A Model Analysis of Observed and Predicted Climatic Changes in Groundwater Recharge in a Small River Basin
— The relationship between groundwater recharge in a small river basin to the current and expected climatic changes in the European area of Russia has been analyzed using the catchment basin of the Zhizdra River (Kaluga Region) as an example. The analysis is based on modeling of moisture transformat...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | Moscow University geology bulletin 2019-07, Vol.74 (4), p.412-421 |
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| creator | Pozdniakov, S. P. Grinevskiy, S. O. Dedyulina, E. A. Samartsev, V. N. |
| description | —
The relationship between groundwater recharge in a small river basin to the current and expected climatic changes in the European area of Russia has been analyzed using the catchment basin of the Zhizdra River (Kaluga Region) as an example. The analysis is based on modeling of moisture transformation processes on the earth’s surface and moisture transfer in the unsaturated zone. The global climate predictions of five CMI5 Coupled Atmosphere–Ocean General Circulation Models (GCM) have been applied to forecast the groundwater recharge in the second half of the 21st century using the LARSWG5 forecast weather conditions generator. Despite the fact that all used GCMs predict a warming by 2–6°C in the studied region, the difference in the predicted recharge values is still considerable due to the difference in the predicted dryness index. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.3103/S0145875219040112 |
| format | Article |
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The relationship between groundwater recharge in a small river basin to the current and expected climatic changes in the European area of Russia has been analyzed using the catchment basin of the Zhizdra River (Kaluga Region) as an example. The analysis is based on modeling of moisture transformation processes on the earth’s surface and moisture transfer in the unsaturated zone. The global climate predictions of five CMI5 Coupled Atmosphere–Ocean General Circulation Models (GCM) have been applied to forecast the groundwater recharge in the second half of the 21st century using the LARSWG5 forecast weather conditions generator. Despite the fact that all used GCMs predict a warming by 2–6°C in the studied region, the difference in the predicted recharge values is still considerable due to the difference in the predicted dryness index.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0145-8752</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1934-8436</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.3103/S0145875219040112</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Moscow: Pleiades Publishing</publisher><subject>Aeration zone ; Catchment area ; Catchment basins ; Climate change ; Climate prediction ; Earth ; Earth and Environmental Science ; Earth Sciences ; General circulation models ; Geology ; Global climate ; Groundwater ; Groundwater recharge ; Moisture transfer ; River basins ; Rivers ; Weather forecasting</subject><ispartof>Moscow University geology bulletin, 2019-07, Vol.74 (4), p.412-421</ispartof><rights>Allerton Press, Inc. 2019</rights><rights>Copyright Springer Nature B.V. 2019</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c316t-1d6ab0e51b3410a54d1535e7054d8372991890f07f4d4b827892c3d0163b563b3</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c316t-1d6ab0e51b3410a54d1535e7054d8372991890f07f4d4b827892c3d0163b563b3</cites></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.3103/S0145875219040112$$EPDF$$P50$$Gspringer$$H</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://link.springer.com/10.3103/S0145875219040112$$EHTML$$P50$$Gspringer$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,776,780,27901,27902,41464,42533,51294</link.rule.ids></links><search><creatorcontrib>Pozdniakov, S. P.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Grinevskiy, S. O.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Dedyulina, E. A.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Samartsev, V. N.</creatorcontrib><title>A Model Analysis of Observed and Predicted Climatic Changes in Groundwater Recharge in a Small River Basin</title><title>Moscow University geology bulletin</title><addtitle>Moscow Univ. Geol. Bull</addtitle><description>—
The relationship between groundwater recharge in a small river basin to the current and expected climatic changes in the European area of Russia has been analyzed using the catchment basin of the Zhizdra River (Kaluga Region) as an example. The analysis is based on modeling of moisture transformation processes on the earth’s surface and moisture transfer in the unsaturated zone. The global climate predictions of five CMI5 Coupled Atmosphere–Ocean General Circulation Models (GCM) have been applied to forecast the groundwater recharge in the second half of the 21st century using the LARSWG5 forecast weather conditions generator. Despite the fact that all used GCMs predict a warming by 2–6°C in the studied region, the difference in the predicted recharge values is still considerable due to the difference in the predicted dryness index.