Hydrological Impacts of Climate Change in a Well-preserved Upland Watershed

Much attention has been focused on investigating the effects of climate change on hydrological processes on a regional scale. However, the landscape approach, especially the case of well-preserved upland watersheds needs to be further studied. The Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) or emissi...

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Veröffentlicht in:Water resources management 2020-06, Vol.34 (8), p.2255-2267
Hauptverfasser: de Moura, Carolina Natel, Neto, Sílvio Luís Rafaeli, Campos, Claudia Guimarães Camargo, Sá, Eder Alexandre Schatz
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container_issue 8
container_start_page 2255
container_title Water resources management
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creator de Moura, Carolina Natel
Neto, Sílvio Luís Rafaeli
Campos, Claudia Guimarães Camargo
Sá, Eder Alexandre Schatz
description Much attention has been focused on investigating the effects of climate change on hydrological processes on a regional scale. However, the landscape approach, especially the case of well-preserved upland watersheds needs to be further studied. The Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) or emission scenarios RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 were used to project the impacts of the climate change on the hydrological components of a well-preserved upland landscape with temperate climate, using the Upper Canoas watershed as a case study. The future hydrological projection indicated an increase in the monthly rainfall as well as a shift in the rainiest months from winter to spring. This change resulted in an increase in water balance components. The maximum discharges, as well as the modal discharge (Q50), may increase in the future, and the minimums corresponding to Q95 and Q98 may reduce for both emission scenarios. The results showed that a well-preserved upland watershed in a sub-tropical region might be capable of maintaining water availability at level that is enough for human activities in the future, even with the reduction of minimum permit discharge, which is supported by the increase of maximum and medium monthly discharges and a stable flow-duration curve.
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subjects Atmospheric Sciences
Civil Engineering
Climate change
Climate effects
Components
Discharge
Earth and Environmental Science
Earth Sciences
Emission analysis
Emissions
Emissions control
Environment
Environmental impact
Flow duration curves
Geotechnical Engineering & Applied Earth Sciences
Hydrogeology
Hydrology
Hydrology/Water Resources
Landscape preservation
Rain
Rainfall
Tropical climate
Tropical environment
Tropical environments
Water availability
Water balance
Watersheds
title Hydrological Impacts of Climate Change in a Well-preserved Upland Watershed
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