The theory of storage in the crude oil futures market, the role of financial conditions

This study examines the impacts of inventory and financial instability on the basis of the crude oil market. The results show that, first, the basis rises with inventory, and this effect is higher during low inventory regimes. This validates the theory of storage in the crude oil market. Second, the...

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Veröffentlicht in:The journal of futures markets 2020-07, Vol.40 (7), p.1160-1175
Hauptverfasser: Ahmadi, Maryam, Bashiri Behmiri, Niaz, Manera, Matteo
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creator Ahmadi, Maryam
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description This study examines the impacts of inventory and financial instability on the basis of the crude oil market. The results show that, first, the basis rises with inventory, and this effect is higher during low inventory regimes. This validates the theory of storage in the crude oil market. Second, the basis rises with financial instability, and this effect is higher during turbulent regimes. These results warn the oil market participants that, to make decisions based on the basis variation, traditionally known as a signal of scarcity or abundance, the underlying cause of the variation has to be considered.
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source Wiley Journals; EBSCOhost Business Source Complete
subjects Basis
Crude oil
crude oil futures
financial stress
Futures market
Inventory
Petroleum
Scarcity
theory of storage
threshold SVAR
title The theory of storage in the crude oil futures market, the role of financial conditions
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