Sensitivity of Marine Heatwave Metrics to Ocean Model Resolution
Sustained extreme temperature events in the ocean, referred to as marine heatwaves (MHWs), generate substantial ecological, social, and economic impacts. Ocean models provide insights to the drivers, persistence, and dissipation of MHWs. However, the sensitivity of MHW metrics to ocean model resolut...
Gespeichert in:
Veröffentlicht in: | Geophysical research letters 2019-12, Vol.46 (24), p.14604-14612 |
---|---|
Hauptverfasser: | , , , |
Format: | Artikel |
Sprache: | eng |
Schlagworte: | |
Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
Tags: |
Tag hinzufügen
Keine Tags, Fügen Sie den ersten Tag hinzu!
|
container_end_page | 14612 |
---|---|
container_issue | 24 |
container_start_page | 14604 |
container_title | Geophysical research letters |
container_volume | 46 |
creator | Pilo, Gabriela S. Holbrook, Neil J. Kiss, Andrew E. Hogg, Andrew McC |
description | Sustained extreme temperature events in the ocean, referred to as marine heatwaves (MHWs), generate substantial ecological, social, and economic impacts. Ocean models provide insights to the drivers, persistence, and dissipation of MHWs. However, the sensitivity of MHW metrics to ocean model resolution is unknown. Here, we analyze global MHW metrics in three configurations of a global ocean‐sea ice model at coarse (1°), eddy‐permitting (0.25°), and eddy‐rich (0.1°) resolutions. We show that all configurations qualitatively represent broad‐scale global patterns of MHWs. These simulated MHWs are, however, weaker, longer‐lasting, and less frequent than in observations. The 0.1° configuration, despite local biases, performs best both globally and regionally. Based on these results, model projections of future MHW metrics using coarse‐resolution models are expected to be biased toward weaker and less frequent MHWs, when compared with results using an eddy‐rich model.
Plain Language Summary
Marine heatwaves (MHWs) are persistent extreme temperatures in the ocean. They have a negative impact on marine life, fisheries, and tourism, and are becoming more frequent and more intense. One way to understand how MHWs form, intensify, and decay is by analyzing results from computer simulations of the ocean. However, these simulations are a simplification of reality, and depending on how they are designed they represent different aspects of the ocean circulation. It is still unknown how much the resolution of an ocean simulation matters when representing MHWs. In this work, we compare the performance of three ocean simulations—with low, medium, and high resolutions—when representing MHWs. We find that, regardless of their resolution, all simulations have weaker, longer, and less‐frequent MHWs, when compared with the real world. Despite these differences, we find that simulations with medium and high‐resolutions realistically represent global spatial patterns of MHWs. However, the ocean simulation with high resolution is preferable when studying regional patterns of MHWs. These results show how simulated MHWs differ from the real world, helping us to improve ocean simulations to be more realistic. In addition, we now better understand how computer simulations of future oceans, under climate change conditions, represent these extreme events.
Key Points
Marine heatwaves are weaker, longer‐lasting, and less frequent in models than in observations
The higher the model resolutio |
doi_str_mv | 10.1029/2019GL084928 |
format | Article |
