THE ALLOCATION OF TALENT AND U.S. ECONOMIC GROWTH
In 1960, 94 percent of doctors and lawyers were white men. By 2010, the fraction was just 62 percent. Similar changes in other highly-skilled occupations have occurred throughout the U.S. economy during the last 50 years. Given that the innate talent for these professions is unlikely to have changed...
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Veröffentlicht in: | Econometrica 2019-09, Vol.87 (5), p.1439-1474 |
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creator | Hsieh, Chang-Tai Hurst, Erik Jones, Charles I. Klenow, Peter J. |
description | In 1960, 94 percent of doctors and lawyers were white men. By 2010, the fraction was just 62 percent. Similar changes in other highly-skilled occupations have occurred throughout the U.S. economy during the last 50 years. Given that the innate talent for these professions is unlikely to have changed differently across groups, the change in the occupational distribution since 1960 suggests that a substantial pool of innately talented women and black men in 1960 were not pursuing their comparative advantage. We examine the effect on aggregate productivity of the convergence in the occupational distribution between 1960 and 2010 through the prism of a Roy model. Across our various specifications, between 20% and 40% of growth in aggregate market output per person can be explained by the improved allocation of talent. |
doi_str_mv | 10.3982/ecta11427 |
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By 2010, the fraction was just 62 percent. Similar changes in other highly-skilled occupations have occurred throughout the U.S. economy during the last 50 years. Given that the innate talent for these professions is unlikely to have changed differently across groups, the change in the occupational distribution since 1960 suggests that a substantial pool of innately talented women and black men in 1960 were not pursuing their comparative advantage. We examine the effect on aggregate productivity of the convergence in the occupational distribution between 1960 and 2010 through the prism of a Roy model. Across our various specifications, between 20% and 40% of growth in aggregate market output per person can be explained by the improved allocation of talent.</description><subject>Ability</subject><subject>Attorneys</subject><subject>Convergence</subject><subject>discrimination</subject><subject>Economic growth</subject><subject>Economic models</subject><subject>Gender</subject><subject>Hierarchies</subject><subject>misallocation</subject><subject>Occupations</subject><subject>Productivity</subject><subject>Roy model</subject><issn>0012-9682</issn><issn>1468-0262</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2019</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><recordid>eNp1kN9LwzAQx4MoOKcP_gcF8cGH1kvSJM1jqd0PqA24iI-lyxLYmHY2G7L_3rj64ItwcMfx-d737hC6xZBQmZFHa_YtxikRZ2iEU57FQDg5RyMATGLJM3KJrrzfAAALMUJYz8oorypV5Hqu6khNIp1XZa2jvH6KXpNFEpWFqtXzvIimL-pNz67RhWu33t785jFaTEpdzOJKTedFXsWGAYU4c2B4thLO2Yyz1qVOCGKXzDLDnGGMYCpaiR1IszIYXGgbKiQBWFrc0jG6G6bu-u7zYP2-2XSH_iMYNoRIibmkIAL1MFCm77zvrWt2_fq97Y8NhubnH01Z6Pz0j8Digf1ab-3xf_BUhTVAQNDcD5qN33f9Xw0J9k0arhAEc_oNWj1mWQ</recordid><startdate>201909</startdate><enddate>201909</enddate><creator>Hsieh, Chang-Tai</creator><creator>Hurst, Erik</creator><creator>Jones, Charles I.</creator><creator>Klenow, Peter J.</creator><general>Econometric Society</general><general>Blackwell Publishing Ltd</general><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>8BJ</scope><scope>FQK</scope><scope>JBE</scope></search><sort><creationdate>201909</creationdate><title>THE ALLOCATION OF TALENT AND U.S. ECONOMIC GROWTH</title><author>Hsieh, Chang-Tai ; Hurst, Erik ; Jones, Charles I. ; Klenow, Peter J.</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c5030-8f0c68d7ffe865af4f772eb5e5c5fc552137a91f09cdc10f5c5c379200be1a3</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2019</creationdate><topic>Ability</topic><topic>Attorneys</topic><topic>Convergence</topic><topic>discrimination</topic><topic>Economic growth</topic><topic>Economic models</topic><topic>Gender</topic><topic>Hierarchies</topic><topic>misallocation</topic><topic>Occupations</topic><topic>Productivity</topic><topic>Roy model</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Hsieh, Chang-Tai</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Hurst, Erik</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Jones, Charles I.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Klenow, Peter J.</creatorcontrib><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences (IBSS)</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences</collection><jtitle>Econometrica</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Hsieh, Chang-Tai</au><au>Hurst, Erik</au><au>Jones, Charles I.</au><au>Klenow, Peter J.</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>THE ALLOCATION OF TALENT AND U.S. ECONOMIC GROWTH</atitle><jtitle>Econometrica</jtitle><date>2019-09</date><risdate>2019</risdate><volume>87</volume><issue>5</issue><spage>1439</spage><epage>1474</epage><pages>1439-1474</pages><issn>0012-9682</issn><eissn>1468-0262</eissn><abstract>In 1960, 94 percent of doctors and lawyers were white men. 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subjects | Ability Attorneys Convergence discrimination Economic growth Economic models Gender Hierarchies misallocation Occupations Productivity Roy model |
title | THE ALLOCATION OF TALENT AND U.S. ECONOMIC GROWTH |
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