Contrasting Influences of Human Activities on Hydrological Drought Regimes Over China Based on High‐Resolution Simulations

How human activities have altered hydrological droughts (streamflow deficits) in China during the past five decades (1961–2016) is investigated using the latest version (v2.0) of PCR‐GLOBWB model at high spatial resolution (~10 km). Although both human activities and climate variability have signifi...

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Veröffentlicht in:Water resources research 2020-06, Vol.56 (6), p.n/a
Hauptverfasser: Yang, Xiaoli, Zhang, Mengru, He, Xiaogang, Ren, Liliang, Pan, Ming, Yu, Xiaohan, Wei, Zhongwang, Sheffield, Justin
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container_issue 6
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container_title Water resources research
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creator Yang, Xiaoli
Zhang, Mengru
He, Xiaogang
Ren, Liliang
Pan, Ming
Yu, Xiaohan
Wei, Zhongwang
Sheffield, Justin
description How human activities have altered hydrological droughts (streamflow deficits) in China during the past five decades (1961–2016) is investigated using the latest version (v2.0) of PCR‐GLOBWB model at high spatial resolution (~10 km). Although both human activities and climate variability have significant effects on river flows over China, there are large regional north‐south contrasts. Over northern China, human activities generally intensify hydrological droughts. We find that human activities exacerbated drought deficit by about 70–200% from 2004 to 2015. In contrast, droughts over southern China are generally alleviated by human activities. For instance, irrigation and water management (such as reservoir operation and water ion) increase drought StDef (standardized drought deficit volume) by about 80% in the Yellow River (north) but reduce it by about 20% in the Yangtze River (south). Human activities slightly reduce drought deficit in the Yangtze River due to the combination of large reservoir storage and low ratio of agriculture consumption to ed irrigation water. In contrast, hydrological drought is aggravated in the semiarid Yellow River basin because of high water consumption from agricultural sectors. This study suggests that human activities have contrasting influences on hydrological drought characteristics in the northern (intensification) and southern (mitigation) parts of China. Therefore, it is critical to consider the variable roles of human activities on hydrological drought in China when developing mitigation and adaptation strategies. Plain Language Summary China faces unprecedented challenges for water resources management under a changing climate, which is expected to lead to more frequent and severe droughts in the future. Of particular importance is streamflow drought, which jeopardizes regional water supply and local ecosystem services. On one hand, human activities through reservoir operation can effectively alleviate drought by releasing water during the low flow period. But on the other hand, water ion to meet sectoral water demand (such as irrigation) could exacerbate the streamflow deficit. To what extent such human activities differ across regions is not clear. In this study, we use a physically based hydrological and water resources model to investigate how human activities have altered streamflow droughts in China during the past five decades (1961–2016). We find that human activities generally alleviate streamflow droughts i
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Although both human activities and climate variability have significant effects on river flows over China, there are large regional north‐south contrasts. Over northern China, human activities generally intensify hydrological droughts. We find that human activities exacerbated drought deficit by about 70–200% from 2004 to 2015. In contrast, droughts over southern China are generally alleviated by human activities. For instance, irrigation and water management (such as reservoir operation and water ion) increase drought StDef (standardized drought deficit volume) by about 80% in the Yellow River (north) but reduce it by about 20% in the Yangtze River (south). Human activities slightly reduce drought deficit in the Yangtze River due to the combination of large reservoir storage and low ratio of agriculture consumption to ed irrigation water. In contrast, hydrological drought is aggravated in the semiarid Yellow River basin because of high water consumption from agricultural sectors. This study suggests that human activities have contrasting influences on hydrological drought characteristics in the northern (intensification) and southern (mitigation) parts of China. Therefore, it is critical