research, 2020-06, Vol.56 (6), p.n/a</ispartof><rights>2020. The Authors.</rights><rights>2020. This article is published under http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (the “License”). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-a4116-3cca0c2fbe4e4c6f910c9fd19937334caed0049963d487c741b53d6aa6a7c8a83</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-a4116-3cca0c2fbe4e4c6f910c9fd19937334caed0049963d487c741b53d6aa6a7c8a83</cites><orcidid>0000-0002-3329-5787 ; 0000-0001-7428-0269 ; 0000-0003-3350-8719 ; 0000-0002-6287-8527 ; 0000-0003-3584-1937 ; 0000-0003-2400-0630</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1029%2F2019WR025843$$EPDF$$P50$$Gwiley$$Hfree_for_read</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029%2F2019WR025843$$EHTML$$P50$$Gwiley$$Hfree_for_read</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,777,781,1412,11495,27905,27906,45555,45556,46449,46873</link.rule.ids></links><search><creatorcontrib>Yang, Xiaoli</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhang, Mengru</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>He, Xiaogang</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ren, Liliang</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Pan, Ming</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Yu, Xiaohan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Wei, Zhongwang</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sheffield, Justin</creatorcontrib><title>Contrasting Influences of Human Activities on Hydrological Drought Regimes Over China Based on High‐Resolution Simulations</title><title>Water resources research</title><description>How human activities have altered hydrological droughts (streamflow deficits) in China during the past five decades (1961–2016) is investigated using the latest version (v2.0) of PCR‐GLOBWB model at high spatial resolution (~10 km). Although both human activities and climate variability have significant effects on river flows over China, there are large regional north‐south contrasts. Over northern China, human activities generally intensify hydrological droughts. We find that human activities exacerbated drought deficit by about 70–200% from 2004 to 2015. In contrast, droughts over southern China are generally alleviated by human activities. For instance, irrigation and water management (such as reservoir operation and water ion) increase drought StDef (standardized drought deficit volume) by about 80% in the Yellow River (north) but reduce it by about 20% in the Yangtze River (south). Human activities slightly reduce drought deficit in the Yangtze River due to the combination of large reservoir storage and low ratio of agriculture consumption to ed irrigation water. In contrast, hydrological drought is aggravated in the semiarid Yellow River basin because of high water consumption from agricultural sectors. This study suggests that human activities have contrasting influences on hydrological drought characteristics in the northern (intensification) and southern (mitigation) parts of China. Therefore, it is critical to consider the variable roles of human activities on hydrological drought in China when developing mitigation and adaptation strategies.
Plain Language Summary
China faces unprecedented challenges for water resources management under a changing climate, which is expected to lead to more frequent and severe droughts in the future. Of particular importance is streamflow drought, which jeopardizes regional water supply and local ecosystem services. On one hand, human activities through reservoir operation can effectively alleviate drought by releasing water during the low flow period. But on the other hand, water ion to meet sectoral water demand (such as irrigation) could exacerbate the streamflow deficit. To what extent such human activities differ across regions is not clear. In this study, we use a physically based hydrological and water resources model to investigate how human activities have altered streamflow droughts in China during the past five decades (1961–2016). We find that human activities generally alleviate streamflow droughts in the southern region (e.g., Yangtze River) but intensify them in the northern part of China (e.g., Yellow River). Our research highlights the contrasting geographical differences of human influences on hydrological drought across China, which can be useful for making more effective drought adaptation strategies.
