Association Between the Release of Netflix's 13 Reasons Why and Suicide Rates in the United States: An Interrupted Time Series Analysis10.1016/j.jaac.2019.04.020
Objective To estimate the association between the release of the Netflix series 13 Reasons Why and suicide rates in the United States. Method Using segmented quasi-Poisson regression and Holt-Winters forecasting models, we assessed monthly rates of suicide among individuals aged 10 to 64 years group...
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Veröffentlicht in: | Journal of the American Academy of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry 2020-02, Vol.59 (2), p.236 |
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creator | Bridge, Jeffrey A Greenhouse, Joel B Ruch, Donna Stevens, Jack Ackerman, John Sheftall, Arielle H Horowitz, Lisa M Kelleher, Kelly J Campo, John V |
description | Objective To estimate the association between the release of the Netflix series 13 Reasons Why and suicide rates in the United States. Method Using segmented quasi-Poisson regression and Holt-Winters forecasting models, we assessed monthly rates of suicide among individuals aged 10 to 64 years grouped into 3 age categories (10–17, 18–29, and 30–64 years) between January 1, 2013, and December 31, 2017, before and after the release of 13 Reasons Why on March 31, 2017. We also assessed the impact of the show's release on a control outcome, homicide deaths. Results After accounting for seasonal effects and an underlying increasing trend in monthly suicide rates, the overall suicide rate among 10- to 17-year-olds increased significantly in the month immediately following the release of 13 Reasons Why (incidence rate ratio [IRR], 1.29; 95% CI, 1.09–1.53); Holt-Winters forecasting revealed elevated observed suicide rates in the month after release and in two subsequent months, relative to corresponding forecasted rates. Contrary to expectations, these associations were restricted to boys. Among 18- to 29-year-olds and 30- to 64-year-olds, we found no significant change in level or trend of suicide after the show's release, both overall and by sex. The show's release had no apparent impact in the control analyses of homicide deaths within any age group. Conclusion The release of 13 Reasons Why was associated with a significant increase in monthly suicide rates among US youth aged 10 to 17 years. Caution regarding the exposure of children and adolescents to the series is warranted. |
doi_str_mv | 10.1016/j.jaac.2019.04.020 |
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Method Using segmented quasi-Poisson regression and Holt-Winters forecasting models, we assessed monthly rates of suicide among individuals aged 10 to 64 years grouped into 3 age categories (10–17, 18–29, and 30–64 years) between January 1, 2013, and December 31, 2017, before and after the release of 13 Reasons Why on March 31, 2017. We also assessed the impact of the show's release on a control outcome, homicide deaths. Results After accounting for seasonal effects and an underlying increasing trend in monthly suicide rates, the overall suicide rate among 10- to 17-year-olds increased significantly in the month immediately following the release of 13 Reasons Why (incidence rate ratio [IRR], 1.29; 95% CI, 1.09–1.53); Holt-Winters forecasting revealed elevated observed suicide rates in the month after release and in two subsequent months, relative to corresponding forecasted rates. Contrary to expectations, these associations were restricted to boys. Among 18- to 29-year-olds and 30- to 64-year-olds, we found no significant change in level or trend of suicide after the show's release, both overall and by sex. The show's release had no apparent impact in the control analyses of homicide deaths within any age group. Conclusion The release of 13 Reasons Why was associated with a significant increase in monthly suicide rates among US youth aged 10 to 17 years. Caution regarding the exposure of children and adolescents to the series is warranted.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0890-8567</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1527-5418</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1016/j.jaac.2019.04.020</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Baltimore: Elsevier BV</publisher><subject>Child & adolescent psychiatry ; Forecasting ; Homicide ; Regression analysis ; Release ; Suicide ; Suicides & suicide attempts ; Time series</subject><ispartof>Journal of the American Academy of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry, 2020-02, Vol.59 (2), p.236</ispartof><rights>Copyright Lippincott Williams & Wilkins Ovid Technologies Feb 2020</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><link.rule.ids>314,777,781,27905,27906,30980</link.rule.ids></links><search><creatorcontrib>Bridge, Jeffrey A</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Greenhouse, Joel B</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ruch, Donna</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Stevens, Jack</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ackerman, John</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sheftall, Arielle H</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Horowitz, Lisa M</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kelleher, Kelly J</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Campo, John V</creatorcontrib><title>Association Between the Release of Netflix's 13 Reasons Why and Suicide Rates in the United States: An Interrupted Time Series Analysis10.1016/j.jaac.2019.04.020</title><title>Journal of the American Academy of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry</title><description>Objective To estimate the association between the release of the Netflix series 13 Reasons Why and suicide rates in the United States. Method Using segmented quasi-Poisson regression and Holt-Winters forecasting models, we assessed monthly rates of suicide among individuals aged 10 to 64 years grouped into 3 age categories (10–17, 18–29, and 30–64 years) between January 1, 2013, and December 31, 2017, before and after the release of 13 Reasons Why on March 31, 2017. We also assessed the impact of the show's release on a control outcome, homicide deaths. Results After accounting for seasonal effects and an underlying increasing trend in monthly suicide rates, the overall suicide rate among 10- to 17-year-olds increased significantly in the month immediately following the release of 13 Reasons Why (incidence rate ratio [IRR], 1.29; 95% CI, 1.09–1.53); Holt-Winters forecasting revealed elevated observed suicide rates in the month after release and in two subsequent months, relative to corresponding forecasted rates. Contrary to expectations, these associations were restricted to boys. Among 18- to 29-year-olds and 30- to 64-year-olds, we found no significant change in level or trend of suicide after the show's release, both overall and by sex. The show's release had no apparent impact in the control analyses of homicide deaths within any age group. Conclusion The release of 13 Reasons Why was associated with a significant increase in monthly suicide rates among US youth aged 10 to 17 years. Caution regarding the exposure of children and adolescents to the series is warranted.