to consider the variable roles of human activities on hydrological drought in China when developing mitigation and adaptation strategies. Plain Language Summary China faces unprecedented challenges for water resources management under a changing climate, which is expected to lead to more frequent and severe droughts in the future. Of particular importance is streamflow drought, which jeopardizes regional water supply and local ecosystem services. On one hand, human activities through reservoir operation can effectively alleviate drought by releasing water during the low flow period. But on the other hand, water ion to meet sectoral water demand (such as irrigation) could exacerbate the streamflow deficit. To what extent such human activities differ across regions is not clear. In this study, we use a physically based hydrological and water resources model to investigate how human activities have altered streamflow droughts in China during the past five decades (1961–2016). We find that human activities generally alleviate streamflow droughts in the southern region (e.g., Yangtze River) but intensify them in the northern part of China (e.g., Yellow River). Our research highlights the contrasting geographical differences of human influences on hydrological drought across China, which can be useful for making more effective drought adaptation strategies. Key Points We used the PCR‐GLOBWB model at high spatial resolution to investigate the effects of human activities on hydrological drought over China Influences of human activities on hydrological drought characteristics have a strong and contrasting north‐south gradient Reservoir operation, water ion, and irrigation increase drought deficit in the Yellow River but reduce it in the Yangtze River</description><identifier>ISSN: 0043-1397</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1944-7973</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1029/2019WR025843</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Washington: John Wiley &amp; Sons, Inc</publisher><subject>Adaptation ; Agricultural industry ; Agricultural management ; Agriculture ; Climate ; Climate and human activity ; Climate change ; Climate effects ; Climate variability ; Computer simulation ; DNA ; Drought ; Drought characteristics ; drought mitigation ; Ecosystem services ; Human influences ; human water use and water management ; Hydrologic drought ; Hydrologic regime ; hydrological drought ; Hydrology ; Irrigation ; Irrigation water ; Low flow ; Mitigation ; Nucleotide sequence ; PCR ; PCR‐GLOBWB model ; Reservoir operation ; Reservoir storage ; Resolution ; River basins ; River flow ; Rivers ; Spatial discrimination ; Spatial resolution ; Stream discharge ; Stream flow ; Water consumption ; Water demand ; Water management ; Water resources ; Water resources management ; Water shortages ; Water supply</subject><ispartof>Water resources research, 2020-06, Vol.56 (6), p.n/a</ispartof><rights>2020. The Authors.</rights><rights>2020. This article is published under http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (the “License”). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-a4116-3cca0c2fbe4e4c6f910c9fd19937334caed0049963d487c741b53d6aa6a7c8a83</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-a4116-3cca0c2fbe4e4c6f910c9fd19937334caed0049963d487c741b53d6aa6a7c8a83</cites><orcidid>0000-0002-3329-5787 ; 0000-0001-7428-0269 ; 0000-0003-3350-8719 ; 0000-0002-6287-8527 ; 0000-0003-3584-1937 ; 0000-0003-2400-0630</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1029%2F2019WR025843$$EPDF$$P50$$Gwiley$$Hfree_for_read</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029%2F2019WR025843$$EHTML$$P50$$Gwiley$$Hfree_for_read</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,777,781,1412,11495,27905,27906,45555,45556,46449,46873</link.rule.ids></links><search><creatorcontrib>Yang, Xiaoli</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhang, Mengru</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>He, Xiaogang</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ren, Liliang</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Pan, Ming</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Yu, Xiaohan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Wei, Zhongwang</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sheffield, Justin</creatorcontrib><title>Contrasting Influences of Human Activities on Hydrological Drought Regimes Over China Based on High‐Resolution Simulations</title><title>Water resources research</title><description>How human activities have altered hydrological droughts (streamflow deficits) in China during the past five decades (1961–2016) is investigated using the latest version (v2.0) of PCR‐GLOBWB model at high