fullrecord | <record><control><sourceid>proquest_cross</sourceid><recordid>TN_cdi_proquest_journals_2345563742</recordid><sourceformat>XML</sourceformat><sourcesystem>PC</sourcesystem><sourcerecordid>2345563742</sourcerecordid><originalsourceid>FETCH-LOGICAL-c4100-cacac0d92547a7667e5d0b558ff5e47a3e8fb22503b51af7f31ac4751399b23a3</originalsourceid><addsrcrecordid>eNp90E1LAzEQBuAgCtbqzR8Q8Orq5GuzuSnFtsKWQtXzkt1OIGXd1GTb0n_vSj14kjnMMDzMwEvILYMHBtw8cmBmVkIhDS_OyIgZKbMCQJ-TEYAZZq7zS3KV0gYABAg2Ik9v2CXf-73vjzQ4urDRd0jnaPuD3SNdYB99k2gf6LJB29FFWGNLV5hCu-t96K7JhbNtwpvfPiYf05f3yTwrl7PXyXOZNZIBZI0dCtaGK6mtznONag21UoVzCoeVwMLVnCsQtWLWaSeYbaRWTBhTc2HFmNyd7m5j-Nph6qtN2MVueFlxIZXKhZZ8UPcn1cSQUkRXbaP_tPFYMah-Mqr-ZjRwfuIH3-LxX1vNVqUyRoP4Brq2Zow</addsrcrecordid><sourcetype>Aggregation Database</sourcetype><iscdi>true</iscdi><recordtype>article</recordtype><pqid>2345563742</pqid></control><display><type>article</type><title>Sensitivity of Marine Heatwave Metrics to Ocean Model Resolution</title><source>Wiley Free Content</source><source>Wiley-Blackwell AGU Digital Library</source><source>Wiley Online Library Journals Frontfile Complete</source><source>EZB-FREE-00999 freely available EZB journals</source><creator>Pilo, Gabriela S. ; Holbrook, Neil J. ; Kiss, Andrew E. ; Hogg, Andrew McC</creator><creatorcontrib>Pilo, Gabriela S. ; Holbrook, Neil J. ; Kiss, Andrew E. ; Hogg, Andrew McC</creatorcontrib><description>Sustained extreme temperature events in the ocean, referred to as marine heatwaves (MHWs), generate substantial ecological, social, and economic impacts. Ocean models provide insights to the drivers, persistence, and dissipation of MHWs. However, the sensitivity of MHW metrics to ocean model resolution is unknown. Here, we analyze global MHW metrics in three configurations of a global ocean‐sea ice model at coarse (1°), eddy‐permitting (0.25°), and eddy‐rich (0.1°) resolutions. We show that all configurations qualitatively represent broad‐scale global patterns of MHWs. These simulated MHWs are, however, weaker, longer‐lasting, and less frequent than in observations. The 0.1° configuration, despite local biases, performs best both globally and regionally. Based on these results, model projections of future MHW metrics using coarse‐resolution models are expected to be biased toward weaker and less frequent MHWs, when compared with results using an eddy‐rich model.
Plain Language Summary
Marine heatwaves (MHWs) are persistent extreme temperatures in the ocean. They have a negative impact on marine life, fisheries, and tourism, and are becoming more frequent and more intense. One way to understand how MHWs form, intensify, and decay is by analyzing results from computer simulations of the ocean. However, these simulations are a simplification of reality, and depending on how they are designed they represent different aspects of the ocean circulation. It is still unknown how much the resolution of an ocean simulation matters when representing MHWs. In this work, we compare the performance of three ocean simulations—with low, medium, and high resolutions—when representing MHWs. We find that, regardless of their resolution, all simulations have weaker, longer, and less‐frequent MHWs, when compared with the real world. Despite these differences, we find that simulations with medium and high‐resolutions realistically represent global spatial patterns of MHWs. However, the ocean simulation with high resolution is preferable when studying regional patterns of MHWs. These results show how simulated MHWs differ from the real world, helping us to improve ocean simulations to be more realistic. In addition, we now better understand how computer simulations of future oceans, under climate change conditions, represent these extreme events.