</description><subject>Aeration zone</subject><subject>Catchment area</subject><subject>Catchment basins</subject><subject>Climate change</subject><subject>Climate prediction</subject><subject>Earth</subject><subject>Earth and Environmental Science</subject><subject>Earth Sciences</subject><subject>General circulation models</subject><subject>Geology</subject><subject>Global climate</subject><subject>Groundwater</subject><subject>Groundwater recharge</subject><subject>Moisture transfer</subject><subject>River basins</subject><subject>Rivers</subject><subject>Weather forecasting</subject><issn>0145-8752</issn><issn>1934-8436</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2019</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><recordid>eNp1UEtLw0AQXkTBWv0B3hY8R2f2kWSPNWgVKpVWz2GT3bQpaaK7aaX_3g0VPIiHYR7fA-Yj5BrhliPwuyWgkGkiGSoQgMhOyAgVF1EqeHxKRgMcDfg5ufB-AyClEjAimwl96Yxt6KTVzcHXnnYVnRfeur01VLeGvjpr6rIPW9bUW93XJc3Wul1ZT-uWTl23a82X7q2jC1uutVvZ4a7pcqubhi7qfUDuta_bS3JW6cbbq58-Ju-PD2_ZUzSbT5-zySwqOcZ9hCbWBViJBRcIWgqDkkubQJhSnjClMFVQQVIJI4qUJaliJTeAMS9kKD4mN0ffD9d97qzv8023c-E9nzPOQUiRQBxYeGSVrvPe2Sr_cOE9d8gR8iHS_E-kQcOOGh-4IQH36_y_6BvTvXWS</recordid><startdate>20190701</startdate><enddate>20190701</enddate><creator>Pozdniakov, S. P.</creator><creator>Grinevskiy, S. O.</creator><creator>Dedyulina, E. A.</creator><creator>Samartsev, V. N.</creator><general>Pleiades Publishing</general><general>Springer Nature B.V</general><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>F1W</scope><scope>H96</scope><scope>L.G</scope></search><sort><creationdate>20190701</creationdate><title>A Model Analysis of Observed and Predicted Climatic Changes in Groundwater Recharge in a Small River Basin</title><author>Pozdniakov, S. P. ; Grinevskiy, S. O. ; Dedyulina, E. A. ; Samartsev, V. N.</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c316t-1d6ab0e51b3410a54d1535e7054d8372991890f07f4d4b827892c3d0163b563b3</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2019</creationdate><topic>Aeration zone</topic><topic>Catchment area</topic><topic>Catchment basins</topic><topic>Climate change</topic><topic>Climate prediction</topic><topic>Earth</topic><topic>Earth and Environmental Science</topic><topic>Earth Sciences</topic><topic>General circulation models</topic><topic>Geology</topic><topic>Global climate</topic><topic>Groundwater</topic><topic>Groundwater recharge</topic><topic>Moisture transfer</topic><topic>River basins</topic><topic>Rivers</topic><topic>Weather forecasting</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Pozdniakov, S. P.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Grinevskiy, S. O.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Dedyulina, E. A.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Samartsev, V. N.</creatorcontrib><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>ASFA: Aquatic Sciences and Fisheries Abstracts</collection><collection>Aquatic Science & Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA) 2: Ocean Technology, Policy & Non-Living Resources</collection><collection>Aquatic Science & Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA) Professional</collection><jtitle>Moscow University geology bulletin</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Pozdniakov, S. P.</au><au>Grinevskiy, S. O.</au><au>Dedyulina, E. A.</au><au>Samartsev, V. N.</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>A Model Analysis of Observed and Predicted Climatic Changes in Groundwater Recharge in a Small River Basin</atitle><jtitle>Moscow University geology bulletin</jtitle><stitle>Moscow Univ. Geol. Bull</stitle><date>2019-07-01</date><risdate>2019</risdate><volume>74</volume><issue>4</issue><spage>412</spage><epage>421</epage><pages>412-421</pages><issn>0145-8752</issn><eissn>1934-8436</eissn><abstract>—
The relationship between groundwater recharge in a small river basin to the current and expected climatic changes in the European area of Russia has been analyzed using the catchment basin of the Zhizdra River (Kaluga Region) as an example. The analysis is based on modeling of moisture transformation processes on the earth’s surface and moisture transfer in the unsaturated zone. The global climate predictions of five CMI5 Coupled Atmosphere–Ocean General Circulation Models (GCM) have been applied to forecast the groundwater recharge in the second half of the 21st century using the LARSWG5 forecast weather conditions generator. Despite the fact that all used GCMs predict a warming by 2–6°C in the studied region, the difference in the predicted recharge values is still considerable due to the difference in the predicted dryness index.</abstract><cop>Moscow</cop><pub>Pleiades Publishing</pub><doi>10.3103/S0145875219040112</doi><tpages>10</tpages></addata></record> |
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| ispartof | Moscow University geology bulletin, 2019-07, Vol.74 (4), p.412-421 |
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| subjects | Aeration zone Catchment area Catchment basins Climate change Climate prediction Earth Earth and Environmental Science Earth Sciences General circulation models Geology Global climate Groundwater Groundwater recharge Moisture transfer River basins Rivers Weather forecasting |
| title | A Model Analysis of Observed and Predicted Climatic Changes in Groundwater Recharge in a Small River Basin |
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