Left-tail momentum: Underreaction to bad news, costly arbitrage and equity returns

This paper documents a significantly negative cross-sectional relation between left-tail risk and future returns on individual stocks trading in the US and international countries. We provide a behavioral explanation to this anomaly based on the idea that investors underestimate the persistence in l...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of financial economics 2020-03, Vol.135 (3), p.725-753
Hauptverfasser: Atilgan, Yigit, Bali, Turan G., Demirtas, K. Ozgur, Gunaydin, A. Doruk
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container_title Journal of financial economics
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creator Atilgan, Yigit
Bali, Turan G.
Demirtas, K. Ozgur
Gunaydin, A. Doruk
description This paper documents a significantly negative cross-sectional relation between left-tail risk and future returns on individual stocks trading in the US and international countries. We provide a behavioral explanation to this anomaly based on the idea that investors underestimate the persistence in left-tail risk and overprice stocks with large recent losses. Thus, low returns in the left-tail of the distribution persist into the future causing left-tail return momentum. We find that the left-tail risk anomaly is stronger for stocks that are more likely to be held by retail investors, that receive less investor attention, and that are costlier to arbitrage.
doi_str_mv 10.1016/j.jfineco.2019.07.006
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subjects Arbitrage
Costly arbitrage
Equity returns
Investor inattention
Investors
Left-tail risk
Momentum
News
Rates of return
Retail investors
Risk assessment
Stocks
Trading
title Left-tail momentum: Underreaction to bad news, costly arbitrage and equity returns
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