Key Points
Marine heatwaves are weaker, longer‐lasting, and less frequent in models than in observations
The higher the model resolution, the less biased the marine heatwave metrics
Eddy‐permitting models can be used for global marine heatwave analyses, but eddy‐rich models are optimal for regional analyses</description><identifier>ISSN: 0094-8276</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1944-8007</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1029/2019GL084928</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Washington: John Wiley & Sons, Inc</publisher><subject>Climate change ; Climatic conditions ; Computer simulation ; Configuration management ; Configurations ; Decay ; Economic impact ; Economic models ; Economics ; Fisheries ; global ocean‐sea ice model ; Heat waves ; Heatwaves ; Induction heating ; Marine fish ; Marine fisheries ; marine heatwave ; Mathematical models ; model resolution ; Ocean circulation ; Ocean currents ; Ocean models ; Oceans ; Resolution ; Sea ice ; Sea ice models ; Sensitivity ; Simulation ; Temperature extremes ; Tourism ; Water circulation</subject><ispartof>Geophysical research letters, 2019-12, Vol.46 (24), p.14604-14612</ispartof><rights>2019. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved.</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c4100-cacac0d92547a7667e5d0b558ff5e47a3e8fb22503b51af7f31ac4751399b23a3</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c4100-cacac0d92547a7667e5d0b558ff5e47a3e8fb22503b51af7f31ac4751399b23a3</cites></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1029%2F2019GL084928$$EPDF$$P50$$Gwiley$$H</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029%2F2019GL084928$$EHTML$$P50$$Gwiley$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,776,780,1411,1427,11493,27901,27902,45550,45551,46384,46443,46808,46867</link.rule.ids></links><search><creatorcontrib>Pilo, Gabriela S.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Holbrook, Neil J.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kiss, Andrew E.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Hogg, Andrew McC</creatorcontrib><title>Sensitivity of Marine Heatwave Metrics to Ocean Model Resolution</title><title>Geophysical research letters</title><description>Sustained extreme temperature events in the ocean, referred to as marine heatwaves (MHWs), generate substantial ecological, social, and economic impacts. Ocean models provide insights to the drivers, persistence, and dissipation of MHWs. However, the sensitivity of MHW metrics to ocean model resolution is unknown. Here, we analyze global MHW metrics in three configurations of a global ocean‐sea ice model at coarse (1°), eddy‐permitting (0.25°), and eddy‐rich (0.1°) resolutions. We show that all configurations qualitatively represent broad‐scale global patterns of MHWs. These simulated MHWs are, however, weaker, longer‐lasting, and less frequent than in observations. The 0.1° configuration, despite local biases, performs best both globally and regionally. Based on these results, model projections of future MHW metrics using coarse‐resolution models are expected to be biased toward weaker and less frequent MHWs, when compared with results using an eddy‐rich model.
Plain Language Summary
Marine heatwaves (MHWs) are persistent extreme temperatures in the ocean. They have a negative impact on marine life, fisheries, and tourism, and are becoming more frequent and more intense. One way to understand how MHWs form, intensify, and decay is by analyzing results from computer simulations of the ocean. However, these simulations are a simplification of reality, and depending on how they are designed they represent different aspects of the ocean circulation. It is still unknown how much the resolution of an ocean simulation matters when representing MHWs. In this work, we compare the performance of three ocean simulations—with low, medium, and high resolutions—when representing MHWs. We find that, regardless of their resolution, all simulations have weaker, longer, and less‐frequent MHWs, when compared with the real world. Despite these differences, we find that simulations with medium and high‐resolutions realistically represent global spatial patterns of MHWs. However, the ocean simulation with high resolution is preferable when studying regional patterns of MHWs. These results show how simulated MHWs differ from the real world, helping us to improve ocean simulations to be more realistic. In addition, we now better understand how computer simulations of future oceans, under climate change conditions, represent these extreme events.
Key Points
Marine heatwaves are weaker, longer‐lasting, and less frequent in models than in observations
The higher the model resolution, the less biased the marine heatwave metrics