</description><subject>Child & adolescent psychiatry</subject><subject>Forecasting</subject><subject>Homicide</subject><subject>Regression analysis</subject><subject>Release</subject><subject>Suicide</subject><subject>Suicides & suicide attempts</subject><subject>Time series</subject><issn>0890-8567</issn><issn>1527-5418</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2020</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>7QJ</sourceid><recordid>eNqNj81Kw0AUhQdRMFZfwNUFF64y3sk0ydRdlIpuurAVl2VIb-iEOFNzJ2gfxzc1RbeCqwPf-YEjxKVCqVAVN61sra1lhmomcSoxwyORqDwr03yqzLFI0MwwNXlRnooz5hYRVWlMIr4q5lA7G13wcEfxg8hD3BI8U0eWCUIDC4pN5z6vGZQeueXgGV63e7B-A8vB1W4z5m0kBvdTfvEu0ujFA7yFysOTj9T3w-6AV-6NYEm9GwuVt92eHf995FycNLZjuvjVibh6mK_uH9NdH94H4rhuw9CPM7zOdK5RF0aX-n-pb0LGXwk</recordid><startdate>20200201</startdate><enddate>20200201</enddate><creator>Bridge, Jeffrey A</creator><creator>Greenhouse, Joel B</creator><creator>Ruch, Donna</creator><creator>Stevens, Jack</creator><creator>Ackerman, John</creator><creator>Sheftall, Arielle H</creator><creator>Horowitz, Lisa M</creator><creator>Kelleher, Kelly J</creator><creator>Campo, John V</creator><general>Elsevier BV</general><scope>7QJ</scope><scope>7TK</scope><scope>K9.</scope></search><sort><creationdate>20200201</creationdate><title>Association Between the Release of Netflix's 13 Reasons Why and Suicide Rates in the United States: An Interrupted Time Series Analysis10.1016/j.jaac.2019.04.020</title><author>Bridge, Jeffrey A ; Greenhouse, Joel B ; Ruch, Donna ; Stevens, Jack ; Ackerman, John ; Sheftall, Arielle H ; Horowitz, Lisa M ; Kelleher, Kelly J ; Campo, John V</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-proquest_journals_23530368373</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2020</creationdate><topic>Child & adolescent psychiatry</topic><topic>Forecasting</topic><topic>Homicide</topic><topic>Regression analysis</topic><topic>Release</topic><topic>Suicide</topic><topic>Suicides & suicide attempts</topic><topic>Time series</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Bridge, Jeffrey A</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Greenhouse, Joel B</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ruch, Donna</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Stevens, Jack</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ackerman, John</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sheftall, Arielle H</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Horowitz, Lisa M</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kelleher, Kelly J</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Campo, John V</creatorcontrib><collection>Applied Social Sciences Index & Abstracts (ASSIA)</collection><collection>Neurosciences Abstracts</collection><collection>ProQuest Health & Medical Complete (Alumni)</collection><jtitle>Journal of the American Academy of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Bridge, Jeffrey A</au><au>Greenhouse, Joel B</au><au>Ruch, Donna</au><au>Stevens, Jack</au><au>Ackerman, John</au><au>Sheftall, Arielle H</au><au>Horowitz, Lisa M</au><au>Kelleher, Kelly J</au><au>Campo, John V</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Association Between the Release of Netflix's 13 Reasons Why and Suicide Rates in the United States: An Interrupted Time Series Analysis10.1016/j.jaac.2019.04.020</atitle><jtitle>Journal of the American Academy of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry</jtitle><date>2020-02-01</date><risdate>2020</risdate><volume>59</volume><issue>2</issue><spage>236</spage><pages>236-</pages><issn>0890-8567</issn><eissn>1527-5418</eissn><abstract>Objective To estimate the association between the release of the Netflix series 13 Reasons Why and suicide rates in the United States. Method Using segmented quasi-Poisson regression and Holt-Winters forecasting models, we assessed monthly rates of suicide among individuals aged 10 to 64 years grouped into 3 age categories (10–17, 18–29, and 30–64 years) between January 1, 2013, and December 31, 2017, before and after the release of 13 Reasons Why on March 31, 2017. We also assessed the impact of the show's release on a control outcome, homicide deaths. Results After accounting for seasonal effects and an underlying increasing trend in monthly suicide rates, the overall suicide rate among 10- to 17-year-olds increased significantly in the month immediately following the release of 13 Reasons Why (incidence rate ratio [IRR], 1.29; 95% CI, 1.09–1.53); Holt-Winters forecasting revealed elevated observed suicide rates in the month after release and in two subsequent months, relative to corresponding forecasted rates. Contrary to expectations, these associations were restricted to boys. Among 18- to 29-year-olds and 30- to 64-year-olds, we found no significant change in level or trend of suicide after the show's release, both overall and by sex. The show's release had no apparent impact in the control analyses of homicide deaths within any age group. Conclusion The release of 13 Reasons Why was associated with a significant increase in monthly suicide rates among US youth aged 10 to 17 years. Caution regarding the exposure of children and adolescents to the series is warranted.</abstract><cop>Baltimore</cop><pub>Elsevier BV</pub><doi>10.1016/j.jaac.2019.04.020</doi></addata></record> |
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subjects | Child & adolescent psychiatry Forecasting Homicide Regression analysis Release Suicide Suicides & suicide attempts Time series |
title | Association Between the Release of Netflix's 13 Reasons Why and Suicide Rates in the United States: An Interrupted Time Series Analysis10.1016/j.jaac.2019.04.020 |
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