Key Points
We used the PCR‐GLOBWB model at high spatial resolution to investigate the effects of human activities on hydrological drought over China
Influences of human activities on hydrological drought characteristics have a strong and contrasting north‐south gradient
Reservoir operation, water ion, and irrigation increase drought deficit in the Yellow River but reduce it in the Yangtze River</description><subject>Adaptation</subject><subject>Agricultural industry</subject><subject>Agricultural management</subject><subject>Agriculture</subject><subject>Climate</subject><subject>Climate and human activity</subject><subject>Climate change</subject><subject>Climate effects</subject><subject>Climate variability</subject><subject>Computer simulation</subject><subject>DNA</subject><subject>Drought</subject><subject>Drought characteristics</subject><subject>drought mitigation</subject><subject>Ecosystem services</subject><subject>Human influences</subject><subject>human water use and water management</subject><subject>Hydrologic drought</subject><subject>Hydrologic regime</subject><subject>hydrological drought</subject><subject>Hydrology</subject><subject>Irrigation</subject><subject>Irrigation water</subject><subject>Low flow</subject><subject>Mitigation</subject><subject>Nucleotide sequence</subject><subject>PCR</subject><subject>PCR‐GLOBWB model</subject><subject>Reservoir operation</subject><subject>Reservoir storage</subject><subject>Resolution</subject><subject>River basins</subject><subject>River flow</subject><subject>Rivers</subject><subject>Spatial discrimination</subject><subject>Spatial resolution</subject><subject>Stream discharge</subject><subject>Stream flow</subject><subject>Water consumption</subject><subject>Water demand</subject><subject>Water management</subject><subject>Water resources</subject><subject>Water resources management</subject><subject>Water shortages</subject><subject>Water supply</subject><issn>0043-1397</issn><issn>1944-7973</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2020</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>24P</sourceid><sourceid>WIN</sourceid><recordid>eNp9kE1OwzAQhS0EEqWw4wCW2BKwY8eOlyX8tFKlSgHUZeQ6TuoqtcFOiiqx4AickZOQUhasWM3ozTfzNA-Ac4yuMIrFdYywmOcoTlJKDsAAC0ojLjg5BAOEKIkwEfwYnISwQgjThPEBeM-cbb0MrbE1nNiq6bRVOkBXwXG3lhaOVGs2pjU7zcLxtvSucbVRsoG33nX1soW5rs26n8822sNsaayENzLo8mfB1Muvj89cB9d0remVR7PuGrlrwyk4qmQT9NlvHYLn-7unbBxNZw-TbDSNJMWYRUQpiVRcLTTVVLFKYKREVWIhCCeEKqnL_j0hGClpyhWneJGQkknJJFepTMkQXOzvvnj32unQFivXedtbFjGNk0SIBKGeutxTyrsQvK6KF2_W0m8LjIpdvsXffHuc7PE30-jtv2wxz7M8pgwz8g3QA37U</recordid><startdate>202006</startdate><enddate>202006</enddate><creator>Yang, Xiaoli</creator><creator>Zhang, Mengru</creator><creator>He, Xiaogang</creator><creator>Ren, Liliang</creator><creator>Pan, Ming</creator><creator>Yu, Xiaohan</creator><creator>Wei, Zhongwang</creator><creator>Sheffield, Justin</creator><general>John Wiley & Sons, Inc</general><scope>24P</scope><scope>WIN</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7QH</scope><scope>7QL</scope><scope>7T7</scope><scope>7TG</scope><scope>7U9</scope><scope>7UA</scope><scope>8FD</scope><scope>C1K</scope><scope>F1W</scope><scope>FR3</scope><scope>H94</scope><scope>H96</scope><scope>KL.</scope><scope>KR7</scope><scope>L.G</scope><scope>M7N</scope><scope>P64</scope><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3329-5787</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7428-0269</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3350-8719</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6287-8527</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3584-1937</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2400-0630</orcidid></search><sort><creationdate>202006</creationdate><title>Contrasting Influences of Human Activities on Hydrological Drought Regimes Over China Based on High‐Resolution Simulations</title><author>Yang, Xiaoli ; Zhang, Mengru ; He, Xiaogang ; Ren, Liliang ; Pan, Ming ; Yu, Xiaohan ; Wei, Zhongwang ; Sheffield, Justin</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-a4116-3cca0c2fbe4e4c6f910c9fd19937334caed0049963d487c741b53d6aa6a7c8a83</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2020</creationdate><topic>Adaptation</topic><topic>Agricultural industry</topic><topic>Agricultural management</topic><topic>Agriculture</topic><topic>Climate</topic><topic>Climate and human activity</topic><topic>Climate change</topic><topic>Climate effects</topic><topic>Climate variability</topic><topic>Computer simulation</topic><topic>DNA</topic><topic>Drought</topic><topic>Drought characteristics</topic><topic>drought mitigation</topic><topic>Ecosystem services</topic><topic>Human influences</topic><topic>human water use and water management</topic><topic>Hydrologic drought</topic><topic>Hydrologic regime</topic><topic>hydrological drought</topic><topic>Hydrology</topic><topic>Irrigation</topic><topic>Irrigation water</topic><topic>Low flow</topic><topic>Mitigation</topic><topic>Nucleotide sequence</topic><topic>PCR</topic><topic>PCR‐GLOBWB model</topic><topic>Reservoir operation</topic><topic>Reservoir storage</topic><topic>Resolution</topic><topic>River basins</topic><topic>River flow</topic><topic>Rivers</topic><topic>Spatial discrimination</topic><topic>Spatial resolution</topic><topic>Stream discharge</topic><topic>Stream flow</topic><topic>Water consumption</topic><topic>Water demand</topic><topic>Water management</topic><topic>Water resources</topic><topic>Water resources management</topic><topic>Water shortages</topic><topic>Water supply</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Yang, Xiaoli</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhang, Mengru</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>He, Xiaogang</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ren, Liliang</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Pan, Ming</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Yu, Xiaohan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Wei, Zhongwang</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sheffield, Justin</creatorcontrib><collection>Wiley Online Library Open Access</collection><collection>Wiley Free Content</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>Aqualine</collection><collection>Bacteriology Abstracts (Microbiology B)</collection><collection>Industrial and Applied Microbiology Abstracts (Microbiology A)</collection><collection>Meteorological & Geoastrophysical Abstracts</collection><collection>Virology and AIDS Abstracts</collection><collection>Water Resources Abstracts</collection><collection>Technology Research Database</collection><collection>Environmental Sciences and Pollution Management</collection><collection>ASFA: Aquatic Sciences and Fisheries Abstracts</collection><collection>Engineering Research Database</collection><collection>AIDS and Cancer Research Abstracts</collection><collection>Aquatic Science & Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA) 2: Ocean Technology, Policy & Non-Living Resources</collection><collection>Meteorological & Geoastrophysical Abstracts - Academic</collection><collection>Civil Engineering Abstracts</collection><collection>Aquatic Science & Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA) Professional</collection><collection>Algology Mycology and Protozoology Abstracts (Microbiology C)</collection><collection>Biotechnology and BioEngineering Abstracts</collection><jtitle>Water resources research</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Yang, Xiaoli</au><au>Zhang, Mengru</au><au>He, Xiaogang</au><au>Ren, Liliang</au><au>Pan, Ming</au><au>Yu, Xiaohan</au><au>Wei, Zhongwang</au><au>Sheffield, Justin</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Contrasting Influences of Human Activities on Hydrological Drought Regimes Over China Based on High‐Resolution Simulations</atitle><jtitle>Water resources research</jtitle><date>2020-06</date><risdate>2020</risdate><volume>56</volume><issue>6</issue><epage>n/a</epage><issn>0043-1397</issn><eissn>1944-7973</eissn><abstract>How human activities have altered hydrological droughts (streamflow deficits) in China during the past five decades (1961–2016) is investigated using the latest version (v2.0) of PCR‐GLOBWB model at high spatial resolution (~10 km). Although both human activities and climate variability have significant effects on river flows over China, there are large regional north‐south contrasts. Over northern China, human activities generally intensify hydrological droughts. We find that human activities exacerbated drought deficit by about 70–200% from 2004 to 2015. In contrast, droughts over southern China are generally alleviated by human activities. For instance, irrigation and water management (such as reservoir operation and water ion) increase drought StDef (standardized drought deficit volume) by about 80% in the Yellow River (north) but reduce it by about 20% in the Yangtze River (south). Human activities slightly reduce drought deficit in the Yangtze River due to the combination of large reservoir storage and low ratio of agriculture consumption to ed irrigation water. In contrast, hydrological drought is aggravated in the semiarid Yellow River basin because of high water consumption from agricultural sectors. This study suggests that human activities have contrasting influences on hydrological drought characteristics in the northern (intensification) and southern (mitigation) parts of China. Therefore, it is critical to consider the variable roles of human activities on hydrological drought in China when developing mitigation and adaptation strategies.
Plain Language Summary
China faces unprecedented challenges for water resources management under a changing climate, which is expected to lead to more frequent and severe droughts in the future. Of particular importance is streamflow drought, which jeopardizes regional water supply and local ecosystem services. On one hand, human activities through reservoir operation can effectively alleviate drought by releasing water during the low flow period. But on the other hand, water ion to meet sectoral water demand (such as irrigation) could exacerbate the streamflow deficit. To what extent such human activities differ across regions is not clear. In this study, we use a physically based hydrological and water resources model to investigate how human activities have altered streamflow droughts in China during the past five decades (1961–2016). We find that human activities generally alleviate streamflow droughts in the southern region (e.g., Yangtze River) but intensify them in the northern part of China (e.g., Yellow River). Our research highlights the contrasting geographical differences of human influences on hydrological drought across China, which can be useful for making more effective drought adaptation strategies.
Key Points
We used the PCR‐GLOBWB model at high spatial resolution to investigate the effects of human activities on hydrological drought over China
Influences of human activities on hydrological drought characteristics have a strong and contrasting north‐south gradient
Reservoir operation, water ion, and irrigation increase drought deficit in the Yellow River but reduce it in the Yangtze River</abstract><cop>Washington</cop><pub>John Wiley & Sons, Inc</pub><doi>10.1029/2019WR025843</doi><tpages>17</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3329-5787</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7428-0269</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3350-8719</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6287-8527</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3584-1937</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2400-0630</orcidid><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
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subjects | Adaptation Agricultural industry Agricultural management Agriculture Climate Climate and human activity Climate change Climate effects Climate variability Computer simulation DNA Drought Drought characteristics drought mitigation Ecosystem services Human influences human water use and water management Hydrologic drought Hydrologic regime hydrological drought Hydrology Irrigation Irrigation water Low flow Mitigation Nucleotide sequence PCR PCR‐GLOBWB model Reservoir operation Reservoir storage Resolution River basins River flow Rivers Spatial discrimination Spatial resolution Stream discharge Stream flow Water consumption Water demand Water management Water resources Water resources management Water shortages Water supply |
title | Contrasting Influences of Human Activities on Hydrological Drought Regimes Over China Based on High‐Resolution Simulations |
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