Eddy‐permitting models can be used for global marine heatwave analyses, but eddy‐rich models are optimal for regional analyses</description><subject>Climate change</subject><subject>Climatic conditions</subject><subject>Computer simulation</subject><subject>Configuration management</subject><subject>Configurations</subject><subject>Decay</subject><subject>Economic impact</subject><subject>Economic models</subject><subject>Economics</subject><subject>Fisheries</subject><subject>global ocean‐sea ice model</subject><subject>Heat waves</subject><subject>Heatwaves</subject><subject>Induction heating</subject><subject>Marine fish</subject><subject>Marine fisheries</subject><subject>marine heatwave</subject><subject>Mathematical models</subject><subject>model resolution</subject><subject>Ocean circulation</subject><subject>Ocean currents</subject><subject>Ocean models</subject><subject>Oceans</subject><subject>Resolution</subject><subject>Sea ice</subject><subject>Sea ice models</subject><subject>Sensitivity</subject><subject>Simulation</subject><subject>Temperature extremes</subject><subject>Tourism</subject><subject>Water circulation</subject><issn>0094-8276</issn><issn>1944-8007</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2019</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><recordid>eNp90E1LAzEQBuAgCtbqzR8Q8Orq5GuzuSnFtsKWQtXzkt1OIGXd1GTb0n_vSj14kjnMMDzMwEvILYMHBtw8cmBmVkIhDS_OyIgZKbMCQJ-TEYAZZq7zS3KV0gYABAg2Ik9v2CXf-73vjzQ4urDRd0jnaPuD3SNdYB99k2gf6LJB29FFWGNLV5hCu-t96K7JhbNtwpvfPiYf05f3yTwrl7PXyXOZNZIBZI0dCtaGK6mtznONag21UoVzCoeVwMLVnCsQtWLWaSeYbaRWTBhTc2HFmNyd7m5j-Nph6qtN2MVueFlxIZXKhZZ8UPcn1cSQUkRXbaP_tPFYMah-Mqr-ZjRwfuIH3-LxX1vNVqUyRoP4Brq2Zow</recordid><startdate>20191228</startdate><enddate>20191228</enddate><creator>Pilo, Gabriela S.</creator><creator>Holbrook, Neil J.</creator><creator>Kiss, Andrew E.</creator><creator>Hogg, Andrew McC</creator><general>John Wiley & Sons, Inc</general><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7TG</scope><scope>7TN</scope><scope>8FD</scope><scope>F1W</scope><scope>FR3</scope><scope>H8D</scope><scope>H96</scope><scope>KL.</scope><scope>KR7</scope><scope>L.G</scope><scope>L7M</scope></search><sort><creationdate>20191228</creationdate><title>Sensitivity of Marine Heatwave Metrics to Ocean Model Resolution</title><author>Pilo, Gabriela S. ; Holbrook, Neil J. ; Kiss, Andrew E. ; Hogg, Andrew McC</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c4100-cacac0d92547a7667e5d0b558ff5e47a3e8fb22503b51af7f31ac4751399b23a3</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2019</creationdate><topic>Climate change</topic><topic>Climatic conditions</topic><topic>Computer simulation</topic><topic>Configuration management</topic><topic>Configurations</topic><topic>Decay</topic><topic>Economic impact</topic><topic>Economic models</topic><topic>Economics</topic><topic>Fisheries</topic><topic>global ocean‐sea ice model</topic><topic>Heat waves</topic><topic>Heatwaves</topic><topic>Induction heating</topic><topic>Marine fish</topic><topic>Marine fisheries</topic><topic>marine heatwave</topic><topic>Mathematical models</topic><topic>model resolution</topic><topic>Ocean circulation</topic><topic>Ocean currents</topic><topic>Ocean models</topic><topic>Oceans</topic><topic>Resolution</topic><topic>Sea ice</topic><topic>Sea ice models</topic><topic>Sensitivity</topic><topic>Simulation</topic><topic>Temperature extremes</topic><topic>Tourism</topic><topic>Water circulation</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Pilo, Gabriela S.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Holbrook, Neil J.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kiss, Andrew E.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Hogg, Andrew McC</creatorcontrib><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>Meteorological & Geoastrophysical Abstracts</collection><collection>Oceanic Abstracts</collection><collection>Technology Research Database</collection><collection>ASFA: Aquatic Sciences and Fisheries Abstracts</collection><collection>Engineering Research Database</collection><collection>Aerospace Database</collection><collection>Aquatic Science & Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA) 2: Ocean Technology, Policy & Non-Living Resources</collection><collection>Meteorological & Geoastrophysical Abstracts - Academic</collection><collection>Civil Engineering Abstracts</collection><collection>Aquatic Science & Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA) Professional</collection><collection>Advanced Technologies Database with Aerospace</collection><jtitle>Geophysical research letters</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Pilo, Gabriela S.</au><au>Holbrook, Neil J.</au><au>Kiss, Andrew E.</au><au>Hogg, Andrew McC</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Sensitivity of Marine Heatwave Metrics to Ocean Model Resolution</atitle><jtitle>Geophysical research letters</jtitle><date>2019-12-28</date><risdate>2019</risdate><volume>46</volume><issue>24</issue><spage>14604</spage><epage>14612</epage><pages>14604-14612</pages><issn>0094-8276</issn><eissn>1944-8007</eissn><abstract>Sustained extreme temperature events in the ocean, referred to as marine heatwaves (MHWs), generate substantial ecological, social, and economic impacts. Ocean models provide insights to the drivers, persistence, and dissipation of MHWs. However, the sensitivity of MHW metrics to ocean model resolution is unknown. Here, we analyze global MHW metrics in three configurations of a global ocean‐sea ice model at coarse (1°), eddy‐permitting (0.25°), and eddy‐rich (0.1°) resolutions. We show that all configurations qualitatively represent broad‐scale global patterns of MHWs. These simulated MHWs are, however, weaker, longer‐lasting, and less frequent than in observations. The 0.1° configuration, despite local biases, performs best both globally and regionally. Based on these results, model projections of future MHW metrics using coarse‐resolution models are expected to be biased toward weaker and less frequent MHWs, when compared with results using an eddy‐rich model.
