Stress Tests as a Tool to Assess the Risk of Public Expenditure on Debt Servicing Increasing at Local Government Entities

National and local government's public debt is of special interest to economic sciences. With interest rates in the EU countries now at historically low levels, there is risk of a trend change causing development expenditure to be crowded out from budgets in favour of debt servicing costs. The...

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Veröffentlicht in:Lex localis-journal of local self-government 2019-04, Vol.17 (2), p.205-224
Hauptverfasser: Postuła, Marta, Czekaj, Miroslaw, Klepacki, Jaroslaw
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container_title Lex localis-journal of local self-government
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creator Postuła, Marta
Czekaj, Miroslaw
Klepacki, Jaroslaw
description National and local government's public debt is of special interest to economic sciences. With interest rates in the EU countries now at historically low levels, there is risk of a trend change causing development expenditure to be crowded out from budgets in favour of debt servicing costs. The analysis (stress test) of the sensitivity of debt servicing costs in the local government sector in Poland to an unexpected growth of market interest rates above the values forecasted by the MoF confirms that local governments are exposed to interest rate growth risk, and consequently to the risk of their budgets incurring unplanned expenditure.
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source PAIS Index; Worldwide Political Science Abstracts; EBSCOhost Political Science Complete
subjects Accountability
Budgets
Costs
Crowding stress
Currency
Debt management
Economic conditions
Economic growth
Economic models
Economic policy
Expenditures
Foreign exchange rates
Government spending
Interest rates
Local government
Public debt
Public sector
Qualitative research
Risk
Risk assessment
Values
title Stress Tests as a Tool to Assess the Risk of Public Expenditure on Debt Servicing Increasing at Local Government Entities
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