spatial resolution (~10 km). Although both human activities and climate variability have significant effects on river flows over China, there are large regional north‐south contrasts. Over northern China, human activities generally intensify hydrological droughts. We find that human activities exacerbated drought deficit by about 70–200% from 2004 to 2015. In contrast, droughts over southern China are generally alleviated by human activities. For instance, irrigation and water management (such as reservoir operation and water ion) increase drought StDef (standardized drought deficit volume) by about 80% in the Yellow River (north) but reduce it by about 20% in the Yangtze River (south). Human activities slightly reduce drought deficit in the Yangtze River due to the combination of large reservoir storage and low ratio of agriculture consumption to ed irrigation water. In contrast, hydrological drought is aggravated in the semiarid Yellow River basin because of high water consumption from agricultural sectors. This study suggests that human activities have contrasting influences on hydrological drought characteristics in the northern (intensification) and southern (mitigation) parts of China. Therefore, it is critical to consider the variable roles of human activities on hydrological drought in China when developing mitigation and adaptation strategies. Plain Language Summary China faces unprecedented challenges for water resources management under a changing climate, which is expected to lead to more frequent and severe droughts in the future. Of particular importance is streamflow drought, which jeopardizes regional water supply and local ecosystem services. On one hand, human activities through reservoir operation can effectively alleviate drought by releasing water during the low flow period. But on the other hand, water ion to meet sectoral water demand (such as irrigation) could exacerbate the streamflow deficit. To what extent such human activities differ across regions is not clear. 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Key Points We used the PCR‐GLOBWB model at high spatial resolution to investigate the effects of human activities on hydrological drought over China Influences of human activities on hydrological drought characteristics have a strong and contrasting north‐south gradient Reservoir operation, water ion, and irrigation increase drought deficit in the Yellow River but reduce it in the Yangtze River</description><subject>Adaptation</subject><subject>Agricultural industry</subject><subject>Agricultural management</subject><subject>Agriculture</subject><subject>Climate</subject><subject>Climate and human activity</subject><subject>Climate change</subject><subject>Climate effects</subject><subject>Climate variability</subject><subject>Computer simulation</subject><subject>DNA</subject><subject>Drought</subject><subject>Drought characteristics</subject><subject>drought mitigation</subject><subject>Ecosystem services</subject><subject>Human influences</subject><subject>human water use and water management</subject><subject>Hydrologic drought</subject><subject>Hydrologic regime</subject><subject>hydrological drought</subject><subject>Hydrology</subject><subject>Irrigation</subject><subject>Irrigation water</subject><subject>Low flow</subject><subject>Mitigation</subject><subject>Nucleotide sequence</subject><subject>PCR</subject><subject>PCR‐GLOBWB model</subject><subject>Reservoir operation</subject><subject>Reservoir storage</subject><subject>Resolution</subject><subject>River basins</subject><subject>River flow</subject><subject>Rivers</subject><subject>Spatial discrimination</subject><subject>Spatial resolution</subject><subject>Stream discharge</subject><subject>Stream flow</subject><subject>Water consumption</subject><subject>Water demand</subject><subject>Water management</subject><subject>Water resources</subject><subject>Water resources management</subject><subject>Water shortages</subject><subject>Water supply</subject><issn>0043-1397</issn><issn>1944-7973</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2020</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>24P</sourceid><sourceid>WIN</sourceid><recordid>eNp9kE1OwzAQhS0EEqWw4wCW2BKwY8eOlyX8tFKlSgHUZeQ6TuoqtcFOiiqx4AickZOQUhasWM3ozTfzNA-Ac4yuMIrFdYywmOcoTlJKDsAAC0ojLjg5BAOEKIkwEfwYnISwQgjThPEBeM-cbb0MrbE1nNiq6bRVOkBXwXG3lhaOVGs2pjU7zcLxtvSucbVRsoG33nX1soW5rs26n8822sNsaayENzLo8mfB1Muvj89cB9d0remVR7PuGrlrwyk4qmQT9NlvHYLn-7unbBxNZw-TbDSNJMWYRUQpiVRcLTTVVLFKYKREVWIhCCeEKqnL_j0hGClpyhWneJGQkknJJFepTMkQXOzvvnj32unQFivXedtbFjGNk0SIBKGeutxTyrsQvK6KF2_W0m8LjIpdvsXffHuc7PE30-jtv2wxz7M8pgwz8g3QA37U</recordid><startdate>202006</startdate><enddate>202006</enddate><creator>Yang, Xiaoli</creator><creator>Zhang, Mengru</creator><creator>He, Xiaogang</creator><creator>Ren, Liliang</creator><creator>Pan, Ming</creator><creator>Yu, Xiaohan</creator><creator>Wei, Zhongwang</creator><creator>Sheffield, Justin</creator><general>John