Plain Language Summary
Marine heatwaves (MHWs) are persistent extreme temperatures in the ocean. They have a negative impact on marine life, fisheries, and tourism, and are becoming more frequent and more intense. One way to understand how MHWs form, intensify, and decay is by analyzing results from computer simulations of the ocean. However, these simulations are a simplification of reality, and depending on how they are designed they represent different aspects of the ocean circulation. It is still unknown how much the resolution of an ocean simulation matters when representing MHWs. In this work, we compare the performance of three ocean simulations—with low, medium, and high resolutions—when representing MHWs. We find that, regardless of their resolution, all simulations have weaker, longer, and less‐frequent MHWs, when compared with the real world. Despite these differences, we find that simulations with medium and high‐resolutions realistically represent global spatial patterns of MHWs. However, the ocean simulation with high resolution is preferable when studying regional patterns of MHWs. These results show how simulated MHWs differ from the real world, helping us to improve ocean simulations to be more realistic. In addition, we now better understand how computer simulations of future oceans, under climate change conditions, represent these extreme events.
Key Points
Marine heatwaves are weaker, longer‐lasting, and less frequent in models than in observations
The higher the model resolution, the less biased the marine heatwave metrics
Eddy‐permitting models can be used for global marine heatwave analyses, but eddy‐rich models are optimal for regional analyses</abstract><cop>Washington</cop><pub>John Wiley & Sons, Inc</pub><doi>10.1029/2019GL084928</doi><tpages>9</tpages><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
fulltext | fulltext |
identifier | ISSN: 0094-8276 |
ispartof | Geophysical research letters, 2019-12, Vol.46 (24), p.14604-14612 |
issn | 0094-8276 1944-8007 |
language | eng |
recordid | cdi_proquest_journals_2345563742 |
source | Wiley Free Content; Wiley-Blackwell AGU Digital Library; Wiley Online Library Journals Frontfile Complete; EZB-FREE-00999 freely available EZB journals |
subjects | Climate change Climatic conditions Computer simulation Configuration management Configurations Decay Economic impact Economic models Economics Fisheries global ocean‐sea ice model Heat waves Heatwaves Induction heating Marine fish Marine fisheries marine heatwave Mathematical models model resolution Ocean circulation Ocean currents Ocean models Oceans Resolution Sea ice Sea ice models Sensitivity Simulation Temperature extremes Tourism Water circulation |
title | Sensitivity of Marine Heatwave Metrics to Ocean Model Resolution |
url | https://sfx.bib-bvb.de/sfx_tum?ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&ctx_enc=info:ofi/enc:UTF-8&ctx_tim=2025-02-05T18%3A47%3A33IST&url_ver=Z39.88-2004&url_ctx_fmt=infofi/fmt:kev:mtx:ctx&rfr_id=info:sid/primo.exlibrisgroup.com:primo3-Article-proquest_cross&rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:journal&rft.genre=article&rft.atitle=Sensitivity%20of%20Marine%20Heatwave%20Metrics%20to%20Ocean%20Model%20Resolution&rft.jtitle=Geophysical%20research%20letters&rft.au=Pilo,%20Gabriela%20S.&rft.date=2019-12-28&rft.volume=46&rft.issue=24&rft.spage=14604&rft.epage=14612&rft.pages=14604-14612&rft.issn=0094-8276&rft.eissn=1944-8007&rft_id=info:doi/10.1029/2019GL084928&rft_dat=%3Cproquest_cross%3E2345563742%3C/proquest_cross%3E%3Curl%3E%3C/url%3E&disable_directlink=true&sfx.directlink=off&sfx.report_link=0&rft_id=info:oai/&rft_pqid=2345563742&rft_id=info:pmid/&rfr_iscdi=true |