Wiley &amp; 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Although both human activities and climate variability have significant effects on river flows over China, there are large regional north‐south contrasts. Over northern China, human activities generally intensify hydrological droughts. We find that human activities exacerbated drought deficit by about 70–200% from 2004 to 2015. In contrast, droughts over southern China are generally alleviated by human activities. For instance, irrigation and water management (such as reservoir operation and water ion) increase drought StDef (standardized drought deficit volume) by about 80% in the Yellow River (north) but reduce it by about 20% in the Yangtze River (south). Human activities slightly reduce drought deficit in the Yangtze River due to the combination of large reservoir storage and low ratio of agriculture consumption to ed irrigation water. In contrast, hydrological drought is aggravated in the semiarid Yellow River basin because of high water consumption from agricultural sectors. This study suggests that human activities have contrasting influences on hydrological drought characteristics in the northern (intensification) and southern (mitigation) parts of China. Therefore, it is critical to consider the variable roles of human activities on hydrological drought in China when developing mitigation and adaptation strategies. Plain Language Summary China faces unprecedented challenges for water resources management under a changing climate, which is expected to lead to more frequent and severe droughts in the future. Of particular importance is streamflow drought, which jeopardizes regional water supply and local ecosystem services. On one hand, human activities through reservoir operation can effectively alleviate drought by releasing water during the low flow period. But on the other hand, water ion to meet sectoral water demand (such as irrigation) could exacerbate the streamflow deficit. To what extent such human activities differ across regions is not clear. In this study, we use a physically based hydrological and water resources model to investigate how human activities have altered streamflow droughts in China during the past five decades (1961–2016). We find that human activities generally alleviate streamflow droughts in the southern region (e.g., Yangtze River) but intensify them in the northern part of China (e.g., Yellow River). Our research highlights the contrasting geographical differences of human influences on hydrological drought across China, which can be useful for making more effective drought adaptation strategies. Key Points We used the PCR‐GLOBWB model at high spatial resolution to investigate the effects of human activities on hydrological drought over China Influences of human activities on hydrological drought characteristics have a strong and contrasting north‐south gradient Reservoir operation, water ion, and irrigation increase drought deficit in the Yellow River but reduce it in the Yangtze River</abstract><cop>Washington</cop><pub>John Wiley &amp; Sons, Inc</pub><doi>10.1029/2019WR025843</doi><tpages>17</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3329-5787</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7428-0269</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3350-8719</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6287-8527</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3584-1937</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2400-0630</orcidid><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
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subjects Adaptation
Agricultural industry
Agricultural management
Agriculture
Climate
Climate and human activity
Climate change
Climate effects
Climate variability
Computer simulation
DNA
Drought
Drought characteristics
drought mitigation
Ecosystem services
Human influences
human water use and water management
Hydrologic drought
Hydrologic regime
hydrological drought
Hydrology
Irrigation
Irrigation water
Low flow
Mitigation
Nucleotide sequence
PCR
PCR‐GLOBWB model
Reservoir operation
Reservoir storage
Resolution
River basins
River flow
Rivers
Spatial discrimination
Spatial resolution
Stream discharge
Stream flow
Water consumption
Water demand
Water management
Water resources
Water resources management
Water shortages
Water supply
title Contrasting Influences of Human Activities on Hydrological Drought Regimes Over China Based on High‐Resolution Simulations
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